| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1801 | 0 | 181 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 6.9 | 7.01455864892172 | 0.174529401675650 | 6.61091194940264 | 0.114558648921715 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 6.823814344181 | 0.0772759585912553 | 6.69890969722774 | 0.0238143441810017 |
| 3 | 6.7 | 6.70640333130704 | -0.0933107763598917 | 6.78690744505285 | 0.00640333130704196 |
| 4 | 6.6 | 6.59528479853519 | -0.272616923891605 | 6.87733212535642 | -0.00471520146481019 |
| 5 | 6.5 | 6.48416634231701 | -0.451923147976986 | 6.96775680565998 | -0.0158336576829941 |
| 6 | 6.5 | 6.49023588646551 | -0.550674168370274 | 7.06043828190476 | -0.0097641135344908 |
| 7 | 7 | 6.90963881254397 | -0.0627585706935219 | 7.15311975814955 | -0.0903611874560273 |
| 8 | 7.5 | 7.44661563104373 | 0.305801156488354 | 7.24758321246791 | -0.0533843689562676 |
| 9 | 7.6 | 7.50359252497129 | 0.354360808242432 | 7.34204666678628 | -0.0964074750287098 |
| 10 | 7.6 | 7.48123528177377 | 0.270018217560470 | 7.44874650066576 | -0.118764718226230 |
| 11 | 7.6 | 7.52554478836364 | 0.119008877091121 | 7.55544633454524 | -0.0744552116363613 |
| 12 | 7.8 | 7.78924055982546 | 0.130289129334098 | 7.68047031084044 | -0.0107594401745397 |
| 13 | 8 | 8.01997631118871 | 0.174529401675650 | 7.80549428713564 | 0.0199763111887092 |
| 14 | 8 | 7.97707836025609 | 0.0772759585912553 | 7.94564568115265 | -0.0229216397439096 |
| 15 | 8 | 8.00751370119022 | -0.0933107763598917 | 8.08579707516967 | 0.00751370119022354 |
| 16 | 7.9 | 7.83534177145403 | -0.272616923891605 | 8.23727515243758 | -0.0646582285459711 |
| 17 | 7.9 | 7.8631699182715 | -0.451923147976986 | 8.38875322970548 | -0.0368300817284961 |
| 18 | 8 | 8.01011468340965 | -0.550674168370274 | 8.54055948496063 | 0.0101146834096468 |
| 19 | 8.5 | 8.37039283047775 | -0.0627585706935219 | 8.69236574021577 | -0.129607169522250 |
| 20 | 9.2 | 9.25783212813117 | 0.305801156488354 | 8.83636671538048 | 0.0578321281311691 |
| 21 | 9.4 | 9.46527150121239 | 0.354360808242432 | 8.98036769054518 | 0.0652715012123863 |
| 22 | 9.5 | 9.6179418742522 | 0.270018217560470 | 9.11203990818732 | 0.117941874252207 |
| 23 | 9.5 | 9.6372789970794 | 0.119008877091121 | 9.24371212582947 | 0.137278997079411 |
| 24 | 9.6 | 9.71727877016196 | 0.130289129334098 | 9.35243210050394 | 0.117278770161958 |
| 25 | 9.7 | 9.76431852314593 | 0.174529401675650 | 9.46115207517842 | 0.064318523145932 |
| 26 | 9.7 | 9.78233331744884 | 0.0772759585912553 | 9.5403907239599 | 0.082333317448839 |
| 27 | 9.6 | 9.6736814036185 | -0.0933107763598917 | 9.6196293727414 | 0.0736814036184938 |
| 28 | 9.5 | 9.60412302984257 | -0.272616923891605 | 9.66849389404904 | 0.104123029842567 |
| 29 | 9.4 | 9.5345647326203 | -0.451923147976986 | 9.71735841535668 | 0.134564732620309 |
