Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 901 | 0 | 91 |
Trend | 7 | 1 | 1 |
Low-pass | 5 | 1 | 1 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 106370 | 107521.349194203 | -5726.95046803807 | 110945.601273835 | 1151.34919420302 |
2 | 109375 | 108170.217255879 | -2377.86160126473 | 112957.644345386 | -1204.78274412089 |
3 | 116476 | 115758.167883735 | 2198.45810848932 | 114995.374007775 | -717.832116264792 |
4 | 123297 | 123560.425110086 | 5906.35700570689 | 117127.217884207 | 263.425110086057 |
5 | 114813 | 115934.841930310 | -5726.95046803807 | 119418.108537729 | 1121.84193030956 |
6 | 117925 | 116636.253950994 | -2377.86160126473 | 121591.607650271 | -1288.74604900648 |
7 | 126466 | 127382.742379395 | 2198.45810848932 | 123350.799512116 | 916.742379395058 |
8 | 131235 | 131683.730330123 | 5906.35700570689 | 124879.91266417 | 448.730330123071 |
9 | 120546 | 120881.211420665 | -5726.95046803807 | 125937.739047373 | 335.211420664768 |
10 | 123791 | 123338.873222399 | -2377.86160126473 | 126620.988378866 | -452.126777601254 |
11 | 129813 | 130222.723050681 | 2198.45810848932 | 127204.818840830 | 409.723050681161 |
12 | 133463 | 133266.360307083 | 5906.35700570689 | 127753.282687210 | -196.639692917131 |
13 | 122987 | 123700.481370424 | -5726.95046803807 | 128000.469097615 | 713.481370423557 |
14 | 125418 | 125222.729585937 | -2377.86160126473 | 127991.132015327 | -195.270414062761 |
15 | 130199 | 130490.510748288 | 2198.45810848932 | 127709.031143223 | 291.510748287532 |
16 | 133016 | 132969.571367292 | 5906.35700570689 | 127156.071627001 | -46.4286327078735 |
17 | 121454 | 122204.367908807 | -5726.95046803807 | 126430.582559231 | 750.36790880718 |
18 | 122044 | 120510.860962969 | -2377.86160126473 | 125955.000638296 | -1533.13903703110 |
19 | 128313 | 128795.548748579 | 2198.45810848932 | 125631.993142931 | 482.548748579386 |
20 | 131556 | 131560.003220173 | 5906.35700570689 | 125645.639774120 | 4.00322017275903 |
21 | 120027 | 119897.856098468 | -5726.95046803807 | 125883.09436957 | -129.143901532050 |
22 | 123001 | 122104.193979608 | -2377.86160126473 | 126275.667621657 | -896.806020392076 |
23 | 130111 | 131152.839983595 | 2198.45810848932 | 126870.701907916 | 1041.83998359475 |
24 | 132524 | 131515.760179176 | 5906.35700570689 | 127625.882815117 | -1008.23982082437 |
25 | 123742 | 124984.608638339 | -5726.95046803807 | 128226.341829699 | 1242.60863833949 |
26 | 124931 | 123050.885536355 | -2377.86160126473 | 129188.976064910 | -1880.11446364544 |
27 | 133646 | 134930.436923685 | 2198.45810848932 | 130163.104967826 | 1284.43692368503 |
28 | 136557 | 135956.952757335 | 5906.35700570689 | 131250.690236959 | -600.047242665503 |
29 | 127509 | 128665.507298731 | -5726.95046803807 | 132079.443169307 | 1156.50729873092 |
30 | 128945 | 127332.102949008 | -2377.86160126473 | 132935.758652256 | -1612.89705099165 |
31 | 137191 | 138629.151670436 | 2198.45810848932 | 133554.390221075 | 1438.15167043585 |
32 | 139716 | 139387.839367848 | 5906.35700570689 | 134137.803626445 | -328.160632152081 |
33 | 129083 | 129292.916425477 | -5726.95046803807 | 134600.034042561 | 209.91642547684 |
34 | 131604 | 130256.254543974 | -2377.86160126473 | 135329.607057291 | -1347.74545602640 |
35 | 139413 | 140235.174179064 | 2198.45810848932 | 136392.367712446 | 822.174179064314 |
36 | 143125 | 142592.498096285 | 5906.35700570689 | 137751.144898008 | -532.501903715369 |
37 | 133948 | 134571.14332825 | -5726.95046803807 | 139051.807139788 | 623.143328250066 |
38 | 137116 | 136096.154713035 | -2377.86160126473 | 140513.70688823 | -1019.84528696520 |
39 | 144864 | 145609.772898800 | 2198.45810848932 | 141919.768992711 | 745.772898799536 |
40 | 149277 | 149323.585719153 | 5906.35700570689 | 143324.057275140 | 46.5857191534596 |
41 | 138796 | 138660.503646045 | -5726.95046803807 | 144658.446821993 | -135.496353954746 |
42 | 143258 | 142889.262473303 | -2377.86160126473 | 146004.599127962 | -368.737526697194 |
43 | 150034 | 150403.617457521 | 2198.45810848932 | 147465.92443399 | 369.617457520653 |
44 | 154708 | 154573.588648428 | 5906.35700570689 | 148936.054345866 | -134.411351572460 |
