| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.625571876719181 |
| beta | 0.230126132337169 |
| gamma | 1 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 591 | 576.861126495788 | 14.1388735042120 |
| 14 | 589 | 585.66433983762 | 3.33566016237990 |
| 15 | 584 | 585.633063798857 | -1.63306379885705 |
| 16 | 573 | 576.86129846209 | -3.86129846209042 |
| 17 | 567 | 571.662787216386 | -4.66278721638628 |
| 18 | 569 | 573.281487256973 | -4.28148725697292 |
| 19 | 621 | 616.717834448139 | 4.28216555186111 |
| 20 | 629 | 637.389877541802 | -8.38987754180164 |
| 21 | 628 | 633.290343135737 | -5.29034313573686 |
| 22 | 612 | 626.228391114569 | -14.2283911145686 |
| 23 | 595 | 596.525335255736 | -1.52533525573642 |
| 24 | 597 | 592.882378159852 | 4.11762184014765 |
| 25 | 593 | 593.837509098968 | -0.837509098967757 |
| 26 | 590 | 584.553672719186 | 5.44632728081444 |
| 27 | 580 | 579.720929871371 | 0.279070128629201 |
| 28 | 574 | 567.47841568647 | 6.5215843135303 |
| 29 | 573 | 566.08824463082 | 6.91175536918047 |
| 30 | 573 | 574.362779103646 | -1.36277910364572 |
| 31 | 620 | 622.858149258897 | -2.85814925889724 |
| 32 | 626 | 632.901486894677 | -6.90148689467708 |
| 33 | 620 | 629.697590903982 | -9.6975909039819 |
| 34 | 588 | 614.712579243899 | -26.7125792438989 |
| 35 | 566 | 578.771407689236 | -12.7714076892356 |
| 36 | 557 | 565.017730232156 | -8.01773023215583 |
| 37 | 561 | 549.827493569067 | 11.1725064309335 |
| 38 | 549 | 545.646832274876 | 3.35316772512385 |
| 39 | 532 | 532.991762920098 | -0.991762920098495 |
| 40 | 526 | 517.71156703323 | 8.28843296676973 |
| 41 | 511 | 513.026355053673 | -2.02635505367311 |
| 42 | 499 | 506.360137355998 | -7.36013735599812 |
| 43 | 555 | 536.886620712232 | 18.1133792877678 |
| 44 | 565 | 552.625479363455 | 12.3745206365454 |
| 45 | 542 | 558.347675013975 | -16.3476750139749 |
| 46 | 527 | 531.264055785635 | -4.26405578563458 |
| 47 | 510 | 515.651658433519 | -5.65165843351917 |
| 48 | 514 | 509.062430335897 | 4.93756966410268 |
| 49 | 517 | 511.811431930821 | 5.18856806917893 |
| 50 | 508 | 503.790565563698 | 4.20943443630244 |
| 51 | 493 | 493.143091175335 | -0.143091175335371 |
| 52 | 490 | 484.601414592181 | 5.39858540781876 |
| 53 | 469 | 476.819050431286 | -7.81905043128614 |
| 54 | 478 | 465.777848606887 | 12.2221513931132 |
| 55 | 528 | 519.606906449247 | 8.39309355075318 |
| 56 | 534 | 529.589972900792 | 4.41002709920838 |
| 57 | 518 | 521.761770699811 | -3.76177069981122 |
| 58 | 506 | 510.801474889992 | -4.80147488999194 |
| 59 | 502 | 497.893789183372 | 4.10621081662811 |
| 60 | 516 | 505.949181592234 | 10.0508184077656 |
| 61 | 528 | 517.445424068669 | 10.5545759313314 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 62 | 518.456173264864 | 501.605004414465 | 535.307342115262 |
| 63 | 508.722727332257 | 487.641922209766 | 529.803532454748 |
| 64 | 507.631329189336 | 481.689513316805 | 533.573145061867 |
| 65 | 495.486262515947 | 464.733072279686 | 526.239452752208 |
| 66 | 502.699924569357 | 465.85939319267 | 539.540455946044 |
| 67 | 554.09212190328 | 507.443233683123 | 600.741010123438 |
| 68 | 560.590602239493 | 506.584813922506 | 614.596390556479 |
| 69 | 548.632852816002 | 488.714377296160 | 608.551328335844 |
| 70 | 541.991645472872 | 475.589142810295 | 608.394148135448 |
| 71 | 538.550329696134 | 465.180657218607 | 611.920002173662 |
| 72 | 549.792527803856 | 467.207806209790 | 632.377249397922 |
| 73 | 556.963390121156 | 466.563912805494 | 647.362867436817 |
