Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 111.5 | 113.348865137661 | -3.58534806057299 | 113.236482922912 | 1.84886513766091 |
2 | 108.1 | 104.621818357652 | -1.73025351694552 | 113.308435159293 | -3.47818164234774 |
3 | 124.5 | 129.794778387201 | 5.82483421712418 | 113.380387395674 | 5.29477838720136 |
4 | 106.3 | 107.769116787890 | -8.66525805045432 | 113.496141262564 | 1.46911678789012 |
5 | 111.1 | 109.403446026389 | -0.815341155843413 | 113.611895129454 | -1.69655397361055 |
6 | 121.3 | 121.944225345776 | 6.89718479268767 | 113.758589861536 | 0.644225345776334 |
7 | 116.5 | 109.585000822534 | 9.50971458384795 | 113.905284593618 | -6.91499917746597 |
8 | 117.4 | 115.399521450421 | 5.35836652021951 | 114.04211202936 | -2.00047854957944 |
9 | 123.6 | 127.874053357863 | 5.1470071770347 | 114.178939465102 | 4.27405335786344 |
10 | 98.4 | 93.6476947619934 | -11.2504274098956 | 114.402732647902 | -4.75230523800663 |
11 | 107.2 | 109.401343224015 | -9.6278690547171 | 114.626525830703 | 2.20134322401459 |
12 | 118.9 | 119.916652322493 | 2.93738881770933 | 114.945958859798 | 1.01665232249299 |
13 | 111.9 | 112.119956171680 | -3.58534806057299 | 115.265391888893 | 0.219956171680124 |
14 | 115.2 | 116.612184957578 | -1.73025351694552 | 115.518068559368 | 1.41218495757778 |
15 | 124.4 | 127.204420553033 | 5.82483421712418 | 115.770745229843 | 2.80442055303320 |
16 | 104.6 | 101.887846305741 | -8.66525805045432 | 115.977411744713 | -2.71215369425873 |
17 | 117 | 118.63126289626 | -0.815341155843413 | 116.184078259583 | 1.63126289625993 |
18 | 126.2 | 129.066057050713 | 6.89718479268767 | 116.436758156600 | 2.86605705071264 |
19 | 117.5 | 108.800847362536 | 9.50971458384795 | 116.689438053616 | -8.69915263746385 |
20 | 122.2 | 121.995698354057 | 5.35836652021951 | 117.045935125724 | -0.204301645943104 |
21 | 124.1 | 125.650560625134 | 5.1470071770347 | 117.402432197831 | 1.55056062513400 |
22 | 105.8 | 104.947108637290 | -11.2504274098956 | 117.903318772605 | -0.852891362709727 |
23 | 107.5 | 106.223663707338 | -9.6278690547171 | 118.404205347379 | -1.27633629266214 |
24 | 125.6 | 129.20837714268 | 2.93738881770933 | 119.054234039611 | 3.60837714268007 |
25 | 112.1 | 108.081085328731 | -3.58534806057299 | 119.704262731842 | -4.01891467126896 |
26 | 120.1 | 121.501654974752 | -1.73025351694552 | 120.428598542193 | 1.40165497475216 |
27 | 130.6 | 134.222231430331 | 5.82483421712418 | 121.152934352545 | 3.62223143033103 |
28 | 109.8 | 106.439942685321 | -8.66525805045432 | 121.825315365134 | -3.36005731467942 |
29 | 122.1 | 122.517644778121 | -0.815341155843413 | 122.497696377723 | 0.417644778120675 |
30 | 129.5 | 128.822309339438 | 6.89718479268767 | 123.280505867875 | -0.677690660562476 |
31 | 132.1 | 130.626970058125 | 9.50971458384795 | 124.063315358027 | -1.47302994187483 |
32 | 133.3 | 136.219344958545 | 5.35836652021951 | 125.022288521235 | 2.91934495854505 |
33 | 128.4 | 125.671731138521 | 5.1470071770347 | 125.981261684444 | -2.72826886147871 |
34 | 114.7 | 113.490298694015 | -11.2504274098956 | 127.160128715880 | -1.20970130598488 |
35 | 114.1 | 109.488873307400 | -9.6278690547171 | 128.338995747317 | -4.61112669259975 |
36 | 136.9 | 141.071188736922 | 2.93738881770933 | 129.791422445368 | 4.17118873692226 |
37 | 123.4 | 119.141498917153 | -3.58534806057299 | 131.24384914342 | -4.25850108284703 |
38 | 134 | 136.873701656349 | -1.73025351694552 | 132.856551860596 | 2.87370165634908 |
39 | 137 | 133.705911205103 | 5.82483421712418 | 134.469254577773 | -3.29408879489705 |
40 | 127.8 | 128.130724487733 | -8.66525805045432 | 136.134533562722 | 0.330724487732709 |
41 | 140.1 | 143.215528608173 | -0.815341155843413 | 137.799812547670 | 3.11552860817307 |
42 | 140.4 | 134.613246211742 | 6.89718479268767 | 139.289568995571 | -5.78675378825815 |
43 | 157.8 | 165.310959972681 | 9.50971458384795 | 140.779325443471 | 7.5109599726814 |
44 | 151.8 | 156.274774376966 | 5.35836652021951 | 141.966859102814 | 4.47477437696605 |
45 | 141.1 | 133.898600060807 | 5.1470071770347 | 143.154392762158 | -7.20139993919295 |
46 | 138.8 | 144.830021566295 | -11.2504274098956 | 144.020405843601 | 6.03002156629464 |
47 | 141.1 | 146.941450129673 | -9.6278690547171 | 144.886418925044 | 5.84145012967349 |
48 | 139.5 | 130.553252456325 | 2.93738881770933 | 145.509358725966 | -8.94674754367529 |
49 | 150.7 | 158.853049533685 | -3.58534806057299 | 146.132298526888 | 8.15304953368468 |
50 | 144.4 | 144.095511514541 | -1.73025351694552 | 146.434742002405 | -0.304488485459387 |
51 | 146 | 139.437980304954 | 5.82483421712418 | 146.737185477921 | -6.56201969504568 |
52 | 143.6 | 149.336683535466 | -8.66525805045432 | 146.528574514989 | 5.7366835354658 |
53 | 143.1 | 140.695377603788 | -0.815341155843413 | 146.319963552056 | -2.40462239621215 |
54 | 156.4 | 159.834598830791 | 6.89718479268767 | 146.068216376522 | 3.43459883079080 |
55 | 164.8 | 174.273816215165 | 9.50971458384795 | 145.816469200988 | 9.47381621516453 |
56 | 145.1 | 139.288669765137 | 5.35836652021951 | 145.552963714644 | -5.81133023486336 |
57 | 153.4 | 156.363534594665 | 5.1470071770347 | 145.289458228300 | 2.96353459466513 |
58 | 133.2 | 132.670627534039 | -11.2504274098956 | 144.979799875857 | -0.529372465961472 |
59 | 131.4 | 127.757727531303 | -9.6278690547171 | 144.670141523414 | -3.64227246869677 |
60 | 145.9 | 144.548211446381 | 2.93738881770933 | 144.314399735910 | -1.35178855361886 |