| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.931 | -0.8181 | 0.5645 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0163 ) | (0.0849 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.9131 | -0.793 | -0.1704 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.2693 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.9061 | -0.8021 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -1.91135315655111 |
| -0.9500912091981 |
| 1.13297887195686 |
| -0.0165511350337175 |
| 0.967579366656468 |
| -4.06956588060967 |
| 1.35865152004294 |
| -8.69956762786163 |
| -1.77481487568476 |
| -12.5356357169547 |
| 2.62181146617867 |
| 3.04816124214187 |
| 1.49911074707639 |
| 0.13050118459867 |
| -3.65323241861731 |
| 6.51145410109876 |
| 5.76212597631161 |
| -2.83471901829008 |
| -4.62733600870419 |
| -2.79254016469280 |
| -4.49841168413909 |
| -16.9199274088698 |
| -1.62864810304783 |
| -7.55536254393534 |
| 11.8970458755995 |
| -7.04075816545621 |
| -5.06192120494554 |
| 4.00788981900572 |
| -10.7475868496657 |
| -8.8584353713851 |
| 12.391530006981 |
| 6.04600447879121 |
| -16.3987402300489 |
| 17.5695715404261 |
| 5.04797128021656 |
| 11.340948427245 |
| -0.801517846504538 |
| 0.498591328460297 |
| -0.136360678527138 |
| 2.15500380987714 |
| -9.41644187013566 |
| 19.1447796334558 |
| -6.59175811202477 |
| -4.46762943045415 |
| 3.58965945652783 |
| 4.99786274679261 |
| 12.4306150223654 |
| 9.4247736170156 |
| 5.14934872489348 |
