| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 14 | 15.0330593463373 | -0.144548055205191 | -0.144548055091753 | -1.39601525305627 |
| 3 | 15 | 15.0366808303117 | -0.138307627077558 | -0.138307627077558 | 0.137928287429375 |
| 4 | 16 | 15.5961311402861 | -0.119417418645176 | -0.119417418645176 | 0.688758691943332 |
| 5 | 16 | 15.8357560627452 | -0.112118441539720 | -0.112118441539720 | 0.360365262724881 |
| 6 | 15 | 15.3827831630744 | -0.118005192720895 | -0.118005192720895 | -0.344067796622985 |
| 7 | 13 | 14.0691240284864 | -0.136918270649693 | -0.136918270649693 | -1.20961451838913 |
| 8 | 12 | 12.9325956774681 | -0.15197898024712 | -0.15197898024712 | -1.01224113206571 |
| 9 | 13 | 12.9873708409666 | -0.148955645344341 | -0.148955645344341 | 0.209458126868009 |
| 10 | 13 | 13.0113044090183 | -0.146480521280286 | -0.146480521280286 | 0.175189117610645 |
| 11 | 12 | 12.4648892919948 | -0.152108572521464 | -0.152108572521464 | -0.405306986957112 |
| 12 | 10 | 11.1098001374771 | -0.168780627979749 | -0.168780627979750 | -1.21924732374979 |
| 13 | 14 | 11.3756416220192 | -0.205251239413527 | 2.25776363376831 | 0.567694259254424 |
| 14 | 14 | 13.0383969104541 | -0.142189019082738 | -0.142189019980194 | 1.56498830053981 |
| 15 | 15 | 14.1774554729902 | -0.117448303603044 | -0.117448303603045 | 1.24240554910863 |
| 16 | 16 | 15.2141406993944 | -0.102989882207872 | -0.102989882207872 | 1.15631406542678 |
| 17 | 16 | 15.6652041148266 | -0.0977286659580146 | -0.0977286659580147 | 0.560046448290538 |
| 18 | 15 | 15.3053892072666 | -0.0998613408926226 | -0.0998613408926226 | -0.265683953191292 |
| 19 | 15 | 15.1465975156957 | -0.100304137481318 | -0.100304137481318 | -0.0598034462106509 |
| 20 | 13 | 13.9611778528158 | -0.108131168628344 | -0.108131168628344 | -1.10167800158178 |
| 21 | 15 | 14.5528627435966 | -0.103194633832754 | -0.103194633832754 | 0.710635470163316 |
| 22 | 15 | 14.8140578757829 | -0.100659380517216 | -0.100659380517216 | 0.370057237879655 |
| 23 | 15 | 14.9293247976099 | -0.0991719079499465 | -0.0991719079499464 | 0.219295115615948 |
| 24 | 13 | 13.8649999670494 | -0.105766415333544 | -0.105766415333544 | -0.980238835697362 |
| 25 | 16 | 14.2365783282754 | -0.124899410421064 | 1.37389351418851 | 0.553914904181705 |
| 26 | 16 | 15.3084776697695 | -0.0984727622146713 | -0.0984727623395994 | 1.07834052927469 |
| 27 | 14 | 14.5807013950321 | -0.106359536487027 | -0.106359536487027 | -0.620875895544766 |
| 28 | 16 | 15.3883504798348 | -0.0989144933689914 | -0.0989144933689909 | 0.920793180730677 |
| 29 | 15 | 15.1830244920161 | -0.0995734487915743 | -0.0995734487915745 | -0.107816674866238 |
| 30 | 14 | 14.5343662583743 | -0.102495413321234 | -0.102495413321234 | -0.557372502113621 |
| 31 | 15 | 14.8060330623435 | -0.100652015435196 | -0.100652015435196 | 0.380073973590501 |
| 32 | 15 | 14.9258924724297 | -0.0996064964441538 | -0.099606496444154 | 0.224059292236240 |
| 33 | 14 | 14.4209063444220 | -0.101490727025675 | -0.101490727025675 | -0.411952916642729 |
| 34 | 13 | 13.6400034895741 | -0.104612889819452 | -0.104612889819453 | -0.690468204408783 |
| 35 | 12 | 12.7372428223082 | -0.108252973234636 | -0.108252973234636 | -0.811158944943769 |
| 36 | 13 | 12.8963431083871 | -0.107040811397382 | -0.107040811397382 | 0.271715847118304 |
| 37 | 12 | 11.8514325660342 | -0.0823473540310837 | 0.905820894809686 | -1.04350229454497 |
| 38 | 9 | 10.1980073566812 | -0.108122373080189 | -0.108122372716817 | -1.46319107171368 |
| 39 | 10 | 10.1001729521356 | -0.108026935179564 | -0.108026935179563 | 0.0102335043072029 |
| 40 | 8 | 8.93777017747933 | -0.114389693068281 | -0.114389693068280 | -1.06500713937670 |
| 41 | 11 | 10.1028784046752 | -0.108511302608257 | -0.108511302608257 | 1.29787006018571 |
| 42 | 8 | 8.9417652538594 | -0.112672742069584 | -0.112672742069583 | -1.06918731527649 |
| 43 | 8 | 8.42929940350655 | -0.114137928063877 | -0.114137928063877 | -0.406301479613735 |
| 44 | 8 | 8.2029902745396 | -0.114534033766936 | -0.114534033766936 | -0.114021241683403 |
| 45 | 4 | 5.87107349387417 | -0.122219295461473 | -0.122219295461473 | -2.2541589831711 |
| 46 | 6 | 5.95718333309146 | -0.121504590659857 | -0.121504590659857 | 0.211793093529790 |
| 47 | 8 | 7.11111232857776 | -0.117157057188541 | -0.117157057188541 | 1.29666645327670 |
| 48 | 10 | 8.73662323004881 | -0.111244918378391 | -0.111244918378392 | 1.77169793326062 |
| 49 | 5 | 6.22346939730925 | -0.0641599428613071 | 0.705759371332797 | -2.61528642839447 |
| 50 | 6 | 6.10420289893826 | -0.0648791670129732 | -0.0648791668404713 | -0.0523032537481351 |
| 51 | 5 | 5.49078970019951 | -0.068918363081794 | -0.0689183630817937 | -0.54823484984933 |
| 52 | 9 | 7.4618682697087 | -0.0591414082220524 | -0.0591414082220509 | 2.06375593968118 |
| 53 | 8 | 7.76930974647398 | -0.0578027201474461 | -0.057802720147446 | 0.372095809486748 |
| 54 | 6 | 6.78840994928271 | -0.0607058403524902 | -0.0607058403524898 | -0.938003378715683 |
| 55 | 9 | 8.02977458718216 | -0.0569069382366746 | -0.0569069382366744 | 1.32363668466822 |
| 56 | 11 | 9.69399359139506 | -0.0520649575285591 | -0.0520649575285597 | 1.74992448499083 |
| 57 | 11 | 10.4288715210590 | -0.0498905100301642 | -0.0498905100301641 | 0.800167762386354 |
| 58 | 8 | 9.07921757702635 | -0.0534478988365732 | -0.0534478988365732 | -1.32164912009629 |
| 59 | 11 | 10.1573243834821 | -0.050368608791682 | -0.0503686087916823 | 1.15062567861942 |
| 60 | 11 | 10.6334311280640 | -0.0489417030731311 | -0.0489417030731312 | 0.535352692433209 |
| 61 | 13 | 11.5361672855467 | -0.0638014684217934 | 0.701816151466403 | 1.02265693568257 |