| 30 | 9.3 | 9.41191550417979 | -0.550674168370274 | 9.73875866419049 | 0.111915504179787 |
| 31 | 9.6 | 9.50259965766922 | -0.0627585706935219 | 9.7601589130243 | -0.0974003423307774 |
| 32 | 10.2 | 10.3355059041888 | 0.305801156488354 | 9.75869293932283 | 0.135505904188818 |
| 33 | 10.2 | 10.2884122261362 | 0.354360808242432 | 9.75722696562136 | 0.0884122261362101 |
| 34 | 10.1 | 10.1896722200289 | 0.270018217560470 | 9.74030956241068 | 0.0896722200288522 |
| 35 | 9.9 | 9.95759896370888 | 0.119008877091121 | 9.7233921592 | 0.0575989637088821 |
| 36 | 9.8 | 9.76819114166103 | 0.130289129334098 | 9.70151972900488 | -0.0318088583389748 |
| 37 | 9.8 | 9.7458232995146 | 0.174529401675650 | 9.67964729880976 | -0.0541767004854066 |
| 38 | 9.7 | 9.65714004184893 | 0.0772759585912553 | 9.66558399955981 | -0.0428599581510696 |
| 39 | 9.5 | 9.44179007605002 | -0.0933107763598917 | 9.65152070030987 | -0.0582099239499794 |
| 40 | 9.3 | 9.220623339523 | -0.272616923891605 | 9.6519935843686 | -0.0793766604769992 |
| 41 | 9.1 | 8.99945667954965 | -0.451923147976986 | 9.65246646842734 | -0.100543320450354 |
| 42 | 9 | 8.88421547419174 | -0.550674168370274 | 9.66645869417853 | -0.115784525808255 |
| 43 | 9.5 | 9.3823076507638 | -0.0627585706935219 | 9.68045091992972 | -0.117692349236199 |
| 44 | 10 | 9.99378861599114 | 0.305801156488354 | 9.7004102275205 | -0.00621138400886423 |
| 45 | 10.2 | 10.3252696566463 | 0.354360808242432 | 9.7203695351113 | 0.125269656646264 |
| 46 | 10.1 | 10.1934674270378 | 0.270018217560470 | 9.7365143554017 | 0.0934674270378348 |
| 47 | 10 | 10.1283319472168 | 0.119008877091121 | 9.75265917569208 | 0.128331947216795 |
| 48 | 9.9 | 9.91839067789441 | 0.130289129334098 | 9.75132019277149 | 0.0183906778944145 |
| 49 | 10 | 10.0754893884735 | 0.174529401675650 | 9.74998120985089 | 0.0754893884734589 |
| 50 | 9.9 | 9.99669865700656 | 0.0772759585912553 | 9.7260253844022 | 0.0966986570065576 |
| 51 | 9.7 | 9.7912412174064 | -0.0933107763598917 | 9.70206955895348 | 0.0912412174064059 |
| 52 | 9.5 | 9.61285023831023 | -0.272616923891605 | 9.65976668558137 | 0.11285023831023 |
| 53 | 9.2 | 9.23445933576772 | -0.451923147976986 | 9.61746381220926 | 0.0344593357677212 |
| 54 | 9 | 8.98824765059265 | -0.550674168370274 | 9.56242651777762 | -0.0117523494073488 |
| 55 | 9.3 | 9.15536934734754 | -0.0627585706935219 | 9.50738922334598 | -0.144630652652459 |
| 56 | 9.8 | 9.84733862458929 | 0.305801156488354 | 9.44686021892236 | 0.0473386245892851 |
| 57 | 9.8 | 9.85930797725883 | 0.354360808242432 | 9.38633121449874 | 0.0593079772588254 |
| 58 | 9.6 | 9.5955166977689 | 0.270018217560470 | 9.33446508467062 | -0.00448330223109039 |
| 59 | 9.4 | 9.39839216806639 | 0.119008877091121 | 9.2825989548425 | -0.00160783193361347 |
