| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 106370 | NA | NA | -5397.39880952381 | NA |
| 2 | 109375 | NA | NA | -2732.01190476190 | NA |
| 3 | 116476 | 117118.321428571 | 114934.875 | 2183.44642857143 | -642.321428571435 |
| 4 | 123297 | 123004.964285714 | 117059 | 5945.96428571429 | 292.03571428571 |
| 5 | 114813 | 113979.101190476 | 119376.5 | -5397.39880952381 | 833.898809523816 |
| 6 | 117925 | 118885.488095238 | 121617.5 | -2732.01190476190 | -960.488095238092 |
| 7 | 126466 | 125509.821428571 | 123326.375 | 2183.44642857143 | 956.178571428565 |
| 8 | 131235 | 130722.214285714 | 124776.25 | 5945.96428571429 | 512.78571428571 |
| 9 | 120546 | 120530.476190476 | 125927.875 | -5397.39880952381 | 15.5238095238165 |
| 10 | 123791 | 123892.738095238 | 126624.75 | -2732.01190476190 | -101.738095238092 |
| 11 | 129813 | 129391.821428571 | 127208.375 | 2183.44642857143 | 421.178571428565 |
| 12 | 133463 | 133662.839285714 | 127716.875 | 5945.96428571429 | -199.83928571429 |
| 13 | 122987 | 122571.101190476 | 127968.5 | -5397.39880952381 | 415.898809523816 |
| 14 | 125418 | 125228.863095238 | 127960.875 | -2732.01190476190 | 189.136904761908 |
| 15 | 130199 | 129896.821428571 | 127713.375 | 2183.44642857143 | 302.178571428565 |
| 16 | 133016 | 133045.964285714 | 127100 | 5945.96428571429 | -29.9642857142899 |
| 17 | 121454 | 121045.101190476 | 126442.5 | -5397.39880952381 | 408.898809523816 |
| 18 | 122044 | 123292.238095238 | 126024.25 | -2732.01190476190 | -1248.23809523809 |
| 19 | 128313 | 127846.821428571 | 125663.375 | 2183.44642857143 | 466.178571428565 |
| 20 | 131556 | 131550.589285714 | 125604.625 | 5945.96428571429 | 5.41071428571013 |
| 21 | 120027 | 120551.601190476 | 125949 | -5397.39880952381 | -524.601190476184 |
| 22 | 123001 | 123562.738095238 | 126294.75 | -2732.01190476190 | -561.738095238092 |
| 23 | 130111 | 129063.571428571 | 126880.125 | 2183.44642857143 | 1047.42857142857 |
| 24 | 132524 | 133531.714285714 | 127585.75 | 5945.96428571429 | -1007.71428571429 |
| 25 | 123742 | 122871.476190476 | 128268.875 | -5397.39880952381 | 870.523809523816 |
| 26 | 124931 | 126482.863095238 | 129214.875 | -2732.01190476190 | -1551.86309523809 |
| 27 | 133646 | 132373.321428571 | 130189.875 | 2183.44642857143 | 1272.67857142858 |
| 28 | 136557 | 137108.464285714 | 131162.5 | 5945.96428571429 | -551.46428571429 |
| 29 | 127509 | 126709.976190476 | 132107.375 | -5397.39880952381 | 799.023809523816 |
| 30 | 128945 | 130213.363095238 | 132945.375 | -2732.01190476190 | -1268.36309523811 |
| 31 | 137191 | 135720.446428571 | 133537 | 2183.44642857143 | 1470.55357142858 |
| 32 | 139716 | 140012.089285714 | 134066.125 | 5945.96428571429 | -296.08928571429 |
| 33 | 129083 | 129278.851190476 | 134676.25 | -5397.39880952381 | -195.851190476184 |
| 34 | 131604 | 132648.113095238 | 135380.125 | -2732.01190476190 | -1044.11309523811 |
| 35 | 139413 | 138597.821428571 | 136414.375 | 2183.44642857143 | 815.17857142858 |
| 36 | 143125 | 143657.464285714 | 137711.5 | 5945.96428571429 | -532.46428571429 |
| 37 | 133948 | 133684.476190476 | 139081.875 | -5397.39880952381 | 263.523809523816 |
| 38 | 137116 | 137800.238095238 | 140532.25 | -2732.01190476190 | -684.238095238106 |
| 39 | 144864 | 144090.696428571 | 141907.25 | 2183.44642857143 | 773.30357142858 |
| 40 | 149277 | 149226.964285714 | 143281 | 5945.96428571429 | 50.0357142857101 |
| 41 | 138796 | 139297.601190476 | 144695 | -5397.39880952381 | -501.601190476184 |
| 42 | 143258 | 143288.113095238 | 146020.125 | -2732.01190476190 | -30.1130952381063 |
| 43 | 150034 | 149643.946428571 | 147460.5 | 2183.44642857143 | 390.05357142858 |
| 44 | 154708 | 154855.964285714 | 148910 | 5945.96428571429 | -147.96428571429 |
| 45 | 144888 | 145008.851190476 | 150406.25 | -5397.39880952381 | -120.851190476184 |
