Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 5560 | 6202.81396913073 | 664.80466520474 | 4252.38136566453 | 642.81396913073 |
2 | 3922 | 3984.28860795912 | -439.477153762163 | 4299.18854580305 | 62.2886079591171 |
3 | 3759 | 3430.52384125353 | -258.519567195095 | 4345.99572594156 | -328.476158746468 |
4 | 4138 | 3982.33967714975 | -102.977779024254 | 4396.63810187451 | -155.660322850251 |
5 | 4634 | 4584.75507023861 | 235.964451953943 | 4447.28047780745 | -49.2449297613912 |
6 | 3996 | 3897.41543512960 | -404.324843131018 | 4498.90940800142 | -98.5845648704035 |
7 | 4308 | 3998.27548760426 | 67.1861742003452 | 4550.53833819540 | -309.724512395741 |
8 | 4143 | 3825.70311312112 | -142.944320533419 | 4603.2412074123 | -317.296886878884 |
9 | 4429 | 4345.53161877847 | -143.475695407679 | 4655.94407662921 | -83.4683812215308 |
10 | 5219 | 5318.44792143048 | 396.543327377063 | 4723.00875119245 | 99.4479214304829 |
11 | 4929 | 5054.16460393401 | 13.7619703102879 | 4790.0734257557 | 125.164603934014 |
12 | 5755 | 6536.92448260413 | 113.458441025347 | 4859.61707637052 | 781.924482604135 |
13 | 5592 | 5590.03460780992 | 664.80466520474 | 4929.16072698534 | -1.96539219007718 |
14 | 4163 | 3762.24350253943 | -439.477153762163 | 5003.23365122274 | -400.756497460575 |
15 | 4962 | 5105.21299173496 | -258.519567195095 | 5077.30657546014 | 143.212991734956 |
16 | 5208 | 5394.54437561607 | -102.977779024254 | 5124.43340340818 | 186.544375616074 |
17 | 4755 | 4102.47531668984 | 235.964451953943 | 5171.56023135622 | -652.524683310165 |
18 | 4491 | 4199.73387056091 | -404.324843131018 | 5186.59097257011 | -291.266129439089 |
19 | 5732 | 6195.19211201566 | 67.1861742003452 | 5201.62171378399 | 463.19211201566 |
20 | 5731 | 6396.68667589974 | -142.944320533419 | 5208.25764463367 | 665.686675899745 |
21 | 5040 | 5008.58211992433 | -143.475695407679 | 5214.89357548335 | -31.4178800756727 |
22 | 6102 | 6599.03253069364 | 396.543327377063 | 5208.4241419293 | 497.03253069364 |
23 | 4904 | 4592.28332131447 | 13.7619703102879 | 5201.95470837524 | -311.716678685530 |
24 | 5369 | 5461.90645471925 | 113.458441025347 | 5162.6351042554 | 92.9064547192493 |
25 | 5578 | 5367.8798346597 | 664.80466520474 | 5123.31550013556 | -210.120165340304 |
26 | 4619 | 4625.20971954571 | -439.477153762163 | 5052.26743421646 | 6.20971954570814 |
27 | 4731 | 4739.30019889775 | -258.519567195095 | 4981.21936829735 | 8.30019889774849 |
28 | 5011 | 5216.06855561586 | -102.977779024254 | 4908.9092234084 | 205.068555615858 |
29 | 5299 | 5525.43646952661 | 235.964451953943 | 4836.59907851945 | 226.436469526609 |
30 | 4146 | 3926.95403622279 | -404.324843131018 | 4769.37080690823 | -219.045963777211 |
31 | 4625 | 4480.67129050264 | 67.1861742003452 | 4702.14253529701 | -144.328709497358 |
32 | 4736 | 4965.77245826953 | -142.944320533419 | 4649.17186226389 | 229.772458269527 |
33 | 4219 | 3985.27450617691 | -143.475695407679 | 4596.20118923077 | -233.72549382309 |
34 | 5116 | 5270.51307364757 | 396.543327377063 | 4564.94359897537 | 154.513073647568 |
35 | 4205 | 3862.55202096974 | 13.7619703102879 | 4533.68600871997 | -342.447979030258 |
36 | 4121 | 3612.45048618198 | 113.458441025347 | 4516.09107279267 | -508.549513818018 |
37 | 5103 | 5042.69919792989 | 664.80466520474 | 4498.49613686537 | -60.3008020701136 |
38 | 4300 | 4547.7315522841 | -439.477153762163 | 4491.74560147806 | 247.731552284103 |
39 | 4578 | 4929.52450110435 | -258.519567195095 | 4484.99506609075 | 351.524501104347 |
40 | 3809 | 3237.03043285023 | -102.977779024254 | 4483.94734617402 | -571.969567149769 |
41 | 5526 | 6333.13592178876 | 235.964451953943 | 4482.8996262573 | 807.135921788758 |
42 | 4247 | 4426.66645839021 | -404.324843131018 | 4471.6583847408 | 179.666458390215 |
43 | 3830 | 3132.39668257534 | 67.1861742003452 | 4460.41714322431 | -697.603317424655 |
44 | 4394 | 4502.55228618428 | -142.944320533419 | 4428.39203434913 | 108.552286184285 |
45 | 4826 | 5399.10876993372 | -143.475695407679 | 4396.36692547396 | 573.108769933721 |
46 | 4409 | 4059.34797975417 | 396.543327377063 | 4362.10869286877 | -349.652020245828 |
47 | 4569 | 4796.38756942614 | 13.7619703102879 | 4327.85046026357 | 227.387569426138 |
48 | 4106 | 3796.33813084277 | 113.458441025347 | 4302.20342813188 | -309.661869157226 |
49 | 4794 | 4646.63893879507 | 664.80466520474 | 4276.55639600019 | -147.361061204925 |
50 | 3914 | 4028.39126154531 | -439.477153762163 | 4239.08589221686 | 114.391261545305 |
51 | 3793 | 3642.90417876156 | -258.519567195095 | 4201.61538843353 | -150.095821238436 |
52 | 4405 | 4763.60867592194 | -102.977779024254 | 4149.36910310231 | 358.608675921942 |
53 | 4022 | 3710.91273027496 | 235.964451953943 | 4097.12281777109 | -311.087269725038 |
54 | 4100 | 4558.94866747113 | -404.324843131018 | 4045.37617565989 | 458.948667471129 |
55 | 4788 | 5515.18429225097 | 67.1861742003452 | 3993.62953354868 | 727.18429225097 |
56 | 3163 | 2528.52453533060 | -142.944320533419 | 3940.41978520282 | -634.475464669403 |
57 | 3585 | 3426.26565855072 | -143.475695407679 | 3887.21003685696 | -158.734341449280 |
58 | 3903 | 3579.10167211883 | 396.543327377063 | 3830.35500050411 | -323.898327881172 |
59 | 4178 | 4568.73806553845 | 13.7619703102879 | 3773.49996415126 | 390.738065538451 |
60 | 3863 | 3898.08067622674 | 113.458441025347 | 3714.46088274791 | 35.0806762267393 |
61 | 4187 | 4053.77353345069 | 664.80466520474 | 3655.42180134457 | -133.226466549306 |