Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 98.8 | NA | NA | 0.964989564232974 | NA |
2 | 100.5 | NA | NA | 0.971818484774287 | NA |
3 | 110.4 | NA | NA | 1.06541920173552 | NA |
4 | 96.4 | NA | NA | 1.01252753388232 | NA |
5 | 101.9 | NA | NA | 0.995781731101289 | NA |
6 | 106.2 | NA | NA | 1.07618654582335 | NA |
7 | 81 | 83.0234774146545 | 99.3333333333333 | 0.835806819610616 | 0.975627648013966 |
8 | 94.7 | 92.7097339006648 | 99.0416666666667 | 0.93606799058307 | 1.02146771450631 |
9 | 101 | 105.839614235677 | 98.675 | 1.07260820102029 | 0.954274075254087 |
10 | 109.4 | 108.061306039069 | 98.7708333333333 | 1.09406089219053 | 1.01238828226310 |
11 | 102.3 | 101.662155014455 | 99.0541666666667 | 1.02632891109532 | 1.00627416353170 |
12 | 90.7 | 93.888056587243 | 98.9958333333333 | 0.948404123950431 | 0.966044066698936 |
13 | 96.2 | 95.6706737139975 | 99.1416666666667 | 0.964989564232974 | 1.00553279563584 |
14 | 96.1 | 96.4448861264749 | 99.2416666666667 | 0.971818484774287 | 0.996424008152981 |
15 | 106 | 105.880472419141 | 99.3791666666667 | 1.06541920173552 | 1.00112889164667 |
16 | 103.1 | 101.008059234211 | 99.7583333333333 | 1.01252753388232 | 1.02071063221736 |
17 | 102 | 99.4454022126487 | 99.8666666666667 | 0.995781731101289 | 1.02568844542344 |
18 | 104.7 | 107.506551817146 | 99.8958333333333 | 1.07618654582335 | 0.97389413231373 |
19 | 86 | 83.5806819610616 | 100 | 0.835806819610616 | 1.02894589972436 |
20 | 92.1 | 93.6887050074829 | 100.0875 | 0.93606799058307 | 0.983042726363268 |
21 | 106.9 | 107.368080922131 | 100.1 | 1.07260820102029 | 0.995640408973404 |
22 | 112.6 | 109.469909437764 | 100.058333333333 | 1.09406089219053 | 1.02859315932855 |
23 | 101.7 | 102.508876366108 | 99.8791666666667 | 1.02632891109532 | 0.992109206589881 |
24 | 92 | 94.5637945255576 | 99.7083333333333 | 0.948404123950431 | 0.972888201679929 |
25 | 97.4 | 96.265750611941 | 99.7583333333333 | 0.964989564232974 | 1.01178248110931 |
26 | 97 | 96.9145983941158 | 99.725 | 0.971818484774287 | 1.00088120476481 |
27 | 105.4 | 106.280004619792 | 99.7541666666667 | 1.06541920173552 | 0.991719941837228 |
28 | 102.7 | 101.088217663976 | 99.8375 | 1.01252753388232 | 1.01594431451330 |
29 | 98.1 | 99.2503949569747 | 99.6708333333333 | 0.995781731101289 | 0.98840916494616 |
30 | 104.5 | 107.345123835272 | 99.7458333333333 | 1.07618654582335 | 0.97349554657333 |
31 | 87.4 | 83.458793466535 | 99.8541666666667 | 0.835806819610616 | 1.04722338257916 |
32 | 89.9 | 93.3805826272494 | 99.7583333333333 | 0.93606799058307 | 0.962726912498041 |
33 | 109.8 | 107.327858114593 | 100.0625 | 1.07260820102029 | 1.02303355278709 |
34 | 111.7 | 109.816362053624 | 100.375 | 1.09406089219053 | 1.01715261652408 |
35 | 98.6 | 102.996382598879 | 100.354166666667 | 1.02632891109532 | 0.957315174689188 |
36 | 96.9 | 95.4213099209628 | 100.6125 | 0.948404123950431 | 1.01549643449940 |
37 | 95.1 | 97.3674470311071 | 100.9 | 0.964989564232974 | 0.976712473211065 |
38 | 97 | 98.3358829280982 | 101.1875 | 0.971818484774287 | 0.986415102114098 |
39 | 112.7 | 108.304301103089 | 101.654166666667 | 1.06541920173552 | 1.04058655890985 |
40 | 102.9 | 103.049989760873 | 101.775 | 1.01252753388232 | 0.998544495140453 |
41 | 97.4 | 101.507500214138 | 101.9375 | 0.995781731101289 | 0.959535007704135 |
42 | 111.4 | 110.152177075628 | 102.354166666667 | 1.07618654582335 | 1.01132817305568 |
43 | 87.4 | 85.6945767089934 | 102.529166666667 | 0.835806819610616 | 1.01990118110739 |
44 | 96.8 | 95.9118664851177 | 102.4625 | 0.93606799058307 | 1.00925989189273 |
45 | 114.1 | 109.495420520821 | 102.083333333333 | 1.07260820102029 | 1.04205271286486 |
46 | 110.3 | 111.316137193335 | 101.745833333333 | 1.09406089219053 | 0.990871609283651 |
47 | 103.9 | 104.450348556264 | 101.770833333333 | 1.02632891109532 | 0.99473100316207 |
48 | 101.6 | 96.6463319143987 | 101.904166666667 | 0.948404123950431 | 1.05125562437267 |
