| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2031 | -0.2306 | -0.2019 | -0.7898 | 0.4498 | -0.2166 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0.3266 ) | (0.222 ) | (0.2673 ) | (0 ) | (0.0628 ) | (0.3633 ) | (0.0967 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.2258 | -0.2127 | -0.1786 | -0.8117 | 0.5045 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.2557 ) | (0.2583 ) | (0.3114 ) | (0 ) | (0.0358 ) | (NA ) | (0.01 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.1506 | -0.1306 | 0 | -0.8737 | 0.4886 | 0 | -1.0001 |
| (p-val) | (0.4107 ) | (0.4453 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0458 ) | (NA ) | (0.0204 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.104 | 0 | 0 | -1.0972 | 0.4986 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.5426 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0393 ) | (NA ) | (0.0254 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9381 | 0.5185 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0292 ) | (NA ) | (0.014 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -32.0928134170003 |
| -128.744158053173 |
| -275.904809333092 |
| 471.760903738039 |
| -69.1654637163138 |
| 346.218578823237 |
| 163.216457137027 |
| -198.373745010757 |
| 204.401273185691 |
| -175.940320227463 |
| 17.4783262653075 |
| 223.539436263922 |
| 51.4668945111487 |
| 260.738288102879 |
| 204.977677230572 |
| -232.867546347215 |
| -217.221406054262 |
| 387.746049688947 |
| 63.5945545423544 |
| 364.638829260013 |
| 96.4516787351593 |
| -29.7694719663539 |
| 286.722082027268 |
| 211.416619028106 |
| -185.782838773910 |
| -141.320849733312 |
| 238.502069839504 |
| 209.511569776478 |
| 285.264826114983 |
| 20.084745860321 |
| -487.431942052935 |
| 107.320923964348 |
| 34.3269970752997 |
| 141.696685920852 |
| -133.438481853825 |
| -229.255640647698 |
| 69.0555896372578 |
| -139.443214460286 |
| 80.0405548902168 |
| -140.866735807813 |
| 415.577107396144 |
| 151.513504277031 |
| -24.7248794807892 |
| 8.4258084117008 |
| 272.69433043438 |
| 313.164475266341 |
| 179.140854480554 |
| -495.203375413695 |
