| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 20366 | 20366 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 22782 | 21193.6675851375 | 958.934718175826 | 1588.33241486253 | 0.997276983536058 |
| 3 | 19169 | 20924.4843277242 | 237.385385001715 | -1755.48432772419 | -0.437492457784884 |
| 4 | 13807 | 16727.0517507557 | -2218.62355168664 | -2920.05175075572 | -1.73937110654325 |
| 5 | 29743 | 23291.2289923925 | 2908.04817164494 | 6451.77100760747 | 3.32856330234781 |
| 6 | 25591 | 27164.6786710660 | 3456.87449877651 | -1573.67867106597 | 0.342895434537874 |
| 7 | 29096 | 29875.3873479631 | 3038.29426951669 | -779.387347963149 | -0.265218197482212 |
| 8 | 26482 | 28863.1183195991 | 756.640596866757 | -2381.11831959906 | -1.45026658659479 |
| 9 | 22405 | 24643.7348440921 | -2055.24970013090 | -2238.73484409214 | -1.78290175841877 |
| 10 | 27044 | 24815.3412892653 | -796.287084798538 | 2228.65871073466 | 0.79788885643197 |
| 11 | 17970 | 20594.9333592384 | -2731.72090378324 | -2624.93335923837 | -1.22685550331592 |
| 12 | 18730 | 18041.7786043577 | -2630.82113190869 | 688.221395642296 | 0.0639589718187483 |
| 13 | 19684 | 17941.3226596808 | -1209.02972084024 | 1742.67734031916 | 0.905671678121439 |
| 14 | 19785 | 16976.2896379384 | -1071.19204282220 | 2808.71036206163 | 0.0888683917718068 |
| 15 | 18479 | 17684.2722047980 | -79.0737090463728 | 794.727795202044 | 0.623777469104689 |
| 16 | 10698 | 17853.9857610657 | 56.0249926095691 | -7155.98576106568 | 0.0858650176625413 |
| 17 | 31956 | 23170.3734751062 | 2935.28301840299 | 8785.6265248938 | 1.85693005783753 |
| 18 | 29506 | 29557.8391270713 | 4837.45981268984 | -51.8391270712555 | 1.20767469639308 |
| 19 | 34506 | 34023.3214664879 | 4634.14817202373 | 482.678533512138 | -0.128233395283186 |
| 20 | 27165 | 31726.0347443636 | 861.489801120861 | -4561.03474436356 | -2.38993447130127 |
| 21 | 26736 | 29994.2967587512 | -552.503505558864 | -3258.29675875124 | -0.89706647400581 |
| 22 | 23691 | 23175.8384658944 | -3974.65822862368 | 515.161534105587 | -2.16959438384515 |
| 23 | 18157 | 19624.5008052785 | -3743.49813450407 | -1467.50080527852 | 0.146545424076826 |
| 24 | 17328 | 16921.9628292914 | -3175.53144022084 | 406.037170708649 | 0.360368606101136 |
| 25 | 18205 | 15390.1210921186 | -2278.08332606694 | 2814.87890788138 | 0.57058953523941 |
| 26 | 20995 | 16664.0275548978 | -335.952374164951 | 4330.97244510216 | 1.23324769979221 |
| 27 | 17382 | 17277.0723363253 | 180.334664438083 | 104.92766367472 | 0.326236378340560 |
| 28 | 9367 | 19047.4081185976 | 1038.85127371424 | -9680.40811859762 | 0.544118254525539 |
| 29 | 31124 | 23112.6001683402 | 2674.76342462685 | 8011.39983165984 | 1.04324384771461 |
| 30 | 26551 | 26437.6981621657 | 3027.88550077186 | 113.301837834284 | 0.224605054653344 |
| 31 | 30651 | 27996.1686766081 | 2230.95820209727 | 2654.83132339190 | -0.504303814073434 |
| 32 | 25859 | 29000.1920539628 | 1567.90792866891 | -3141.19205396277 | -0.419449319291681 |
| 33 | 25100 | 27138.4299432095 | -283.372743220674 | -2038.42994320953 | -1.17310080388471 |
| 34 | 25778 | 25487.9281381442 | -1021.70396643237 | 290.071861855767 | -0.468241959680586 |
| 35 | 20418 | 22909.0547076613 | -1863.04916896555 | -2491.05470766127 | -0.533785528846109 |
| 36 | 18688 | 19652.4171276587 | -2616.40031000041 | -964.417127658702 | -0.478219081961303 |
| 37 | 20424 | 18145.9972831992 | -2015.79183667570 | 2278.00271680082 | 0.381239880619699 |
| 38 | 24776 | 19263.6610800866 | -320.680116834597 | 5512.33891991341 | 1.07411934126550 |
| 39 | 19814 | 20470.2232877218 | 502.928463061592 | -656.223287721751 | 0.521086914453038 |
| 40 | 12738 | 23113.3756728051 | 1653.24787540263 | -10375.3756728051 | 0.729162304600828 |
| 41 | 31566 | 24521.7565982733 | 1521.58062198078 | 7044.24340172667 | -0.0837175067358104 |
| 42 | 30111 | 28220.2326340707 | 2695.13436206932 | 1890.76736592929 | 0.745879219348724 |
| 43 | 30019 | 28457.9984903607 | 1369.96958604314 | 1561.00150963933 | -0.839814572746483 |
| 44 | 31934 | 31875.2524919213 | 2471.55407167145 | 58.747508078736 | 0.697118496416605 |
| 45 | 25826 | 29872.1748298281 | 68.7404363168002 | -4046.17482982809 | -1.52170871095426 |
| 46 | 26835 | 26574.1301062608 | -1738.24410910148 | 260.8698937392 | -1.14590188775832 |
| 47 | 20205 | 22653.0960196170 | -2910.44967679836 | -2448.09601961695 | -0.74404159149443 |
| 48 | 17789 | 19330.2173855243 | -3132.16343074005 | -1541.21738552429 | -0.140755866161784 |
| 49 | 20520 | 18392.0812694051 | -1951.85278984319 | 2127.91873059490 | 0.74870643142129 |
| 50 | 22518 | 17551.1059180449 | -1354.67934364851 | 4966.8940819551 | 0.378241476645152 |
| 51 | 15572 | 16924.2473486072 | -964.332482578171 | -1352.2473486072 | 0.247097371033234 |
| 52 | 11509 | 19977.6813568358 | 1186.26399857658 | -8468.6813568358 | 1.3633303884715 |
| 53 | 25447 | 20501.4710065703 | 831.544472568955 | 4945.52899342968 | -0.225304814152327 |
| 54 | 24090 | 21504.4456840479 | 923.494132849033 | 2585.55431595209 | 0.0584038432930896 |
| 55 | 27786 | 25317.5863452870 | 2474.25325173195 | 2468.41365471304 | 0.983207468070805 |
| 56 | 26195 | 25493.7429511298 | 1242.73860389668 | 701.25704887024 | -0.779676939134254 |
| 57 | 20516 | 23839.9217403962 | -306.431655162060 | -3323.92174039622 | -0.98100859084074 |
| 58 | 22759 | 21787.7739812756 | -1239.25411424985 | 971.226018724396 | -0.591467686998088 |
| 59 | 19028 | 20893.5151327091 | -1054.81738691758 | -1865.51513270911 | 0.117072143999097 |
| 60 | 16971 | 19615.3722642040 | -1174.34133904716 | -2644.37226420395 | -0.0758740948010906 |
| 61 | 20036 | 18351.9763427279 | -1222.03046285902 | 1684.02365727214 | -0.0302428817436366 |
