Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 111.5 | NA | NA | 0.970345123254729 | NA |
2 | 108.1 | NA | NA | 0.997393067626448 | NA |
3 | 124.5 | NA | NA | 1.04265743467351 | NA |
4 | 106.3 | NA | NA | 0.930855956060765 | NA |
5 | 111.1 | NA | NA | 0.999731638887545 | NA |
6 | 121.3 | NA | NA | 1.05364263259105 | NA |
7 | 116.5 | 120.004807543497 | 113.75 | 1.05498731906371 | 0.97079444052917 |
8 | 117.4 | 120.033066346249 | 114.0625 | 1.05234469125478 | 0.978063825024238 |
9 | 123.6 | 118.529247348539 | 114.354166666667 | 1.03651008794496 | 1.04278060280388 |
10 | 98.4 | 103.635613336888 | 114.279166666667 | 0.906863572423273 | 0.949480558195101 |
11 | 107.2 | 106.146330518168 | 114.454166666667 | 0.92741342329027 | 1.00992657472649 |
12 | 118.9 | 118.035885810925 | 114.904166666667 | 1.02725505292896 | 1.00732077522983 |
13 | 111.9 | 111.735240942782 | 115.15 | 0.970345123254729 | 1.00147454872633 |
14 | 115.2 | 115.090848395195 | 115.391666666667 | 0.997393067626448 | 1.00094839517066 |
15 | 124.4 | 120.544232666191 | 115.6125 | 1.04265743467351 | 1.03198632774482 |
16 | 104.6 | 107.924990972279 | 115.941666666667 | 0.930855956060765 | 0.969191649289713 |
17 | 117 | 116.231299666163 | 116.2625 | 0.999731638887545 | 1.00661353986443 |
18 | 126.2 | 122.806439006123 | 116.554166666667 | 1.05364263259105 | 1.02763341255835 |
19 | 117.5 | 123.266476671602 | 116.841666666667 | 1.05498731906371 | 0.953219424880902 |
20 | 122.2 | 123.181330880919 | 117.054166666667 | 1.05234469125478 | 0.99203344472818 |
21 | 124.1 | 121.807210501665 | 117.516666666667 | 1.03651008794496 | 1.01882310159548 |
22 | 105.8 | 107.002344349509 | 117.991666666667 | 0.906863572423273 | 0.988763383112598 |
23 | 107.5 | 109.825070430553 | 118.420833333333 | 0.92741342329027 | 0.97882932902808 |
24 | 125.6 | 122.00793868225 | 118.770833333333 | 1.02725505292896 | 1.02944120978148 |
25 | 112.1 | 115.972414647661 | 119.516666666667 | 0.970345123254729 | 0.9666091746091 |
26 | 120.1 | 120.273136542404 | 120.5875 | 0.997393067626448 | 0.998560472044036 |
27 | 130.6 | 126.400491924274 | 121.229166666667 | 1.04265743467351 | 1.03322382699461 |
28 | 109.8 | 113.358862615783 | 121.779166666667 | 0.930855956060765 | 0.968605342946624 |
29 | 122.1 | 122.392145890808 | 122.425 | 0.999731638887545 | 0.997613034000823 |
30 | 129.5 | 129.778041091767 | 123.170833333333 | 1.05364263259105 | 0.997857564427483 |
31 | 132.1 | 130.937113637295 | 124.1125 | 1.05498731906371 | 1.00888125857063 |
32 | 133.3 | 131.714092419177 | 125.1625 | 1.05234469125478 | 1.01204053075639 |
33 | 128.4 | 130.608908665131 | 126.008333333333 | 1.03651008794496 | 0.983087611038888 |
34 | 114.7 | 115.194345287066 | 127.025 | 0.906863572423273 | 0.995708597624004 |
35 | 114.1 | 119.195810228382 | 128.525 | 0.92741342329027 | 0.957248411511962 |
36 | 136.9 | 133.264941970596 | 129.729166666667 | 1.02725505292896 | 1.02727692651685 |
37 | 123.4 | 127.361840531863 | 131.254166666667 | 0.970345123254729 | 0.968893033303235 |
38 | 134 | 132.748861496632 | 133.095833333333 | 0.997393067626448 | 1.00942485298377 |
39 | 137 | 140.128814814142 | 134.395833333333 | 1.04265743467351 | 0.977671867001146 |
40 | 127.8 | 126.530474394043 | 135.929166666667 | 0.930855956060765 | 1.01003335846196 |
41 | 140.1 | 138.021283845416 | 138.058333333333 | 0.999731638887545 | 1.01506083769596 |
42 | 140.4 | 146.763638364662 | 139.291666666667 | 1.05364263259105 | 0.95664022481611 |
43 | 157.8 | 148.265280352916 | 140.5375 | 1.05498731906371 | 1.06430851258223 |
44 | 151.8 | 149.546950166398 | 142.108333333333 | 1.05234469125478 | 1.01506583605413 |
45 | 141.1 | 148.134566735467 | 142.916666666667 | 1.03651008794496 | 0.95251232112469 |
46 | 138.8 | 130.54301125033 | 143.95 | 0.906863572423273 | 1.06325109763123 |
47 | 141.1 | 134.227636130878 | 144.733333333333 | 0.92741342329027 | 1.05119932129640 |
48 | 139.5 | 149.491291577487 | 145.525 | 1.02725505292896 | 0.933164725034783 |
49 | 150.7 | 142.139388138097 | 146.483333333333 | 0.970345123254729 | 1.06022687992428 |
50 | 144.4 | 146.113928602826 | 146.495833333333 | 0.997393067626448 | 0.988269916364476 |
51 | 146 | 152.988256508449 | 146.729166666667 | 1.04265743467351 | 0.95432161482236 |
52 | 143.6 | 136.843582673900 | 147.008333333333 | 0.930855956060765 | 1.04937328586464 |
53 | 143.1 | 146.331553093669 | 146.370833333333 | 0.999731638887545 | 0.977916225001723 |
54 | 156.4 | 154.077674305898 | 146.233333333333 | 1.05364263259105 | 1.015072434761 |
55 | 164.8 | NA | NA | 1.05498731906371 | NA |
56 | 145.1 | NA | NA | 1.05234469125478 | NA |
57 | 153.4 | NA | NA | 1.03651008794496 | NA |
58 | 133.2 | NA | NA | 0.906863572423273 | NA |
59 | 131.4 | NA | NA | 0.92741342329027 | NA |
60 | 145.9 | NA | NA | 1.02725505292896 | NA |