| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.2227 | 0.1953 | 0.3764 | -0.5459 | 0.4486 | -0.2251 | -0.3855 |
| (p-val) | (0.5557 ) | (0.2358 ) | (0.0138 ) | (0.1929 ) | (0.6789 ) | (0.3206 ) | (0.7315 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.1824 | 0.1837 | 0.3776 | -0.5027 | 0.0786 | -0.1901 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.6261 ) | (0.2508 ) | (0.0117 ) | (0.2255 ) | (0.6734 ) | (0.3916 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.144 | 0.1988 | 0.3884 | -0.4728 | 0 | -0.1943 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.715 ) | (0.2123 ) | (0.0094 ) | (0.2918 ) | (NA ) | (0.3838 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.1684 | 0.4042 | -0.3154 | 0 | -0.168 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.228 ) | (0.0026 ) | (0.0394 ) | (NA ) | (0.4246 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.143 | 0.4016 | -0.3087 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.2909 ) | (0.0029 ) | (0.0395 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.3989 | -0.2691 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0039 ) | (0.0378 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.06999634941504 |
| 160.160591901881 |
| 101.653825091510 |
| 214.425559357372 |
| 316.590851338859 |
| 465.571941647846 |
| -397.29388919477 |
| -172.386429648398 |
| -314.692758977089 |
| 258.159546194238 |
| 174.559848444493 |
| 106.260345600553 |
| 86.224122974923 |
| 212.906532711516 |
| 282.88130978281 |
| -249.900369741832 |
| 368.63984278492 |
| -51.028869874848 |
| -15.5825667335685 |
| 939.796644001414 |
| -437.276688829219 |
| -105.124179676387 |
| -318.564349733256 |
| 266.210433528641 |
| 55.3034748117589 |
| -37.3188154820368 |
| -409.439536008771 |
| -178.483811682255 |
| -4.54683430232171 |
| 125.875128961007 |
| -34.2365608908985 |
| 37.7025778430734 |
| 140.973336868474 |
| 402.907019936968 |
| -61.4921611548084 |
| -101.110451426134 |
| -124.270782364199 |
| -51.1954928244093 |
| -140.992955593687 |
| 254.690538763783 |
| 13.9621115899849 |
| -8.09308738515392 |
| 612.893560339995 |
| 34.3485265889221 |
| 114.123833759777 |
| 648.739662538549 |
| 190.922266255158 |
| -216.874754257582 |
| -165.716811320284 |
