Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 19 | 16.5794726021753 | 1.03235054104375 | 20.388176856781 | -2.42052739782475 |
2 | 18 | 17.9886985481575 | -1.9169314554759 | 19.9282329073184 | -0.0113014518424599 |
3 | 19 | 20.7625041635123 | -2.23079312136806 | 19.4682889578557 | 1.76250416351234 |
4 | 19 | 18.3054067181281 | 0.660724143924287 | 19.0338691379476 | -0.69459328187191 |
5 | 22 | 24.0483090239063 | 1.35224165805421 | 18.5994493180395 | 2.04830902390627 |
6 | 23 | 27.1994838743161 | 0.573790664277994 | 18.2267254614059 | 4.19948387431609 |
7 | 20 | 21.7506569828584 | 0.39534141236926 | 17.8540016047723 | 1.75065698285842 |
8 | 14 | 11.3164171196300 | -0.857319827159091 | 17.5409027075291 | -2.68358288036999 |
9 | 14 | 11.0821777540783 | -0.309981564364153 | 17.2278038102858 | -2.91782224592169 |
10 | 14 | 11.6123226040687 | -0.694406986287024 | 17.0820843822183 | -2.38767739593131 |
11 | 15 | 11.9424682005736 | 1.1211668452756 | 16.9363649541508 | -3.05753179942642 |
12 | 11 | 3.96684807555007 | 0.873823516462943 | 17.159328407987 | -7.03315192444993 |
13 | 17 | 15.5853575971331 | 1.03235054104375 | 17.3822918618232 | -1.41464240286691 |
14 | 16 | 16.0153217418746 | -1.9169314554759 | 17.9016097136013 | 0.0153217418745726 |
15 | 20 | 23.8098655559886 | -2.23079312136806 | 18.4209275653795 | 3.80986555598856 |
16 | 24 | 28.1695431459581 | 0.660724143924287 | 19.1697327101176 | 4.16954314595814 |
17 | 23 | 24.7292204870902 | 1.35224165805421 | 19.9185378548556 | 1.72922048709015 |
18 | 20 | 18.7797288291388 | 0.573790664277994 | 20.6464805065832 | -1.22027117086124 |
19 | 21 | 20.2302354293199 | 0.39534141236926 | 21.3744231583109 | -0.769764570680117 |
20 | 19 | 17.0404348651263 | -0.857319827159091 | 21.8168849620327 | -1.95956513487366 |
21 | 23 | 24.0506347986095 | -0.309981564364153 | 22.2593467657546 | 1.05063479860952 |
22 | 23 | 24.1978226689064 | -0.694406986287024 | 22.4965843173806 | 1.19782266890643 |
23 | 23 | 22.1450112857179 | 1.1211668452756 | 22.7338218690065 | -0.854988714282147 |
24 | 23 | 22.0772804574833 | 0.873823516462943 | 23.0488960260537 | -0.922719542516653 |
25 | 27 | 29.6036792758554 | 1.03235054104375 | 23.3639701831009 | 2.60367927585537 |
26 | 26 | 30.1815384693696 | -1.9169314554759 | 23.7353929861063 | 4.18153846936957 |
27 | 17 | 12.1239773322563 | -2.23079312136806 | 24.1068157891118 | -4.87602266774373 |
28 | 24 | 23.0460549716213 | 0.660724143924287 | 24.2932208844544 | -0.953945028378676 |
29 | 26 | 26.1681323621488 | 1.35224165805421 | 24.479625979797 | 0.168132362148807 |
30 | 24 | 22.9984478087803 | 0.573790664277994 | 24.4277615269417 | -1.00155219121974 |
31 | 27 | 29.2287615135442 | 0.39534141236926 | 24.3758970740865 | 2.22876151354423 |
32 | 27 | 30.7010085390211 | -0.857319827159091 | 24.1563112881379 | 3.70100853902114 |
33 | 26 | 28.3732560621748 | -0.309981564364153 | 23.9367255021894 | 2.37325606217477 |
34 | 24 | 25.0632564123993 | -0.694406986287024 | 23.6311505738877 | 1.06325641239929 |
35 | 23 | 21.5532575091383 | 1.1211668452756 | 23.3255756455861 | -1.44674249086167 |
36 | 23 | 22.3255098600014 | 0.873823516462943 | 22.8006666235356 | -0.674490139998579 |
37 | 24 | 24.6918918574710 | 1.03235054104375 | 22.2757576014852 | 0.691891857471045 |
38 | 17 | 14.3977260030349 | -1.9169314554759 | 21.5192054524410 | -2.60227399696515 |
39 | 21 | 23.4681398179712 | -2.23079312136806 | 20.7626533033969 | 2.46813981797116 |
40 | 19 | 17.4185426836807 | 0.660724143924287 | 19.9207331723951 | -1.58145731631935 |
41 | 22 | 23.5689453005526 | 1.35224165805421 | 19.0788130413932 | 1.56894530055258 |
42 | 22 | 25.2877044618297 | 0.573790664277994 | 18.1385048738923 | 3.28770446182975 |
43 | 18 | 18.4064618812394 | 0.39534141236926 | 17.1981967063913 | 0.406461881239441 |
44 | 16 | 16.9138071487343 | -0.857319827159091 | 15.9435126784248 | 0.913807148734259 |
45 | 14 | 13.6211529139058 | -0.309981564364153 | 14.6888286504584 | -0.378847086094213 |
46 | 12 | 11.5475051095578 | -0.694406986287024 | 13.1469018767293 | -0.452494890442246 |
47 | 14 | 15.2738580517242 | 1.1211668452756 | 11.6049751030002 | 1.27385805172423 |
48 | 16 | 21.0432565858975 | 0.873823516462943 | 10.0829198976396 | 5.04325658589749 |
49 | 8 | 6.40678476667728 | 1.03235054104375 | 8.56086469227896 | -1.59321523332272 |
50 | 3 | 0.432365627144699 | -1.9169314554759 | 7.4845658283312 | -2.5676343728553 |
51 | 0 | -4.17747384301538 | -2.23079312136806 | 6.40826696438344 | -4.17747384301538 |
52 | 5 | 3.07364791677477 | 0.660724143924287 | 6.26562793930094 | -1.92635208322523 |
53 | 1 | -5.47523057227266 | 1.35224165805421 | 6.12298891421845 | -6.47523057227266 |
54 | 1 | -5.1016158648699 | 0.573790664277994 | 6.52782520059191 | -6.1016158648699 |
55 | 3 | -1.32800289933463 | 0.39534141236926 | 6.93266148696538 | -4.32800289933463 |
56 | 6 | 5.45729259748866 | -0.857319827159091 | 7.40002722967043 | -0.542707402511338 |
57 | 7 | 6.44258859198867 | -0.309981564364153 | 7.86739297237548 | -0.55741140801133 |
58 | 8 | 8.23080359847971 | -0.694406986287024 | 8.46360338780731 | 0.230803598479714 |
59 | 14 | 17.8190193514853 | 1.1211668452756 | 9.05981380323914 | 3.81901935148526 |
60 | 14 | 17.3327782617739 | 0.873823516462943 | 9.7933982217632 | 3.33277826177386 |
61 | 13 | 14.440666818669 | 1.03235054104375 | 10.5269826402873 | 1.44066681866899 |