| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 5594 | 5594 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 5585 | 5585.49267698426 | -0.465753823415763 | -0.492676984255414 | -0.0537199697662753 |
| 3 | 5710 | 5707.59629447591 | 0.20554233735301 | 2.40370552408965 | 1.28964252188643 |
| 4 | 5511 | 5515.60454454272 | -0.535805249445372 | -4.60454454272467 | -2.02202742407307 |
| 5 | 5403 | 5404.783537737 | -0.985150683927748 | -1.78353773699529 | -1.16024585017360 |
| 6 | 5826 | 5817.44383922064 | 0.699299487030611 | 8.55616077935692 | 4.35168984027478 |
| 7 | 5884 | 5884.29817441451 | 0.967538038309447 | -0.298174414510328 | 0.695967805368592 |
| 8 | 5965 | 5962.75541720413 | 1.28045829966742 | 2.24458279587297 | 0.815204911765328 |
| 9 | 5960 | 5959.27488024367 | 1.26130967706468 | 0.725119756329473 | -0.0500860864667244 |
| 10 | 6064 | 6060.56615364512 | 1.66201651605400 | 3.43384635488151 | 1.05231571753898 |
| 11 | 6046 | 6045.2859663154 | 1.59441906893514 | 0.714033684595423 | -0.178230683152004 |
| 12 | 5954 | 5954.28874460505 | 1.22645718464851 | -0.288744605053132 | -0.974049435437869 |
| 13 | 5952 | 5961.23622504907 | 0.986194715512836 | -9.2362250490698 | 0.072383046271056 |
| 14 | 5960 | 5962.63914709725 | 0.9960390732434 | -2.63914709724886 | 0.00374972867586038 |
| 15 | 5983 | 5976.48673292223 | 1.04430184617196 | 6.51326707776588 | 0.135025993182668 |
| 16 | 5996 | 5994.44074367092 | 1.07332097560526 | 1.55925632907915 | 0.177714473876296 |
| 17 | 6021 | 6026.55317114321 | 1.13311776747348 | -5.55317114321482 | 0.326200354141215 |
| 18 | 6094 | 6084.0996647775 | 1.24395218827396 | 9.9003352224952 | 0.592866472567908 |
| 19 | 6202 | 6199.9652433678 | 1.46861684092947 | 2.03475663219371 | 1.20459447496761 |
| 20 | 6276 | 6271.74731564481 | 1.60611697343156 | 4.25268435518478 | 0.738944706054103 |
| 21 | 6306 | 6306.39034683838 | 1.67058042811459 | -0.390346838375145 | 0.347193814450709 |
| 22 | 6342 | 6338.082883181 | 1.72923492677536 | 3.9171168189974 | 0.315510013757201 |
| 23 | 6345 | 6342.71889485296 | 1.73519366445137 | 2.28110514704067 | 0.0305514167643221 |
| 24 | 6328 | 6328.63342302243 | 1.71369943878817 | -0.633423022430824 | -0.166196050529395 |
| 25 | 6191 | 6230.44176699557 | 3.59369480458091 | -39.4417669955685 | -1.14783473088277 |
| 26 | 6261 | 6260.53366904389 | 3.98062497438607 | 0.466330956110044 | 0.254986689834194 |
| 27 | 6253 | 6244.57766351016 | 3.91107323599912 | 8.42233648983997 | -0.209267911254642 |
| 28 | 6198 | 6196.11687911649 | 3.84962166890596 | 1.88312088350807 | -0.550264578482982 |
| 29 | 6247 | 6247.53782625779 | 3.91135978448179 | -0.537826257793444 | 0.499796953269810 |
| 30 | 6293 | 6282.59939307338 | 3.95406904306201 | 10.4006069266182 | 0.327271254796888 |
| 31 | 6381 | 6374.75084200278 | 4.07518182543971 | 6.24915799722021 | 0.926622703581974 |
| 32 | 6448 | 6440.44733385567 | 4.15956548742650 | 7.55266614432524 | 0.64740753922439 |
| 33 | 6470 | 6468.66706946473 | 4.19244958617888 | 1.33293053527424 | 0.25278118282265 |
| 34 | 6516 | 6508.63570832126 | 4.2421756108155 | 7.36429167873749 | 0.375880638291721 |
| 35 | 6532 | 6527.24637109663 | 4.26399606093862 | 4.7536289033730 | 0.150986058536011 |
| 36 | 6526 | 6522.2837022154 | 4.26095123738298 | 3.71629778459344 | -0.096883414367614 |
| 37 | 6533 | 6572.70053961493 | 3.72635669464867 | -39.7005396149298 | 0.512308066485386 |
| 38 | 6498 | 6501.30752992904 | 2.95752963466136 | -3.30752992903744 | -0.744530542525842 |
| 39 | 6507 | 6496.31060578667 | 2.93028665593125 | 10.6893942133312 | -0.0834179412674633 |
| 40 | 6464 | 6466.22985319075 | 2.89694415335629 | -2.22985319074863 | -0.346814813038366 |
| 41 | 6453 | 6455.04799083796 | 2.88286459612969 | -2.04799083795864 | -0.147897197461411 |
| 42 | 6468 | 6461.30592465191 | 2.88657030820552 | 6.69407534808749 | 0.0354545813052317 |
| 43 | 6497 | 6492.71889964202 | 2.91827204677625 | 4.28110035798338 | 0.299665872298256 |
| 44 | 6808 | 6786.5145357888 | 3.24036662172874 | 21.4854642112057 | 3.05562332299539 |
| 45 | 6793 | 6798.26041555772 | 3.24978847173702 | -5.26041555771793 | 0.0893492048566338 |
| 46 | 6907 | 6896.63625538307 | 3.35983211463438 | 10.3637446169312 | 0.99933593844963 |
| 47 | 6792 | 6794.94137495007 | 3.22857920938627 | -2.94137495006802 | -1.10381319909111 |
| 48 | 6757 | 6756.94392821925 | 3.23911156609529 | 0.05607178075444 | -0.43286267391238 |
| 49 | 6734 | 6764.61414884245 | 3.20376185130339 | -30.614148842451 | 0.0483050690153466 |
| 50 | 6654 | 6662.82892910669 | 2.40088842459201 | -8.82892910668605 | -1.05808427627804 |
| 51 | 6589 | 6581.28344098047 | 2.11800313368446 | 7.7165590195332 | -0.879588106515234 |
| 52 | 6469 | 6476.26061029273 | 2.01146917010183 | -7.26061029273046 | -1.12560133546848 |
| 53 | 6521 | 6518.34376090275 | 2.04492571364767 | 2.65623909725515 | 0.420925640267405 |
| 54 | 6448 | 6445.21690180501 | 1.9743201978064 | 2.78309819499167 | -0.78961198318977 |
| 55 | 6410 | 6421.84061407822 | 1.94981055578984 | -11.8406140782181 | -0.266285246180862 |
| 56 | 6528 | 6501.97851396721 | 2.02524000394423 | 26.0214860327853 | 0.821294854334814 |
| 57 | 6445 | 6461.63030801242 | 1.984043332134 | -16.6303080124156 | -0.445097906525562 |
| 58 | 6458 | 6444.84848638602 | 1.96448351554214 | 13.1515136139800 | -0.197135550775057 |
| 59 | 6215 | 6230.69974682862 | 1.73700106415493 | -15.6997468286192 | -2.27049373982922 |
| 60 | 6167 | 6168.16061800634 | 1.77627109626637 | -1.16061800633696 | -0.674976602552073 |
