Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 130 | 109.414427356952 | 6.02685985459014 | 144.558712788458 | -20.5855726430478 |
2 | 136.7 | 135.140139694063 | -6.27184026099176 | 144.531700566929 | -1.55986030593678 |
3 | 138.1 | 145.843332110333 | -14.1480204557324 | 144.504688345399 | 7.74333211033297 |
4 | 139.5 | 154.571973445527 | -20.1942005000934 | 144.622227054566 | 15.0719734455271 |
5 | 140.4 | 155.340622855522 | -19.2803886192554 | 144.739765763733 | 14.9406228555222 |
6 | 144.6 | 156.252202857982 | -12.2718611693765 | 145.219658311395 | 11.6522028579816 |
7 | 151.4 | 160.163784876028 | -3.06333573508466 | 145.699550859057 | 8.76378487602798 |
8 | 147.9 | 138.455123262175 | 10.9157211484992 | 146.429155589325 | -9.44487673782459 |
9 | 141.5 | 119.006465318688 | 16.8347743617181 | 147.158760319594 | -22.4935346813123 |
10 | 143.8 | 129.228508039739 | 9.6627377275261 | 148.708754232735 | -14.5714919602609 |
11 | 143.6 | 120.550535233292 | 16.3907166208327 | 150.258748145875 | -23.0494647667081 |
12 | 150.5 | 130.55488935607 | 15.3988661361994 | 155.046244507731 | -19.94511064393 |
13 | 150.1 | 134.339399275824 | 6.02685985459014 | 159.833740869586 | -15.7606007241760 |
14 | 154.9 | 148.769235997266 | -6.27184026099176 | 167.302604263726 | -6.13076400273422 |
15 | 162.1 | 163.576552797866 | -14.1480204557324 | 174.771467657866 | 1.47655279786622 |
16 | 176.7 | 189.760895894151 | -20.1942005000934 | 183.833304605942 | 13.0608958941509 |
17 | 186.6 | 199.585247065237 | -19.2803886192554 | 192.895141554019 | 12.9852470652366 |
18 | 194.8 | 199.942149651617 | -12.2718611693765 | 201.929711517760 | 5.14214965161690 |
19 | 196.3 | 184.699054253584 | -3.06333573508466 | 210.964281481501 | -11.6009457464158 |
20 | 228.8 | 227.289619621462 | 10.9157211484992 | 219.394659230039 | -1.51038037853812 |
21 | 267.2 | 289.740188659704 | 16.8347743617181 | 227.825036978577 | 22.5401886597045 |
22 | 237.2 | 229.406181555481 | 9.6627377275261 | 235.331080716992 | -7.79381844451856 |
23 | 254.7 | 250.172158923760 | 16.3907166208327 | 242.837124455408 | -4.52784107624026 |
24 | 258.2 | 251.822697263066 | 15.3988661361994 | 249.178436600735 | -6.37730273693415 |
25 | 257.9 | 254.253391399348 | 6.02685985459014 | 255.519748746062 | -3.64660860065214 |
26 | 269.6 | 284.718236218106 | -6.27184026099176 | 260.753604042886 | 15.1182362181058 |
27 | 266.9 | 281.960561116022 | -14.1480204557324 | 265.98745933971 | 15.0605611160223 |
28 | 269.6 | 289.878788713588 | -20.1942005000934 | 269.515411786506 | 20.2787887135877 |
29 | 253.9 | 254.037024385954 | -19.2803886192554 | 273.043364233301 | 0.137024385954021 |
30 | 258.6 | 255.103212150484 | -12.2718611693765 | 274.368649018892 | -3.49678784951584 |
31 | 274.2 | 275.769401930601 | -3.06333573508466 | 275.693933804483 | 1.56940193060126 |
32 | 301.5 | 316.825428627849 | 10.9157211484992 | 275.258850223652 | 15.3254286278493 |
33 | 304.5 | 317.341458995462 | 16.8347743617181 | 274.823766642820 | 12.8414589954623 |
34 | 285.1 | 286.594724057033 | 9.6627377275261 | 273.942538215441 | 1.49472405703278 |
35 | 287.7 | 285.947973591105 | 16.3907166208327 | 273.061309788063 | -1.75202640889529 |
36 | 265.5 | 242.579317814562 | 15.3988661361994 | 273.021816049238 | -22.9206821854376 |
37 | 264.1 | 249.190817834996 | 6.02685985459014 | 272.982322310414 | -14.9091821650038 |
38 | 276.1 | 285.312486673218 | -6.27184026099176 | 273.159353587774 | 9.21248667321805 |
39 | 258.9 | 258.611635590598 | -14.1480204557324 | 273.336384865134 | -0.288364409401481 |
40 | 239.1 | 225.162789496661 | -20.1942005000934 | 273.231411003432 | -13.9372105033385 |
41 | 250.1 | 246.353951477525 | -19.2803886192554 | 273.12643714173 | -3.74604852247478 |
42 | 276.8 | 294.487511162009 | -12.2718611693765 | 271.384350007367 | 17.6875111620092 |
43 | 297.6 | 328.62107286208 | -3.06333573508466 | 269.642262873004 | 31.0210728620803 |
44 | 295.4 | 316.067953560044 | 10.9157211484992 | 263.816325291457 | 20.6679535600435 |
45 | 283 | 291.174837928372 | 16.8347743617181 | 257.99038770991 | 8.17483792837169 |
46 | 275.8 | 294.216479765338 | 9.6627377275261 | 247.720782507136 | 18.416479765338 |
47 | 279.7 | 305.558106074806 | 16.3907166208327 | 237.451177304362 | 25.8581060748058 |
48 | 254.6 | 269.477250872174 | 15.3988661361994 | 224.323882991627 | 14.8772508721738 |
49 | 234.6 | 251.976551466518 | 6.02685985459014 | 211.196588678892 | 17.3765514665179 |
50 | 176.9 | 162.047529894875 | -6.27184026099176 | 198.024310366117 | -14.8524701051248 |
51 | 148.1 | 125.495988402391 | -14.1480204557324 | 184.852032053341 | -22.6040115976089 |
52 | 122.7 | 88.6917949880213 | -20.1942005000934 | 176.902405512072 | -34.0082050119787 |
53 | 124.9 | 100.127609648452 | -19.2803886192554 | 168.952778970803 | -24.7723903515476 |
54 | 121.6 | 89.5536760072704 | -12.2718611693765 | 165.918185162106 | -32.0463239927296 |
55 | 128.4 | 96.9797443816753 | -3.06333573508466 | 162.883591353409 | -31.4202556183247 |
56 | 144.5 | 117.679895382132 | 10.9157211484992 | 160.404383469369 | -26.8201046178681 |
57 | 151.8 | 128.840050052953 | 16.8347743617181 | 157.925175585328 | -22.9599499470465 |
58 | 167.1 | 168.240019310439 | 9.6627377275261 | 156.297242962035 | 1.14001931043933 |
59 | 173.8 | 176.539973040427 | 16.3907166208327 | 154.669310338741 | 2.73997304042658 |
60 | 203.7 | 237.88222816065 | 15.3988661361994 | 154.118905703151 | 34.1822281606499 |
61 | 199.8 | 240.004639077849 | 6.02685985459014 | 153.568501067561 | 40.2046390778491 |