Structural Time Series Model
tObservedLevelSlopeSeasonalStand. Residuals
198.898.8000
2100.599.0098361764009-0.03919196494493011.490163823599110.388717178313888
3110.4103.5579386721950.2891175123964456.84206132780532.37894910697432
496.4102.9166161045240.204866863319226-6.51661610452434-0.453472455807471
5101.9102.4670317502710.148646019839951-0.567031750271342-0.389935500093396
6106.2103.3141541063810.1990167386170892.885845893619020.485265288551031
78198.1421630341768-0.107051973677707-17.1421630341768-4.03755497919976
894.795.2415616478735-0.232145392064929-0.541561647873479-2.17500001561392
910195.4144494351909-0.2173514459748065.585550564809140.320074983827219
10109.498.829318846847-0.10246554965938510.57068115315312.88736399319624
11102.3101.082184715780-0.03405458018410861.217815284220441.87555612160628
1290.799.5211029931645-0.0765164808777496-8.82110299316446-1.21573693447957
1396.298.4278335880762-0.0786365050015628-2.22783358807624-0.837114293790518
1496.197.6344558667332-0.0779097749925256-1.53445586673316-0.597327158208534
1510697.2148151878089-0.08170897635672558.78518481219112-0.271968943399785
16103.199.6618169891172-0.01882448958634353.438183010882791.88477326938139
17102100.6986164551630.01668708991826741.301383544836830.764909178644743
18104.7100.138930896851-0.004582686716128254.56106910314886-0.422243923205732
1986100.4261423593640.00592639577782337-14.42614235936440.219563317532909
2092.199.2041441317476-0.0341627032902864-7.10414413174765-0.947080104535874
21106.999.9994108213925-0.01078726888906246.900589178607490.650523709474136
22112.6100.9246747034240.011179872870973711.67532529657560.741231190687254
23101.7100.7420164872390.007513457368282280.957983512761186-0.154306910210952
2492100.4773575374090.00347865014955188-8.4773575374093-0.217427882668088
2597.4100.1993034460080.000152177320648185-2.79930344600771-0.225435315804073
269799.9893586502527-0.00221301989496133-2.98935865025267-0.167732327906410
27105.499.651326768601-0.006680468942725655.74867323139898-0.265059650259245
28102.799.5463226882764-0.008331143758389173.15367731172359-0.0764024285973884
2998.198.7266147144523-0.024716530736683-0.626614714452342-0.6233580183334
30104.598.7024140438546-0.02470494168734365.797585956145440.000395471388422841
3187.499.3706841150724-0.00862983931384387-11.97068411507230.534309673127569
3289.999.283120171661-0.0104047850297574-9.38312017166093-0.0614178309585382
33109.8100.2123339964730.009061797682844339.587666003526980.737438521284237
34111.7100.4108593267850.012545407469318811.28914067321500.149661901763741
3598.699.71589924770790.00123238558733513-1.11589924770786-0.561278537023017
3696.9100.6718935139540.0145715389641173-3.771893513954150.759306942950503
3795.1100.2771283882590.00937848982912856-5.17712838825894-0.325724349963536
389799.94658042597370.00518462919910609-2.94658042597369-0.270001948785785
39112.7101.3972657816720.023796481024138711.30273421832791.14338861161793
40102.9101.4691615657810.02446981324184111.430838434218950.0378481793485489
4197.4100.7839887910140.0136337196838558-3.38398879101382-0.556052023203621
42111.4101.8568060091540.03087580789336299.543193990845790.828606522996382
4387.4101.7697560446860.0288996685262079-14.3697560446857-0.0923682580025581
4496.8102.9506345834580.048045614227143-6.150634583457590.90515765807726
45114.1103.7625024627430.060223362990124610.33749753725740.602428981689017
46110.3102.9126041122120.04664775840926897.3873958877875-0.720272168885567
47103.9103.2469602820920.05061242712228860.653039717908380.228286603326934
48101.6103.8729532006170.0579596860053997-2.27295320061670.457284546526323