| 60 | 9.3 | 9.21953250142216 | 0.130289129334098 | 9.25017836924375 | -0.0804674985778444 |
| 61 | 9.2 | 9.00771281467935 | 0.174529401675650 | 9.217757783645 | -0.192287185320652 |
| 62 | 9.2 | 9.11622044318681 | 0.0772759585912553 | 9.20650359822193 | -0.0837795568131874 |
| 63 | 9 | 8.89806136356103 | -0.0933107763598917 | 9.19524941279887 | -0.101938636438975 |
| 64 | 8.8 | 8.6727238369623 | -0.272616923891605 | 9.1998930869293 | -0.127276163037696 |
| 65 | 8.7 | 8.64738638691725 | -0.451923147976986 | 9.20453676105974 | -0.0526136130827499 |
| 66 | 8.7 | 8.7301564683101 | -0.550674168370274 | 9.22051770006018 | 0.0301564683100946 |
| 67 | 9.1 | 9.0262599316329 | -0.0627585706935219 | 9.23649863906062 | -0.073740068367103 |
| 68 | 9.7 | 9.83583201702443 | 0.305801156488354 | 9.25836682648721 | 0.135832017024432 |
| 69 | 9.8 | 9.96540417784377 | 0.354360808242432 | 9.2802350139138 | 0.165404177843765 |
| 70 | 9.6 | 9.62685755032158 | 0.270018217560470 | 9.30312423211795 | 0.0268575503215764 |
| 71 | 9.4 | 9.35497767258678 | 0.119008877091121 | 9.3260134503221 | -0.0450223274132231 |
| 72 | 9.4 | 9.32793975889541 | 0.130289129334098 | 9.34177111177049 | -0.0720602411045856 |
| 73 | 9.5 | 9.46794182510548 | 0.174529401675650 | 9.35752877321887 | -0.032058174894523 |
| 74 | 9.4 | 9.3556891969639 | 0.0772759585912553 | 9.36703484444485 | -0.0443108030361046 |
| 75 | 9.3 | 9.31676986068906 | -0.0933107763598917 | 9.37654091567083 | 0.0167698606890632 |
| 76 | 9.2 | 9.29623310303121 | -0.272616923891605 | 9.37638382086039 | 0.0962331030312136 |
| 77 | 9 | 9.07569642192703 | -0.451923147976986 | 9.37622672604995 | 0.0756964219270344 |
| 78 | 8.9 | 8.99284527844622 | -0.550674168370274 | 9.35782888992406 | 0.0928452784462195 |
| 79 | 9.2 | 9.12332751689536 | -0.0627585706935219 | 9.33943105379816 | -0.0766724831046393 |
| 80 | 9.8 | 9.9914237556672 | 0.305801156488354 | 9.30277508784445 | 0.191423755667202 |
| 81 | 9.9 | 10.1795200698668 | 0.354360808242432 | 9.26611912189073 | 0.279520069866836 |
| 82 | 9.6 | 9.70905689151854 | 0.270018217560470 | 9.22092489092099 | 0.109056891518538 |
| 83 | 9.2 | 9.10526046295763 | 0.119008877091121 | 9.17573065995125 | -0.0947395370423685 |
| 84 | 9.1 | 8.95125508767922 | 0.130289129334098 | 9.11845578298668 | -0.148744912320778 |
| 85 | 9.1 | 8.96428969230224 | 0.174529401675650 | 9.06118090602211 | -0.135710307697764 |
| 86 | 9 | 8.94435852100405 | 0.0772759585912553 | 8.9783655204047 | -0.0556414789959518 |
| 87 | 8.9 | 8.99776064157261 | -0.0933107763598917 | 8.89555013478728 | 0.0977606415726093 |
| 88 | 8.7 | 8.88575238411843 | -0.272616923891605 | 8.78686453977317 | 0.185752384118434 |
| 89 | 8.5 | 8.77374420321793 | -0.451923147976986 | 8.67817894475906 | 0.273744203217928 |
