Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 9487 | 9525.23207733682 | 135.833478844500 | 9312.93444381869 | 38.2320773368156 |
2 | 8700 | 8796.74982767095 | -701.240545650517 | 9304.49071797957 | 96.7498276709466 |
3 | 9627 | 9743.46782516203 | 214.485182697515 | 9296.04699214045 | 116.467825162030 |
4 | 8947 | 8817.19752714004 | -212.614288110658 | 9289.41676097061 | -129.802472859956 |
5 | 9283 | 9379.12780276774 | -95.914332568514 | 9282.78652980077 | 96.1278027677436 |
6 | 8829 | 8426.36388195749 | -45.2531741906518 | 9276.88929223316 | -402.636118042512 |
7 | 9947 | 10106.2004531085 | 516.80749222597 | 9270.99205466556 | 159.200453108473 |
8 | 9628 | 9606.71972472535 | 384.289782986553 | 9264.9904922881 | -21.2802752746466 |
9 | 9318 | 9138.23893569666 | 238.772134392707 | 9258.98892991063 | -179.761064303340 |
10 | 9605 | 9730.05720074378 | 218.262868549796 | 9261.67993070642 | 125.057200743782 |
11 | 8640 | 8573.87508714804 | -558.246018650249 | 9264.37093150221 | -66.1249128519612 |
12 | 9214 | 9245.03025501909 | -95.1825813387182 | 9278.15232631963 | 31.0302550190863 |
13 | 9567 | 9706.23280001845 | 135.833478844500 | 9291.93372113705 | 139.232800018448 |
14 | 8547 | 8493.48461010472 | -701.240545650517 | 9301.7559355458 | -53.5153898952813 |
15 | 9185 | 8843.93666734794 | 214.485182697515 | 9311.57814995454 | -341.063332652058 |
16 | 9470 | 9834.94908550174 | -212.614288110658 | 9317.66520260891 | 364.949085501743 |
17 | 9123 | 9018.16207730523 | -95.914332568514 | 9323.75225526328 | -104.837922694769 |
18 | 9278 | 9263.58117179621 | -45.2531741906518 | 9337.67200239444 | -14.4188282037885 |
19 | 10170 | 10471.6007582484 | 516.80749222597 | 9351.5917495256 | 301.600758248431 |
20 | 9434 | 9110.69755881774 | 384.289782986553 | 9373.0126581957 | -323.302441182257 |
21 | 9655 | 9676.79429874148 | 238.772134392707 | 9394.43356686581 | 21.794298741479 |
22 | 9429 | 9230.3662434072 | 218.262868549796 | 9409.370888043 | -198.633756592802 |
23 | 8739 | 8611.93780943005 | -558.246018650249 | 9424.3082092202 | -127.06219056995 |
24 | 9552 | 9755.12840213054 | -95.1825813387182 | 9444.05417920818 | 203.128402130536 |
25 | 9687 | 9774.36637195933 | 135.833478844500 | 9463.80014919617 | 87.3663719593333 |
26 | 9019 | 9246.17005277557 | -701.240545650517 | 9493.07049287495 | 227.170052775567 |
27 | 9672 | 9607.17398074875 | 214.485182697515 | 9522.34083655373 | -64.8260192512462 |
28 | 9206 | 9073.84844046588 | -212.614288110658 | 9550.76584764478 | -132.151559534119 |
29 | 9069 | 8654.7234738327 | -95.914332568514 | 9579.19085873582 | -414.276526167305 |
30 | 9788 | 10019.7122600741 | -45.2531741906518 | 9601.54091411657 | 231.712260074080 |
31 | 10312 | 10483.3015382767 | 516.80749222597 | 9623.89096949732 | 171.301538276706 |
32 | 10105 | 10175.5282404148 | 384.289782986553 | 9650.18197659865 | 70.5282404147965 |
33 | 9863 | 9810.75488190731 | 238.772134392707 | 9676.47298369998 | -52.2451180926873 |
34 | 9656 | 9385.14953145333 | 218.262868549796 | 9708.58759999687 | -270.850468546671 |
35 | 9295 | 9407.54380235648 | -558.246018650249 | 9740.70221629377 | 112.543802356478 |
36 | 9946 | 10225.5813397355 | -95.1825813387182 | 9761.60124160321 | 279.581339735509 |
37 | 9701 | 9483.66625424285 | 135.833478844500 | 9782.50026691265 | -217.333745757151 |
38 | 9049 | 9003.24805027927 | -701.240545650517 | 9795.99249537125 | -45.7519497207340 |
39 | 10190 | 10356.0300934726 | 214.485182697515 | 9809.48472382985 | 166.030093472633 |
40 | 9706 | 9801.62688569853 | -212.614288110658 | 9822.98740241213 | 95.6268856985298 |
41 | 9765 | 9789.4242515741 | -95.914332568514 | 9836.4900809944 | 24.4242515741098 |
42 | 9893 | 9986.24443227722 | -45.2531741906518 | 9845.00874191343 | 93.2444322772171 |
43 | 9994 | 9617.66510494157 | 516.80749222597 | 9853.52740283246 | -376.334895058435 |
44 | 10433 | 10617.7023012339 | 384.289782986553 | 9864.00791577953 | 184.702301233914 |
45 | 10073 | 10032.7394368807 | 238.772134392707 | 9874.4884287266 | -40.2605631193128 |
46 | 10112 | 10111.2054142806 | 218.262868549796 | 9894.53171716962 | -0.79458571941359 |
47 | 9266 | 9175.67101303762 | -558.246018650249 | 9914.57500561263 | -90.3289869623804 |
48 | 9820 | 9791.8114959633 | -95.1825813387182 | 9943.37108537543 | -28.1885040367088 |
49 | 10097 | 10085.9993560173 | 135.833478844500 | 9972.16716513823 | -11.0006439827266 |
50 | 9115 | 8926.06169600725 | -701.240545650517 | 10005.1788496433 | -188.938303992745 |
51 | 10411 | 10569.3242831542 | 214.485182697515 | 10038.1905341483 | 158.324283154188 |
52 | 9678 | 9503.83328833196 | -212.614288110658 | 10064.7809997787 | -174.166711668038 |
53 | 10408 | 10820.5428671594 | -95.914332568514 | 10091.3714654091 | 412.54286715942 |
54 | 10153 | 10243.0699805115 | -45.2531741906518 | 10108.1831936792 | 90.0699805114982 |
55 | 10368 | 10094.1975858248 | 516.80749222597 | 10124.9949219492 | -273.802414175181 |
56 | 10581 | 10637.6167346857 | 384.289782986553 | 10140.0934823278 | 56.6167346856801 |
57 | 10597 | 10800.0358229010 | 238.772134392707 | 10155.1920427063 | 203.035822900967 |
58 | 10680 | 10972.4514058854 | 218.262868549796 | 10169.2857255648 | 292.451405885387 |
59 | 9738 | 9850.86661022694 | -558.246018650249 | 10183.3794084233 | 112.866610226944 |
60 | 9556 | 9011.44765598435 | -95.1825813387182 | 10195.7349253544 | -544.552344015647 |