4994.6103.26984397760.0499844650346042-8.66984397760002-0.525669500923169
5095.9102.2873566038820.0378471829486033-6.38735660388211-0.820531912534926
51104.799.87837340793140.00890068473133824.82162659206855-1.94164489347105
52102.899.40901512170270.003075004834395613.39098487829731-0.378787462775978
5398.1100.0381013794860.0109906154563009-1.93810137948650.494996185223788
54113.9101.4541739495320.029328130090376512.44582605046761.11014924342745
5580.9100.7730683169390.0199016027302481-19.8730683169387-0.561470987021063
5695.7100.8171713531480.0202218476453798-5.117171353148110.0191492475154115
57113.2101.1739509955730.024579715518218712.02604900442720.266736234786609
58105.9100.6833208826830.01814888371954395.2166791173168-0.409016963290624
59108.8102.1219322817810.03510141187175046.678067718219071.12930723947157
60102.3102.8292891903370.0427747121393249-0.5292891903367520.534999421844736
6199103.7561831930880.0525091831587319-4.756183193088420.703946053253157
62100.7104.4660510323590.059591557389357-3.766051032358910.523373688636769
63115.5106.2464934753620.07802238167366289.25350652463781.369460830772
64100.7105.0498826921100.0642789463183618-4.3498826921101-1.01367015760388
65109.9106.3887118895830.07820309143017323.511288110416561.01297767969026
66114.6105.8280333521110.07113444051419598.77196664788895-0.507603384435839
6785.4105.589356044990.0676839168247103-20.1893560449899-0.246175581026117
68100.5105.6837690247530.0679807938960927-5.183769024752640.0212493259229752
69114.8105.2440763404350.06241408694737959.55592365956484-0.403900964636287
70116.5106.9669011159960.080235972686569.533098884004031.32213392324065
71112.9107.7746703249420.08784062008109595.125329675058390.579769434185688
72102107.1829981459590.080929299987709-5.18299814595898-0.541834657596631
73106108.0829999505450.0890638668738728-2.082999950545090.653363831570579
74105.3108.8927837056050.096099529042043-3.592783705604910.574983331025758
75118.8109.2362529563760.09849176828775129.563747043623980.197334193980319
76106.1109.8075916887910.103052877421846-3.707591688790770.377132033601843
77109.3108.9727465416740.09399076370445170.327253458326185-0.747902412160804
78117.2108.5537942481450.08902199113528148.64620575185526-0.408996736360124
7992.5109.4949635258610.097279416064863-16.99496352586090.679515249683659
80104.2110.0108019131170.101319218354531-5.810801913117460.333849764300692
81112.5108.9621248076630.09032054053098793.5378751923371-0.917612323072251
82122.4109.6600019217480.096051788401591512.73999807825240.485005688976279
83113.3109.6505116439250.09507285274807743.64948835607482-0.0842908545868984
84100108.8882172941430.0872611125754726-8.88821729414274-0.684995664189131
85110.7109.7100181277830.09384379291497240.9899818722173090.587025782419494
86112.8111.6482624606420.1101502535024441.151737539358111.47423888983122
87109.8109.6986857865730.09211565004811930.10131421342673-1.64645292240216
88117.3111.4708440302130.1067372864369535.829155969787381.34294879762472
89109.1111.5453438826230.106457692833247-2.44534388262266-0.0257687263146201
90115.9110.7384944748430.09855641802826945.1615055251569-0.73005761651245
9196110.9770323693690.0997636310885871-14.97703236936940.111904473912141
9299.8109.7105455150050.0880402166762467-9.91054551500455-1.09238868789963
93116.8110.2032822497170.0914866335741696.596717750282670.323649442445218
94115.7108.7234232106930.07823849546017696.97657678930742-1.25699249627229
9599.4105.2100533046810.0483135624866218-5.81005330468101-2.87387823368404
9694.3103.7664068061120.0360382604140943-9.46640680611158-1.19411146143459