| 90 | 8.3 | 8.601466379892 | -0.550674168370274 | 8.54920778847828 | 0.301466379891998 |
| 91 | 8.5 | 8.64252193849603 | -0.0627585706935219 | 8.4202366321975 | 0.142521938496026 |
| 92 | 8.7 | 8.83204094508753 | 0.305801156488354 | 8.26215789842412 | 0.13204094508753 |
| 93 | 8.4 | 8.34156002710683 | 0.354360808242432 | 8.10407916465074 | -0.0584399728931686 |
| 94 | 8.1 | 8.00124709538218 | 0.270018217560470 | 7.92873468705735 | -0.0987529046178164 |
| 95 | 7.8 | 7.72760091344492 | 0.119008877091121 | 7.75339020946396 | -0.0723990865550759 |
| 96 | 7.7 | 7.67735722120377 | 0.130289129334098 | 7.59235364946213 | -0.0226427787962331 |
| 97 | 7.5 | 7.39415350886404 | 0.174529401675650 | 7.43131708946031 | -0.105846491135964 |
| 98 | 7.2 | 7.01622407449822 | 0.0772759585912553 | 7.30649996691053 | -0.183775925501784 |
| 99 | 6.8 | 6.51162793199915 | -0.0933107763598917 | 7.18168284436074 | -0.288372068000853 |
| 100 | 6.7 | 6.58446719435588 | -0.272616923891605 | 7.08814972953572 | -0.115532805644117 |
| 101 | 6.4 | 6.25730653326629 | -0.451923147976986 | 6.9946166147107 | -0.142693466733713 |
| 102 | 6.3 | 6.23770346058743 | -0.550674168370274 | 6.91297070778284 | -0.0622965394125661 |
| 103 | 6.8 | 6.83143376983854 | -0.0627585706935219 | 6.83132480085498 | 0.0314337698385412 |
| 104 | 7.3 | 7.53631246872603 | 0.305801156488354 | 6.75788637478562 | 0.236312468726028 |
| 105 | 7.1 | 7.16119124304131 | 0.354360808242432 | 6.68444794871626 | 0.0611912430413115 |
| 106 | 7 | 7.0971514688091 | 0.270018217560470 | 6.63283031363043 | 0.0971514688090958 |
| 107 | 6.8 | 6.89977844436427 | 0.119008877091121 | 6.58121267854461 | 0.0997784443642669 |
| 108 | 6.6 | 6.5291245376538 | 0.130289129334098 | 6.5405863330121 | -0.070875462346204 |
| 109 | 6.3 | 5.92551061084475 | 0.174529401675650 | 6.4999599874796 | -0.374489389155248 |
| 110 | 6.1 | 5.6549867735744 | 0.0772759585912553 | 6.46773726783434 | -0.445013226425600 |
| 111 | 6.1 | 5.8577962281708 | -0.0933107763598917 | 6.43551454818909 | -0.242203771829199 |
| 112 | 6.3 | 6.41871515691659 | -0.272616923891605 | 6.45390176697502 | 0.118715156916588 |
| 113 | 6.3 | 6.57963416221604 | -0.451923147976986 | 6.47228898576094 | 0.279634162216041 |
| 114 | 6 | 5.99871595257266 | -0.550674168370274 | 6.55195821579761 | -0.0012840474273359 |
| 115 | 6.2 | 5.83113112485925 | -0.0627585706935219 | 6.63162744583428 | -0.368868875140754 |
| 116 | 6.4 | 5.76126308215298 | 0.305801156488354 | 6.73293576135867 | -0.638736917847023 |
| 117 | 6.8 | 6.4113951148745 | 0.354360808242432 | 6.83424407688306 | -0.388604885125495 |
| 118 | 7.5 | 7.8058445360105 | 0.270018217560470 | 6.92413724642903 | 0.305844536010503 |
| 119 | 7.5 | 7.86696070693389 | 0.119008877091121 | 7.01403041597499 | 0.366960706933888 |
| 120 | 7.6 | 7.96889604818065 | 0.130289129334098 | 7.10081482248525 | 0.36889604818065 |