49 | 94.6 | 98.1756257911522 | 101.7375 | 0.964989564232974 | 0.963579292086627 |
50 | 95.9 | 98.5626405745455 | 101.420833333333 | 0.971818484774287 | 0.972985295858306 |
51 | 104.7 | 107.966918355873 | 101.3375 | 1.06541920173552 | 0.969741487433172 |
52 | 102.8 | 102.383409134401 | 101.116666666667 | 1.01252753388232 | 1.00406892942051 |
53 | 98.1 | 100.710874829257 | 101.1375 | 0.995781731101289 | 0.97407554215289 |
54 | 113.9 | 109.093926972235 | 101.370833333333 | 1.07618654582335 | 1.04405445070273 |
55 | 80.9 | 84.9040427587784 | 101.583333333333 | 0.835806819610616 | 0.952840375691482 |
56 | 95.7 | 95.4477327731203 | 101.966666666667 | 0.93606799058307 | 1.00264298815226 |
57 | 113.2 | 110.067478228032 | 102.616666666667 | 1.07260820102029 | 1.02846001218887 |
58 | 105.9 | 112.665478960370 | 102.979166666667 | 1.09406089219053 | 0.939950737148597 |
59 | 108.8 | 106.105303925405 | 103.383333333333 | 1.02632891109532 | 1.02539643142146 |
60 | 102.3 | 98.5431401622996 | 103.904166666667 | 0.948404123950431 | 1.03812401179334 |
61 | 99 | 100.475517585907 | 104.120833333333 | 0.964989564232974 | 0.985314655536401 |
62 | 100.7 | 101.563130146286 | 104.508333333333 | 0.971818484774287 | 0.991501540519252 |
63 | 115.5 | 111.629296861839 | 104.775 | 1.06541920173552 | 1.03467461721050 |
64 | 100.7 | 106.602273858910 | 105.283333333333 | 1.01252753388232 | 0.944632758333822 |
65 | 109.9 | 105.449136233080 | 105.895833333333 | 0.995781731101289 | 1.04220863181925 |
66 | 114.6 | 114.134067295174 | 106.054166666667 | 1.07618654582335 | 1.00408232805391 |
67 | 85.4 | 88.8741251519288 | 106.333333333333 | 0.835806819610616 | 0.960909599436396 |
68 | 100.5 | 99.9876625274482 | 106.816666666667 | 0.93606799058307 | 1.00512400689846 |
69 | 114.8 | 114.925499538486 | 107.145833333333 | 1.07260820102029 | 0.998907992229832 |
70 | 116.5 | 117.620663084583 | 107.508333333333 | 1.09406089219053 | 0.990472226093662 |
71 | 112.9 | 110.544176465892 | 107.708333333333 | 1.02632891109532 | 1.02131115007071 |
72 | 102 | 102.230061194157 | 107.791666666667 | 0.948404123950431 | 0.99774957393677 |
73 | 106 | 104.407850060157 | 108.195833333333 | 0.964989564232974 | 1.01524933172099 |
74 | 105.3 | 105.584029127040 | 108.645833333333 | 0.971818484774287 | 0.99730992339099 |
75 | 118.8 | 115.815506475324 | 108.704166666667 | 1.06541920173552 | 1.02576937765507 |
76 | 106.1 | 110.217840927815 | 108.854166666667 | 1.01252753388232 | 0.962639071014718 |
77 | 109.3 | 108.656383225336 | 109.116666666667 | 0.995781731101289 | 1.00592341430443 |
78 | 117.2 | 117.358142822037 | 109.05 | 1.07618654582335 | 0.998652476784022 |
79 | 92.5 | 91.2387619457438 | 109.1625 | 0.835806819610616 | 1.01382348935210 |
80 | 104.2 | 102.659356583904 | 109.670833333333 | 0.93606799058307 | 1.01500733559378 |
81 | 112.5 | 117.566797233499 | 109.608333333333 | 1.07260820102029 | 0.956902821606718 |
82 | 122.4 | 120.018479873301 | 109.7 | 1.09406089219053 | 1.01984294526321 |
83 | 113.3 | 113.058682298076 | 110.158333333333 | 1.02632891109532 | 1.00213444643984 |
84 | 100 | 104.415342363093 | 110.095833333333 | 0.948404123950431 | 0.957713662923799 |
85 | 110.7 | 106.329787608921 | 110.1875 | 0.964989564232974 | 1.04110054660461 |
86 | 112.8 | 107.045806097888 | 110.15 | 0.971818484774287 | 1.05375450110442 |
87 | 109.8 | 117.351485824493 | 110.145833333333 | 1.06541920173552 | 0.935650701212366 |
88 | 117.3 | 111.424436239025 | 110.045833333333 | 1.01252753388232 | 1.05273137526468 |
89 | 109.1 | 108.726917764622 | 109.1875 | 0.995781731101289 | 1.00343136955455 |
90 | 115.9 | 116.627232792998 | 108.370833333333 | 1.07618654582335 | 0.99376446842146 |
91 | 96 | NA | NA | 0.835806819610616 | NA |
92 | 99.8 | NA | NA | 0.93606799058307 | NA |
93 | 116.8 | NA | NA | 1.07260820102029 | NA |
94 | 115.7 | NA | NA | 1.09406089219053 | NA |
95 | 99.4 | NA | NA | 1.02632891109532 | NA |
96 | 94.3 | NA | NA | 0.948404123950431 | NA |