| 46 | 148762 | 149279.988095238 | 152012 | -2732.01190476190 | -517.988095238106 |
| 47 | 156500 | 155978.446428571 | 153795 | 2183.44642857143 | 521.55357142858 |
| 48 | 161088 | 161882.589285714 | 155936.625 | 5945.96428571429 | -794.58928571429 |
| 49 | 152772 | 152547.601190476 | 157945 | -5397.39880952381 | 224.398809523816 |
| 50 | 158011 | 157175.363095238 | 159907.375 | -2732.01190476190 | 835.636904761894 |
| 51 | 163318 | 164388.071428571 | 162204.625 | 2183.44642857143 | -1070.07142857142 |
| 52 | 169969 | 170306.964285714 | 164361 | 5945.96428571429 | -337.96428571429 |
| 53 | 162269 | 160843.101190476 | 166240.5 | -5397.39880952381 | 1425.89880952382 |
| 54 | 165765 | 165007.738095238 | 167739.75 | -2732.01190476190 | 757.261904761894 |
| 55 | 170600 | 171024.071428571 | 168840.625 | 2183.44642857143 | -424.07142857142 |
| 56 | 174681 | 175857.839285714 | 169911.875 | 5945.96428571429 | -1176.83928571429 |
| 57 | 166364 | 165767.601190476 | 171165 | -5397.39880952381 | 596.398809523816 |
| 58 | 170240 | 170048.613095238 | 172780.625 | -2732.01190476190 | 191.386904761894 |
| 59 | 176150 | 176617.696428571 | 174434.25 | 2183.44642857143 | -467.69642857142 |
| 60 | 182056 | 182063.964285714 | 176118 | 5945.96428571429 | -7.96428571428987 |
| 61 | 172218 | 172435.476190476 | 177832.875 | -5397.39880952381 | -217.476190476184 |
| 62 | 177856 | 176617.988095238 | 179350 | -2732.01190476190 | 1238.01190476189 |
| 63 | 182253 | 182868.321428571 | 180684.875 | 2183.44642857143 | -615.32142857142 |
| 64 | 188090 | 187888.589285714 | 181942.625 | 5945.96428571429 | 201.41071428571 |
| 65 | 176863 | 177936.851190476 | 183334.25 | -5397.39880952381 | -1073.85119047618 |
| 66 | 183273 | 182136.738095238 | 184868.75 | -2732.01190476190 | 1136.26190476189 |
| 67 | 187969 | 188643.821428571 | 186460.375 | 2183.44642857143 | -674.82142857142 |
| 68 | 194650 | 193958.339285714 | 188012.375 | 5945.96428571429 | 691.66071428571 |
| 69 | 183036 | 184124.851190476 | 189522.25 | -5397.39880952381 | -1088.85119047618 |
| 70 | 189516 | 188250.863095238 | 190982.875 | -2732.01190476190 | 1265.13690476189 |
| 71 | 193805 | 194535.696428571 | 192352.25 | 2183.44642857143 | -730.69642857142 |
| 72 | 200499 | 199463.464285714 | 193517.5 | 5945.96428571429 | 1035.53571428571 |
| 73 | 188142 | 189062.226190476 | 194459.625 | -5397.39880952381 | -920.226190476184 |
| 74 | 193732 | 192722.863095238 | 195454.875 | -2732.01190476190 | 1009.13690476189 |
| 75 | 197126 | 198669.571428571 | 196486.125 | 2183.44642857143 | -1543.57142857142 |
| 76 | 205140 | 203254.214285714 | 197308.25 | 5945.96428571429 | 1885.78571428571 |
| 77 | 191751 | 192614.101190476 | 198011.5 | -5397.39880952381 | -863.101190476184 |
| 78 | 196700 | 195889.238095238 | 198621.25 | -2732.01190476190 | 810.761904761894 |
| 79 | 199784 | 201625.946428571 | 199442.5 | 2183.44642857143 | -1841.94642857142 |
| 80 | 207360 | 206447.714285714 | 200501.75 | 5945.96428571429 | 912.28571428571 |
| 81 | 196101 | 196364.726190476 | 201762.125 | -5397.39880952381 | -263.726190476184 |
| 82 | 200824 | 200416.113095238 | 203148.125 | -2732.01190476190 | 407.886904761894 |
| 83 | 205743 | 206561.321428571 | 204377.875 | 2183.44642857143 | -818.32142857142 |
| 84 | 212489 | 211269.839285714 | 205323.875 | 5945.96428571429 | 1219.16071428571 |
| 85 | 200810 | 200476.726190476 | 205874.125 | -5397.39880952381 | 333.273809523816 |
| 86 | 203683 | 203137.613095238 | 205869.625 | -2732.01190476190 | 545.386904761894 |
| 87 | 207286 | 207118.821428571 | 204935.375 | 2183.44642857143 | 167.178571428580 |
| 88 | 210910 | 211924.089285714 | 205978.125 | 5945.96428571429 | -1014.08928571429 |
| 89 | 194915 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 90 | 217920 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