| 121 | 7.6 | 7.83787136932884 | 0.174529401675650 | 7.18759922899551 | 0.237871369328839 |
| 122 | 7.4 | 7.45957980966712 | 0.0772759585912553 | 7.26314423174162 | 0.059579809667123 |
| 123 | 7.3 | 7.35462154187216 | -0.0933107763598917 | 7.33868923448773 | 0.0546215418721596 |
| 124 | 7.1 | 7.08366939068091 | -0.272616923891605 | 7.3889475332107 | -0.0163306093190885 |
| 125 | 6.9 | 6.81271731604333 | -0.451923147976986 | 7.43920583193365 | -0.0872826839566674 |
| 126 | 6.8 | 6.66164564500407 | -0.550674168370274 | 7.4890285233662 | -0.138354354995929 |
| 127 | 7.5 | 7.52390735589477 | -0.0627585706935219 | 7.53885121479875 | 0.02390735589477 |
| 128 | 7.6 | 7.2897524002541 | 0.305801156488354 | 7.60444644325754 | -0.310247599745896 |
| 129 | 7.8 | 7.57559752004124 | 0.354360808242432 | 7.67004167171633 | -0.224402479958764 |
| 130 | 8 | 7.98959644302542 | 0.270018217560470 | 7.7403853394141 | -0.0104035569745760 |
| 131 | 8.1 | 8.270262115797 | 0.119008877091121 | 7.81072900711188 | 0.170262115797000 |
| 132 | 8.2 | 8.389279592267 | 0.130289129334098 | 7.8804312783989 | 0.189279592267008 |
| 133 | 8.3 | 8.47533704863844 | 0.174529401675650 | 7.9501335496859 | 0.175337048638442 |
| 134 | 8.2 | 8.31645637970537 | 0.0772759585912553 | 8.00626766170337 | 0.116456379705371 |
| 135 | 8 | 8.03090900263905 | -0.0933107763598917 | 8.06240177372084 | 0.0309090026390493 |
| 136 | 7.9 | 7.9752737940442 | -0.272616923891605 | 8.0973431298474 | 0.0752737940442039 |
| 137 | 7.6 | 7.51963866200303 | -0.451923147976986 | 8.13228448597396 | -0.0803613379969743 |
| 138 | 7.6 | 7.58773087811548 | -0.550674168370274 | 8.1629432902548 | -0.0122691218845201 |
| 139 | 8.3 | 8.4691564761579 | -0.0627585706935219 | 8.19360209453563 | 0.169156476157891 |
| 140 | 8.4 | 8.26810327504238 | 0.305801156488354 | 8.22609556846927 | -0.131896724957622 |
| 141 | 8.4 | 8.18705014935466 | 0.354360808242432 | 8.2585890424029 | -0.212949850645341 |
| 142 | 8.4 | 8.26509715257716 | 0.270018217560470 | 8.26488462986237 | -0.134902847422838 |
| 143 | 8.4 | 8.40981090558705 | 0.119008877091121 | 8.27118021732183 | 0.0098109055870541 |
| 144 | 8.6 | 8.79500875871198 | 0.130289129334098 | 8.27470211195392 | 0.195008758711976 |
| 145 | 8.9 | 9.34724659173833 | 0.174529401675650 | 8.27822400658602 | 0.447246591738327 |
| 146 | 8.8 | 9.2122392859037 | 0.0772759585912553 | 8.31048475550504 | 0.412239285903707 |
| 147 | 8.3 | 8.35056527193584 | -0.0933107763598917 | 8.34274550442406 | 0.0505652719358363 |
| 148 | 7.5 | 6.9051164269805 | -0.272616923891605 | 8.36750049691111 | -0.594883573019508 |
| 149 | 7.2 | 6.45966765857882 | -0.451923147976986 | 8.39225548939817 | -0.740332341421182 |
| 150 | 7.4 | 6.96409738042363 | -0.550674168370274 | 8.38657678794665 | -0.435902619576372 |
