Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 5594 | 5601.38378994445 | -23.9565576536318 | 5610.57276770919 | 7.3837899444452 |
2 | 5585 | 5574.86465328893 | -48.4117417897432 | 5643.54708850081 | -10.1353467110703 |
3 | 5710 | 5790.3455682606 | -46.8669775530362 | 5676.52140929244 | 80.3455682605954 |
4 | 5511 | 5449.40352261095 | -136.533559930839 | 5709.13003731989 | -61.59647738905 |
5 | 5403 | 5208.26151277356 | -144.000178120895 | 5741.73866534734 | -194.738487226443 |
6 | 5826 | 5932.75280867462 | -54.4925271669023 | 5773.73971849229 | 106.752808674616 |
7 | 5884 | 5975.04400092923 | -12.7847725664654 | 5805.74077163724 | 91.0440009292297 |
8 | 5965 | 5980.77641159491 | 111.279287387950 | 5837.94430101714 | 15.7764115949149 |
9 | 5960 | 5954.90880736059 | 94.9433622423753 | 5870.14783039704 | -5.09119263941011 |
10 | 6064 | 6072.12644321901 | 152.135281868172 | 5903.73827491282 | 8.12644321900825 |
11 | 6046 | 6079.34402235288 | 75.3272582185163 | 5937.3287194286 | 33.3440223528796 |
12 | 5954 | 5905.55449050247 | 33.3610693698076 | 5969.08444012772 | -48.4455094975265 |
13 | 5952 | 5927.1163968268 | -23.9565576536318 | 6000.84016082684 | -24.8836031732035 |
14 | 5960 | 5939.66427654394 | -48.4117417897432 | 6028.7474652458 | -20.3357234560572 |
15 | 5983 | 5956.21220788827 | -46.8669775530362 | 6056.65476966477 | -26.7877921117297 |
16 | 5996 | 6044.63718987045 | -136.533559930839 | 6083.89637006039 | 48.637189870452 |
17 | 6021 | 6074.86220766489 | -144.000178120895 | 6111.137970456 | 53.8622076648871 |
18 | 6094 | 6105.98318829451 | -54.4925271669023 | 6136.5093388724 | 11.9831882945064 |
19 | 6202 | 6254.90406527768 | -12.7847725664654 | 6161.88070728878 | 52.9040652776803 |
20 | 6276 | 6256.85828143089 | 111.279287387950 | 6183.86243118116 | -19.1417185691089 |
21 | 6306 | 6311.21248268409 | 94.9433622423753 | 6205.84415507353 | 5.21248268409181 |
22 | 6342 | 6307.51604468284 | 152.135281868172 | 6224.34867344898 | -34.4839553171551 |
23 | 6345 | 6371.81954995705 | 75.3272582185163 | 6242.85319182443 | 26.819549957052 |
24 | 6328 | 6362.82990390336 | 33.3610693698076 | 6259.80902672684 | 34.8299039033564 |
25 | 6191 | 6129.19169602439 | -23.9565576536318 | 6276.76486162924 | -61.8083039756093 |
26 | 6261 | 6278.19470355271 | -48.4117417897432 | 6292.21703823704 | 17.1947035527082 |
27 | 6253 | 6245.19776270821 | -46.8669775530362 | 6307.66921484483 | -7.80223729179306 |
28 | 6198 | 6209.93307870649 | -136.533559930839 | 6322.60048122435 | 11.9330787064855 |
29 | 6247 | 6300.46843051702 | -144.000178120895 | 6337.53174760388 | 53.4684305170176 |
30 | 6293 | 6285.16834039823 | -54.4925271669023 | 6355.32418676867 | -7.83165960176939 |
31 | 6381 | 6401.668146633 | -12.7847725664654 | 6373.11662593347 | 20.6681466329974 |
32 | 6448 | 6390.74939607617 | 111.279287387950 | 6393.97131653588 | -57.2506039238306 |
33 | 6470 | 6430.23063061933 | 94.9433622423753 | 6414.8260071383 | -39.7693693806686 |
34 | 6516 | 6444.34779171294 | 152.135281868172 | 6435.51692641889 | -71.6522082870588 |
35 | 6532 | 6532.46489608200 | 75.3272582185163 | 6456.20784569948 | 0.464896082004998 |
36 | 6526 | 6543.01815998688 | 33.3610693698076 | 6475.62077064331 | 17.0181599868783 |
37 | 6533 | 6594.92286206648 | -23.9565576536318 | 6495.03369558715 | 61.9228620664817 |
38 | 6498 | 6527.036258691 | -48.4117417897432 | 6517.37548309875 | 29.036258690996 |
39 | 6507 | 6521.14970694269 | -46.8669775530362 | 6539.71727061035 | 14.1497069426905 |
40 | 6464 | 6501.0134331099 | -136.533559930839 | 6563.52012682094 | 37.0134331098989 |
41 | 6453 | 6462.67719508936 | -144.000178120895 | 6587.32298303153 | 9.67719508935988 |
42 | 6468 | 6382.93229487866 | -54.4925271669023 | 6607.56023228824 | -85.0677051213379 |
43 | 6497 | 6378.98729102152 | -12.7847725664654 | 6627.79748154495 | -118.012708978481 |
44 | 6808 | 6862.90792414608 | 111.279287387950 | 6641.81278846597 | 54.9079241460786 |
45 | 6793 | 6835.22854237063 | 94.9433622423753 | 6655.828095387 | 42.2285423706271 |
46 | 6907 | 6998.48901206657 | 152.135281868172 | 6663.37570606526 | 91.4890120665723 |
47 | 6792 | 6837.74942503797 | 75.3272582185163 | 6670.92331674351 | 45.7494250379705 |
48 | 6757 | 6813.55762960394 | 33.3610693698076 | 6667.08130102626 | 56.5576296039371 |
49 | 6734 | 6828.71727234463 | -23.9565576536318 | 6663.239285309 | 94.7172723446329 |
50 | 6654 | 6714.06088845976 | -48.4117417897432 | 6642.35085332998 | 60.0608884597641 |
51 | 6589 | 6603.40455620208 | -46.8669775530362 | 6621.46242135096 | 14.4045562020774 |
52 | 6469 | 6498.91647962698 | -136.533559930839 | 6575.61708030386 | 29.9164796269824 |
53 | 6521 | 6656.22843886414 | -144.000178120895 | 6529.77173925676 | 135.228438864139 |
54 | 6448 | 6468.73433272768 | -54.4925271669023 | 6481.75819443922 | 20.7343327276785 |
55 | 6410 | 6399.04012294477 | -12.7847725664654 | 6433.74464962169 | -10.9598770552266 |
56 | 6528 | 6560.5007108128 | 111.279287387950 | 6384.22000179924 | 32.5007108128075 |
57 | 6445 | 6460.36128378083 | 94.9433622423753 | 6334.69535397679 | 15.3612837808314 |
58 | 6458 | 6480.41163467373 | 152.135281868172 | 6283.4530834581 | 22.4116346737328 |
59 | 6215 | 6122.46192884209 | 75.3272582185163 | 6232.2108129394 | -92.538071157911 |
60 | 6167 | 6121.0410323977 | 33.3610693698076 | 6179.59789823249 | -45.9589676023006 |