Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 5560 | NA | NA | 1.11501954360955 | NA |
2 | 3922 | NA | NA | 0.902031790995203 | NA |
3 | 3759 | NA | NA | 0.959668441272228 | NA |
4 | 4138 | NA | NA | 0.984943407225544 | NA |
5 | 4634 | NA | NA | 1.05574264506044 | NA |
6 | 3996 | NA | NA | 0.922140070528212 | NA |
7 | 4308 | 4721.98821377813 | 4567.33333333333 | 1.03386108898952 | 0.912327563086632 |
8 | 4143 | 4632.07144663663 | 4578.70833333333 | 1.01165462165712 | 0.894416255821843 |
9 | 4429 | 4495.04264165324 | 4638.875 | 0.968994129320847 | 0.985307671824676 |
10 | 5219 | 5026.31980500137 | 4733.58333333333 | 1.06184246712351 | 1.03833424900797 |
11 | 4929 | 4802.9872845854 | 4783.20833333333 | 1.00413508044678 | 1.02623632084537 |
12 | 5755 | 4712.53743068577 | 4808.875 | 0.979966713771052 | 1.22121045925836 |
13 | 5592 | 5451.14471211649 | 4888.83333333333 | 1.11501954360955 | 1.02583957963369 |
14 | 4163 | 4523.08807731362 | 5014.33333333333 | 0.902031790995203 | 0.920388886716643 |
15 | 4962 | 4900.02707495095 | 5105.95833333333 | 0.959668441272228 | 1.01264746584072 |
16 | 5208 | 5090.39272508478 | 5168.20833333333 | 0.984943407225544 | 1.02310377239376 |
17 | 4755 | 5494.04073561763 | 5203.95833333333 | 1.05574264506044 | 0.865483207864394 |
18 | 4491 | 4782.98685581808 | 5186.83333333333 | 0.922140070528212 | 0.93895302984935 |
19 | 5732 | 5345.23414025731 | 5170.16666666667 | 1.03386108898952 | 1.07235714088365 |
20 | 5731 | 5249.05430901976 | 5188.58333333333 | 1.01165462165712 | 1.09181571814795 |
21 | 5040 | 5036.79110945437 | 5197.95833333333 | 0.968994129320847 | 1.00063709025764 |
22 | 6102 | 5500.47671000815 | 5180.125 | 1.06184246712351 | 1.10935839231850 |
23 | 4904 | 5216.06335330419 | 5194.58333333333 | 1.00413508044678 | 0.940172629784776 |
24 | 5369 | 5098.64431591157 | 5202.875 | 0.979966713771052 | 1.05302501357954 |
25 | 5578 | 5733.84862556916 | 5142.375 | 1.11501954360955 | 0.972819543077197 |
26 | 4619 | 4559.58278019096 | 5054.79166666667 | 0.902031790995203 | 1.01303128436820 |
27 | 4731 | 4778.30912764958 | 4979.125 | 0.959668441272228 | 0.990099190658086 |
28 | 5011 | 4829.99831179953 | 4903.83333333333 | 0.984943407225544 | 1.03747448270495 |
29 | 5299 | 5103.06404273025 | 4833.625 | 1.05574264506044 | 1.03839574726656 |
30 | 4146 | 4382.47068518533 | 4752.5 | 0.922140070528212 | 0.946041696072332 |
31 | 4625 | 4839.20221474232 | 4680.70833333333 | 1.03386108898952 | 0.9557360479606 |
32 | 4736 | 4701.79131097916 | 4647.625 | 1.01165462165712 | 1.00727567149587 |
33 | 4219 | 4484.46445574149 | 4627.95833333333 | 0.968994129320847 | 0.940803532202911 |
34 | 5116 | 4854.2128384551 | 4571.5 | 1.06184246712351 | 1.05392988940885 |
35 | 4205 | 4549.61053261932 | 4530.875 | 1.00413508044678 | 0.924254937835102 |
36 | 4121 | 4453.49956267895 | 4544.54166666667 | 0.979966713771052 | 0.925339711388914 |
37 | 5103 | 5035.01012661187 | 4515.625 | 1.11501954360955 | 1.01350342336528 |
38 | 4300 | 4030.50355011432 | 4468.25 | 0.902031790995203 | 1.06686421349959 |
39 | 4578 | 4298.63485175368 | 4479.29166666667 | 0.959668441272228 | 1.06498927168293 |
40 | 3809 | 4407.74486526021 | 4475.125 | 0.984943407225544 | 0.864160725367922 |
41 | 5526 | 4709.49198250709 | 4460.83333333333 | 1.05574264506044 | 1.17337496709321 |
42 | 4247 | 4126.9226181402 | 4475.375 | 0.922140070528212 | 1.02909610694710 |
43 | 3830 | 4612.95894643511 | 4461.875 | 1.03386108898952 | 0.83026969120543 |
44 | 4394 | 4484.5806332542 | 4432.91666666667 | 1.01165462165712 | 0.979801760596627 |
45 | 4826 | 4248.19138720876 | 4384.125 | 0.968994129320847 | 1.13601284879279 |
46 | 4409 | 4646.88809674924 | 4376.25 | 1.06184246712351 | 0.94880700981036 |
47 | 4569 | 4356.356368595 | 4338.41666666667 | 1.00413508044678 | 1.04881226727408 |
48 | 4106 | 4184.09038028473 | 4269.625 | 0.979966713771052 | 0.981336354335774 |
49 | 4794 | 4798.39368762840 | 4303.41666666667 | 1.11501954360955 | 0.999084341987252 |
50 | 3914 | 3871.55803160937 | 4292.04166666667 | 0.902031790995203 | 1.01096250347899 |
51 | 3793 | 4020.09108667442 | 4189.04166666667 | 0.959668441272228 | 0.943510959881689 |
52 | 4405 | 4054.27329999215 | 4116.25 | 0.984943407225544 | 1.08650790759679 |
53 | 4022 | 4306.24228137088 | 4078.875 | 1.05574264506044 | 0.933992965839257 |
54 | 4100 | 3736.93421331264 | 4052.45833333333 | 0.922140070528212 | 1.09715605519464 |
55 | 4788 | 4153.06307201627 | 4017.04166666667 | 1.03386108898952 | 1.15288400801375 |
56 | 3163 | NA | NA | 1.01165462165712 | NA |
57 | 3585 | NA | NA | 0.968994129320847 | NA |
58 | 3903 | NA | NA | 1.06184246712351 | NA |
59 | 4178 | NA | NA | 1.00413508044678 | NA |
60 | 3863 | NA | NA | 0.979966713771052 | NA |
61 | 4187 | NA | NA | NA | NA |