| 151 | 8.8 | 9.2818604841984 | -0.0627585706935219 | 8.38089808649512 | 0.481860484198398 |
| 152 | 9.3 | 9.90738281132002 | 0.305801156488354 | 8.38681603219163 | 0.607382811320017 |
| 153 | 9.3 | 9.85290521386943 | 0.354360808242432 | 8.39273397788814 | 0.552905213869431 |
| 154 | 8.7 | 8.7060291118553 | 0.270018217560470 | 8.42395267058423 | 0.00602911185530175 |
| 155 | 8.2 | 7.82581975962856 | 0.119008877091121 | 8.45517136328032 | -0.374180240371443 |
| 156 | 8.3 | 8.00137891637488 | 0.130289129334098 | 8.46833195429102 | -0.298621083625118 |
| 157 | 8.5 | 8.34397805302263 | 0.174529401675650 | 8.48149254530172 | -0.156021946977370 |
| 158 | 8.6 | 8.65717546388008 | 0.0772759585912553 | 8.46554857752867 | 0.0571754638800765 |
| 159 | 8.5 | 8.64370616660427 | -0.0933107763598917 | 8.44960460975562 | 0.143706166604273 |
| 160 | 8.2 | 8.23053945728964 | -0.272616923891605 | 8.44207746660196 | 0.0305394572896418 |
| 161 | 8.1 | 8.21737282452868 | -0.451923147976986 | 8.4345503234483 | 0.117372824528678 |
| 162 | 7.9 | 7.91228571270763 | -0.550674168370274 | 8.43838845566265 | 0.0122857127076248 |
| 163 | 8.6 | 8.82053198281653 | -0.0627585706935219 | 8.442226587877 | 0.220531982816528 |
| 164 | 8.7 | 8.64635547886287 | 0.305801156488354 | 8.44784336464878 | -0.0536445211371337 |
| 165 | 8.7 | 8.592179050337 | 0.354360808242432 | 8.45346014142057 | -0.107820949663001 |
| 166 | 8.5 | 8.26402619869296 | 0.270018217560470 | 8.46595558374657 | -0.235973801307036 |
| 167 | 8.4 | 8.20254009683632 | 0.119008877091121 | 8.47845102607256 | -0.197459903163685 |
| 168 | 8.5 | 8.38617350759545 | 0.130289129334098 | 8.48353736307045 | -0.113826492404545 |
| 169 | 8.7 | 8.73684689825602 | 0.174529401675650 | 8.48862370006833 | 0.0368468982560213 |
| 170 | 8.7 | 8.85617974545822 | 0.0772759585912553 | 8.46654429595052 | 0.156179745458225 |
| 171 | 8.6 | 8.84884588452718 | -0.0933107763598917 | 8.44446489183271 | 0.248845884527176 |
| 172 | 8.5 | 8.90083895514111 | -0.272616923891605 | 8.3717779687505 | 0.400838955141111 |
| 173 | 8.3 | 8.75283210230872 | -0.451923147976986 | 8.29909104566827 | 0.452832102308717 |
| 174 | 8 | 8.32178407045128 | -0.550674168370274 | 8.228890097919 | 0.321784070451280 |
| 175 | 8.2 | 8.3040694205238 | -0.0627585706935219 | 8.15868915016972 | 0.104069420523802 |
| 176 | 8.1 | 7.81251054252851 | 0.305801156488354 | 8.08168830098313 | -0.287489457471485 |
| 177 | 8.1 | 7.84095173996102 | 0.354360808242432 | 8.00468745179655 | -0.259048260038978 |
| 178 | 8 | 7.81099565645086 | 0.270018217560470 | 7.91898612598867 | -0.189004343549139 |
| 179 | 7.9 | 7.84770632272809 | 0.119008877091121 | 7.8332848001808 | -0.0522936772719129 |
| 180 | 7.9 | 7.92730354249964 | 0.130289129334098 | 7.74240732816626 | 0.0273035424996380 |