45 | 144888 | 145127.558754732 | -5726.95046803807 | 150375.391713306 | 239.558754732163 |
46 | 148762 | 147915.5217222 | -2377.86160126473 | 151986.339879065 | -846.478277799935 |
47 | 156500 | 157033.85353813 | 2198.45810848932 | 153767.688353381 | 533.853538129944 |
48 | 161088 | 160346.527495896 | 5906.35700570689 | 155923.115498397 | -741.472504103702 |
49 | 152772 | 153295.730371814 | -5726.95046803807 | 157975.220096224 | 523.730371814017 |
50 | 158011 | 158461.636280128 | -2377.86160126473 | 159938.225321136 | 450.636280128267 |
51 | 163318 | 162324.955007562 | 2198.45810848932 | 162112.586883948 | -993.044992437557 |
52 | 169969 | 169674.457853583 | 5906.35700570689 | 164357.185140710 | -294.542146416614 |
53 | 162269 | 163887.208029478 | -5726.95046803807 | 166377.742438560 | 1618.20802947765 |
54 | 165765 | 166081.373801311 | -2377.86160126473 | 167826.487799954 | 316.373801311216 |
55 | 170600 | 170242.104746217 | 2198.45810848932 | 168759.437145293 | -357.895253782626 |
56 | 174681 | 173605.084913092 | 5906.35700570689 | 169850.558081201 | -1075.91508690757 |
57 | 166364 | 167262.141028264 | -5726.95046803807 | 171192.809439774 | 898.141028264217 |
58 | 170240 | 170064.316740200 | -2377.86160126473 | 172793.544861065 | -175.683259799873 |
59 | 176150 | 175714.978041828 | 2198.45810848932 | 174386.563849683 | -435.021958171827 |
60 | 182056 | 182103.994017151 | 5906.35700570689 | 176101.648977142 | 47.9940171509807 |
61 | 172218 | 172279.930123793 | -5726.95046803807 | 177883.020344245 | 61.9301237933687 |
62 | 177856 | 178702.378098414 | -2377.86160126473 | 179387.483502850 | 846.37809841425 |
63 | 182253 | 181618.549760557 | 2198.45810848932 | 180688.992130954 | -634.450239443104 |
64 | 188090 | 188379.870358238 | 5906.35700570689 | 181893.772636055 | 289.870358237851 |
65 | 176863 | 176117.844363372 | -5726.95046803807 | 183335.106104666 | -745.155636628246 |
66 | 183273 | 184064.553703999 | -2377.86160126473 | 184859.307897266 | 791.55370399906 |
67 | 187969 | 187256.253114663 | 2198.45810848932 | 186483.288776848 | -712.746885337401 |
68 | 194650 | 195401.559267702 | 5906.35700570689 | 187992.083726591 | 751.559267702425 |
69 | 183036 | 182253.118966464 | -5726.95046803807 | 189545.831501574 | -782.881033535552 |
70 | 189516 | 190437.553999969 | -2377.86160126473 | 190972.307601295 | 921.553999969357 |
71 | 193805 | 193023.892737057 | 2198.45810848932 | 192387.649154454 | -781.10726294294 |
72 | 200499 | 201568.353103283 | 5906.35700570689 | 193523.289891011 | 1069.35310328254 |
73 | 188142 | 187502.364540922 | -5726.95046803807 | 194508.585927116 | -639.63545907769 |
74 | 193732 | 194448.925074753 | -2377.86160126473 | 195392.936526512 | 716.925074753148 |
75 | 197126 | 195569.587163764 | 2198.45810848932 | 196483.954727747 | -1556.41283623644 |
76 | 205140 | 207022.284671712 | 5906.35700570689 | 197351.358322581 | 1882.28467171171 |
77 | 191751 | 191135.084609567 | -5726.95046803807 | 198093.865858471 | -615.915390432783 |
78 | 196700 | 197239.511749146 | -2377.86160126473 | 198538.349852119 | 539.511749146011 |
79 | 199784 | 197995.962217138 | 2198.45810848932 | 199373.579674372 | -1788.03778286162 |
80 | 207360 | 208318.542863338 | 5906.35700570689 | 200495.100130956 | 958.542863337527 |
81 | 196101 | 196097.433447194 | -5726.95046803807 | 201831.517020844 | -3.56655280620907 |
82 | 200824 | 200925.049833397 | -2377.86160126473 | 203100.811767868 | 101.049833396886 |
83 | 205743 | 204924.284420893 | 2198.45810848932 | 204363.257470617 | -818.715579106734 |
84 | 212489 | 213670.101014013 | 5906.35700570689 | 205401.541980281 | 1181.10101401256 |
85 | 200810 | 201364.768188077 | -5726.95046803807 | 205982.182279961 | 554.768188077462 |
86 | 203683 | 203864.057208362 | -2377.86160126473 | 205879.804392902 | 181.057208362297 |
87 | 207286 | 207357.747768598 | 2198.45810848932 | 205015.794122913 | 71.7477685978811 |
88 | 210910 | 209077.878290079 | 5906.35700570689 | 206835.764704214 | -1832.1217099207 |
89 | 194915 | 185894.025181074 | -5726.95046803807 | 209662.925286964 | -9020.97481892619 |
90 | 217920 | 225501.204046638 | -2377.86160126473 | 212716.657554627 | 7581.20404663804 |