| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5933 | 0.0697 | 0.28 | -0.7844 | -1.1659 | -0.4108 | 0.9659 |
| (p-val) | (0.0015 ) | (0.7033 ) | (0.0937 ) | (0 ) | (0.0361 ) | (0.0626 ) | (0.7285 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.5952 | 0.0743 | 0.2791 | -0.7923 | -0.3482 | -0.1771 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0014 ) | (0.6894 ) | (0.1041 ) | (0 ) | (0.0825 ) | (0.4572 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.6286 | 0 | 0.3196 | -0.7927 | -0.3597 | -0.2191 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.0194 ) | (0 ) | (0.0688 ) | (0.2976 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.6362 | 0 | 0.2892 | -0.7863 | -0.2938 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0014 ) | (NA ) | (0.0388 ) | (0 ) | (0.0996 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.6378 | 0 | 0.2572 | -0.7742 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0066 ) | (NA ) | (0.0654 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | -0.1092 | 0 | 0 | -0.0414 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.8523 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.943 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | -0.1495 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.299 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -18.9199982900071 |
| 16.7987931300386 |
| -99.4584620893339 |
| 196.750772491148 |
| 164.694472875306 |
| -330.116203295995 |
| -2.32578072185578 |
| 0.475111524462407 |
| 33.9534843854976 |
| -62.7674219294779 |
| 10.8338483235171 |
| 78.1395468421279 |
| -123.787332702873 |
| 41.8171988721256 |
| -21.7308617040085 |
| -72.6345691480146 |
| 13.8338483204816 |
| -23.4119464660525 |
| -24.0365602256879 |
| -9.99004461162167 |
| -9.04651561407081 |
| 8.80398215534933 |
| 14.4950223058122 |
| 12.9435289975572 |
| 145.644524536395 |
| -83.4716787963162 |
| 1.30226578897964 |
| 14.5415379198785 |
| -58.2059732330272 |
| -39.9701338348677 |
| -63.6345691480156 |
| 235.179368395709 |
| -0.521455738202349 |
| 62.4684174684999 |
| -120.833848320481 |
| -48.5847922061303 |
| -34.3355646868549 |
| -49.4850669174366 |
| -80.7276003761508 |
| -88.0631650630048 |
| 51.4883282452529 |
| -78.5813594733873 |
| -80.1561962911419 |
| -203.016649448937 |
| -96.8539305021577 |
| -111.166151679517 |
| -143.099725288698 |
| -32.1362855143880 |
