| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 5560 | 5560 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 3922 | 4714.52536816824 | -74.8634167326895 | -89.9284610409174 | -2.64728315184995 |
| 3 | 3759 | 4251.25320949742 | -98.5977753216762 | -102.876743216874 | -1.39053745032720 |
| 4 | 4138 | 4188.74279278889 | -97.0069197894164 | -90.2626406011074 | 0.137511978806211 |
| 5 | 4634 | 4380.81362343875 | -87.0091017883324 | -76.2344691943839 | 1.13290461723728 |
| 6 | 3996 | 4201.35777485845 | -89.7106788592938 | -97.9182549126208 | -0.367345084406422 |
| 7 | 4308 | 4238.67637505286 | -86.3952112705153 | -79.8413625465993 | 0.508426254575097 |
| 8 | 4143 | 4187.54215009020 | -85.5422029361742 | -86.1848467018173 | 0.141690422389103 |
| 9 | 4429 | 4285.76819498042 | -81.3255527105868 | -74.5169003009558 | 0.740123624362006 |
| 10 | 5219 | 4692.91651253572 | -70.547019462021 | -53.8980840992694 | 1.97003266688826 |
| 11 | 4929 | 4793.51145861073 | -66.8859877586515 | -67.9896015787631 | 0.690838602016055 |
| 12 | 5755 | 5214.38773771925 | -56.7225666989548 | -39.8752155933868 | 1.97015700851266 |
| 13 | 5592 | 5103.99086011032 | -51.4016152985969 | 561.767991861081 | -0.291046803469919 |
| 14 | 4163 | 4639.17502904271 | -66.4555273969757 | -93.6842778615573 | -1.39183123962552 |
| 15 | 4962 | 4780.64246390558 | -60.7121546520551 | -40.0207282144515 | 0.779006773947029 |
| 16 | 5208 | 4968.63601110879 | -55.64365659185 | -43.2199308134834 | 0.977524372560877 |
| 17 | 4755 | 4864.98092556559 | -56.4226911816121 | -54.0020853803743 | -0.192305125451883 |
| 18 | 4491 | 4697.80001516939 | -57.9616464948569 | -76.1980432749851 | -0.44726681858055 |
| 19 | 5732 | 5140.71339328842 | -51.6659919258776 | -2.50621263754336 | 2.03044740077155 |
| 20 | 5731 | 5402.4316535147 | -47.9698406767004 | -43.9732834442245 | 1.2728758015702 |
| 21 | 5040 | 5244.57404946423 | -49.2138586451292 | -73.7482507358397 | -0.446799765869881 |
| 22 | 6102 | 5607.40780423478 | -44.6757425391048 | 3.61344654374845 | 1.67636959726186 |
| 23 | 4904 | 5305.69961264877 | -47.4493417860724 | -95.2663634307702 | -1.04609018511708 |
| 24 | 5369 | 5316.26047711632 | -46.8725599245558 | -16.5047300099843 | 0.236197409956976 |
| 25 | 5578 | 5190.95106719817 | -43.3708694523649 | 487.488997458091 | -0.369495435030959 |
| 26 | 4619 | 4940.27152490031 | -48.0404573935925 | -108.026538709054 | -0.758011313040461 |
| 27 | 4731 | 4833.81936967272 | -49.1228078632079 | -38.5477608553221 | -0.225524952249835 |
| 28 | 5011 | 4897.7796499059 | -47.5652056304162 | -16.5996154998335 | 0.45062433377211 |
| 29 | 5299 | 5064.96142435806 | -45.2109195561946 | -16.8562202740689 | 0.866840707514142 |
| 30 | 4146 | 4682.33196206863 | -48.3802891034652 | -139.080584198232 | -1.36962201276624 |
| 31 | 4625 | 4630.15616070899 | -48.4126010086433 | -0.671334903417502 | -0.0154467698685278 |
| 32 | 4736 | 4665.29227494143 | -47.7432752249101 | -28.1963504070519 | 0.340469035235951 |
| 33 | 4219 | 4487.00660858808 | -48.7506075698078 | -113.320023689104 | -0.532344429826461 |
| 34 | 5116 | 4724.32664662977 | -46.5947785298817 | 52.5057737805362 | 1.16703873175352 |
| 35 | 4205 | 4520.63978480779 | -47.7541620852386 | -129.319074725491 | -0.64102463004397 |
| 36 | 4121 | 4322.45584247464 | -48.6630819708016 | -22.7167990088788 | -0.614191306034067 |
| 37 | 5103 | 4375.38349007507 | -51.4588144426713 | 601.116149513449 | 0.455041151048605 |
| 38 | 4300 | 4363.20855680689 | -50.8410477668242 | -105.452504150362 | 0.149202273962471 |
| 39 | 4578 | 4452.50165860099 | -48.846116918933 | -30.5041847336747 | 0.548586931057211 |
| 40 | 3809 | 4162.49598431055 | -51.4345106351338 | -76.3579461194893 | -0.96694442769165 |
| 41 | 5526 | 4716.95404162376 | -46.2668391848404 | 103.009240550941 | 2.45436570254497 |
| 42 | 4247 | 4560.84837304883 | -47.067647194155 | -185.071471102264 | -0.446916100740273 |
| 43 | 3830 | 4219.38359932978 | -49.0117038349573 | -43.2350544981382 | -1.20033228477782 |
| 44 | 4394 | 4268.43168519634 | -48.4018917925477 | 10.1047778128082 | 0.400226999998593 |
| 45 | 4826 | 4540.35518764070 | -46.4798995198423 | -91.8186119070737 | 1.30810653137723 |
| 46 | 4409 | 4437.28757644325 | -46.8120342414527 | 38.4224059681007 | -0.231157256891856 |
| 47 | 4569 | 4516.67373846962 | -46.0934944827857 | -96.5020132658425 | 0.515622131797038 |
| 48 | 4106 | 4329.46848593743 | -46.6531423624850 | -56.6796654507778 | -0.577006050046973 |
| 49 | 4794 | 4263.10149939684 | -46.2791764892355 | 555.031501887875 | -0.0859867005905898 |
| 50 | 3914 | 4133.08375826453 | -47.2578845637882 | -126.904658667729 | -0.325073995661583 |
| 51 | 3793 | 3959.75336934837 | -48.7324425406275 | -25.6541132832324 | -0.497573358930957 |
| 52 | 4405 | 4175.79066231665 | -46.3469022758127 | -74.6660195986305 | 1.06523695834722 |
| 53 | 4022 | 4040.99819793884 | -46.9800267750368 | 83.7232868883203 | -0.358975354620323 |
| 54 | 4100 | 4105.32382236895 | -46.3012438720444 | -135.278629679864 | 0.453493531451737 |
| 55 | 4788 | 4395.02809415939 | -44.4489142184709 | -0.299451394203821 | 1.37142306411808 |
| 56 | 3163 | 3857.74409924823 | -47.0069640074485 | -117.208703688729 | -2.01329649051822 |
| 57 | 3585 | 3739.52766194971 | -47.363889049679 | -71.0265917147828 | -0.291034305330591 |
| 58 | 3903 | 3768.21924941065 | -46.9911342439941 | 45.5643283671117 | 0.31092234596646 |
| 59 | 4178 | 3954.63528394172 | -45.9023364173876 | -50.5506899572823 | 0.954387983747836 |
| 60 | 3863 | 3918.67657334485 | -45.8756445812152 | -67.3752713736452 | 0.0406995181224796 |
| 61 | 4187 | 3774.58962180998 | -44.5205207416207 | 531.193417256676 | -0.421350377293246 |
