| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 562 | 561.926941045229 | 3.6908251759214 | 558.38223377885 | -0.0730589547709997 |
| 2 | 561 | 564.240035699221 | -3.75992434092145 | 561.5198886417 | 3.24003569922127 |
| 3 | 555 | 558.937635370478 | -13.5951788750283 | 564.657543504551 | 3.93763537047766 |
| 4 | 544 | 540.461438477241 | -20.2371237683152 | 567.775685291074 | -3.53856152275898 |
| 5 | 537 | 532.585237353755 | -29.479064431353 | 570.893827077598 | -4.41476264624475 |
| 6 | 543 | 540.028749274319 | -27.9471389393755 | 573.918389665056 | -2.97125072568087 |
| 7 | 594 | 587.272256218122 | 23.7847915293633 | 576.942952252515 | -6.7277437818783 |
| 8 | 611 | 608.325176066316 | 33.842152100764 | 579.83267183292 | -2.67482393368437 |
| 9 | 613 | 617.578094919156 | 25.6995136675183 | 582.722391413326 | 4.57809491915623 |
| 10 | 611 | 625.401740535918 | 11.1796328761253 | 585.418626587957 | 14.4017405359180 |
| 11 | 594 | 603.225382295687 | -3.34024405827524 | 588.114861762588 | 9.22538229568738 |
| 12 | 595 | 599.640026257207 | 0.161753634368499 | 590.198220108424 | 4.64002625720707 |
| 13 | 591 | 586.027596369818 | 3.6908251759214 | 592.281578454261 | -4.97240363018227 |
| 14 | 589 | 588.215465257235 | -3.75992434092145 | 593.544459083686 | -0.784534742764663 |
| 15 | 584 | 586.787839161917 | -13.5951788750283 | 594.807339713111 | 2.78783916191696 |
| 16 | 573 | 570.853662651814 | -20.2371237683152 | 595.383461116501 | -2.14633734818619 |
| 17 | 567 | 567.519481911462 | -29.479064431353 | 595.959582519891 | 0.519481911461639 |
| 18 | 569 | 569.705997475435 | -27.9471389393755 | 596.241141463941 | 0.705997475434742 |
| 19 | 621 | 621.692508062647 | 23.7847915293633 | 596.52270040799 | 0.692508062646766 |
| 20 | 629 | 627.57712157037 | 33.842152100764 | 596.580726328866 | -1.42287842963026 |
| 21 | 628 | 633.66173408274 | 25.6995136675183 | 596.638752249743 | 5.66173408273926 |
| 22 | 612 | 616.1997161655 | 11.1796328761253 | 596.620650958374 | 4.19971616550049 |
| 23 | 595 | 596.73769439127 | -3.34024405827524 | 596.602549667006 | 1.73769439126954 |
| 24 | 597 | 597.217587160785 | 0.161753634368499 | 596.620659204847 | 0.217587160784888 |
| 25 | 593 | 585.670406081391 | 3.6908251759214 | 596.638768742687 | -7.3295939186089 |
| 26 | 590 | 587.487299958086 | -3.75992434092145 | 596.272624382835 | -2.51270004191394 |
| 27 | 580 | 577.688698852045 | -13.5951788750283 | 595.906480022983 | -2.31130114795485 |
| 28 | 574 | 573.68222192624 | -20.2371237683152 | 594.554901842075 | -0.317778073759541 |
| 29 | 573 | 582.275740770187 | -29.479064431353 | 593.203323661166 | 9.27574077018653 |
| 30 | 573 | 583.270047719643 | -27.9471389393755 | 590.677091219732 | 10.2700477196431 |
| 31 | 620 | 628.064349692339 | 23.7847915293633 | 588.150858778298 | 8.06434969233862 |
| 32 | 626 | 633.695246993867 | 33.842152100764 | 584.462600905369 | 7.69524699386716 |
| 33 | 620 | 633.526143300042 | 25.6995136675183 | 580.77434303244 | 13.5261433000422 |
| 34 | 588 | 588.859723590779 | 11.1796328761253 | 575.960643533096 | 0.859723590778913 |
| 35 | 566 | 564.193300024523 | -3.34024405827524 | 571.146944033752 | -1.80669997547670 |
| 36 | 557 | 548.272245007887 | 0.161753634368499 | 565.566001357745 | -8.7277549921132 |
| 37 | 561 | 558.324116142341 | 3.6908251759214 | 559.985058681737 | -2.67588385765873 |
| 38 | 549 | 547.340253648099 | -3.75992434092145 | 554.419670692823 | -1.65974635190128 |
| 39 | 532 | 528.74089617112 | -13.5951788750283 | 548.854282703908 | -3.2591038288798 |
| 40 | 526 | 528.370610021579 | -20.2371237683152 | 543.866513746736 | 2.37061002157884 |
| 41 | 511 | 512.600319641788 | -29.479064431353 | 538.878744789565 | 1.60031964178836 |
| 42 | 499 | 491.200933165474 | -27.9471389393755 | 534.746205773902 | -7.79906683452634 |
| 43 | 555 | 555.601541712398 | 23.7847915293633 | 530.613666758239 | 0.601541712397761 |
| 44 | 565 | 569.068025240991 | 33.842152100764 | 527.089822658245 | 4.06802524099112 |
| 45 | 542 | 534.734507774231 | 25.6995136675183 | 523.565978558251 | -7.26549222576898 |
| 46 | 527 | 522.283886871987 | 11.1796328761253 | 520.536480251888 | -4.71611312801349 |
| 47 | 510 | 505.83326211275 | -3.34024405827524 | 517.506981945525 | -4.16673788725018 |
| 48 | 514 | 512.79977306019 | 0.161753634368499 | 515.038473305442 | -1.20022693981014 |
| 49 | 517 | 517.739210158721 | 3.6908251759214 | 512.569964665358 | 0.739210158720766 |
| 50 | 508 | 509.259552472559 | -3.75992434092145 | 510.500371868362 | 1.25955247255939 |
| 51 | 493 | 491.164399803662 | -13.5951788750283 | 508.430779071366 | -1.83560019633796 |
| 52 | 490 | 493.006814649273 | -20.2371237683152 | 507.230309119042 | 3.00681464927317 |
| 53 | 469 | 461.449225264635 | -29.479064431353 | 506.029839166718 | -7.55077473536466 |
| 54 | 478 | 477.914293660279 | -27.9471389393755 | 506.032845279096 | -0.0857063397208435 |
| 55 | 528 | 526.179357079162 | 23.7847915293633 | 506.035851391475 | -1.82064292083828 |
| 56 | 534 | 528.01048079679 | 33.842152100764 | 506.147367102446 | -5.98951920320974 |
| 57 | 518 | 504.041603519065 | 25.6995136675183 | 506.258882813417 | -13.9583964809348 |
| 58 | 506 | 494.389438527226 | 11.1796328761253 | 506.430928596649 | -11.6105614727742 |
| 59 | 502 | 500.737269678394 | -3.34024405827524 | 506.602974379881 | -1.26273032160589 |
| 60 | 516 | 524.890030316045 | 0.161753634368499 | 506.948216049587 | 8.89003031604477 |
| 61 | 528 | 545.015717104786 | 3.6908251759214 | 507.293457719292 | 17.0157171047864 |
