Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.934221760733587 |
beta | 0.0075036315050239 |
gamma | 1 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
5 | 201.4 | 217.379947764092 | -15.9799477640918 |
6 | 240.8 | 239.352980762353 | 1.4470192376468 |
7 | 241.1 | 233.085430961968 | 8.01456903803162 |
8 | 223.8 | 219.620470056651 | 4.17952994334894 |
9 | 206.1 | 185.891673048118 | 20.2083269518816 |
10 | 174.7 | 243.861153356924 | -69.1611533569236 |
11 | 203.3 | 171.600626496691 | 31.6993735033089 |
12 | 220.5 | 182.208870581636 | 38.2911294183635 |
13 | 299.5 | 182.223654279087 | 117.276345720913 |
14 | 347.4 | 340.632596952795 | 6.76740304720522 |
15 | 338.3 | 354.169519539684 | -15.8695195396843 |
16 | 327.7 | 313.979933587329 | 13.7200664126711 |
17 | 351.6 | 281.229506072028 | 70.3704939279719 |
18 | 396.6 | 396.785120179258 | -0.185120179257865 |
19 | 438.8 | 404.639217948954 | 34.1607820510465 |
20 | 395.6 | 409.074994727523 | -13.4749947275229 |
21 | 363.5 | 346.617919319108 | 16.8820806808919 |
22 | 378.8 | 409.401584993034 | -30.6015849930336 |
23 | 357 | 390.342706463704 | -33.3427064637042 |
24 | 369 | 332.696131835951 | 36.3038681640492 |
25 | 464.8 | 321.789686318635 | 143.010313681365 |
26 | 479.1 | 512.58292867639 | -33.4829286763903 |
27 | 431.3 | 495.575381423991 | -64.2753814239908 |
28 | 366.5 | 410.582369346959 | -44.0823693469586 |
29 | 326.3 | 328.941988867418 | -2.64198886741821 |
30 | 355.1 | 355.996084234391 | -0.896084234391196 |
31 | 331.6 | 361.691368845331 | -30.0913688453306 |
32 | 261.3 | 313.325070826617 | -52.0250708266165 |
33 | 249 | 235.506434814428 | 13.4935651855719 |
34 | 205.5 | 268.810747628503 | -63.3107476285026 |
35 | 235.6 | 208.950577402542 | 26.6494225974583 |
36 | 240.9 | 215.888443848166 | 25.0115561518337 |
37 | 264.9 | 215.94964683916 | 48.9503531608402 |
38 | 253.8 | 277.486378346606 | -23.6863783466061 |
39 | 232.3 | 263.845690184642 | -31.5456901846423 |
40 | 193.8 | 216.382710275023 | -22.5827102750232 |
41 | 177 | 175.978257940728 | 1.0217420592719 |
42 | 213.2 | 181.788432417131 | 31.411567582869 |
43 | 207.2 | 216.360357407464 | -9.16035740746355 |
44 | 180.6 | 191.457803639127 | -10.8578036391271 |
45 | 188.6 | 164.410064892517 | 24.1899351074830 |
46 | 175.4 | 194.570008868208 | -19.1700088682075 |
47 | 199 | 177.5806362994 | 21.4193637006001 |
48 | 179.6 | 181.691916550140 | -2.09191655014047 |
49 | 225.8 | 165.155550756757 | 60.6444492432428 |
50 | 234 | 228.697637782792 | 5.30236221720767 |
51 | 200.2 | 241.040847840189 | -40.8408478401886 |
52 | 183.6 | 185.41432210187 | -1.81432210187015 |
53 | 178.2 | 172.309531988000 | 5.89046801200018 |
54 | 203.2 | 178.97863601601 | 24.2213639839901 |
55 | 208.5 | 204.053576347174 | 4.4464236528257 |
56 | 191.8 | 193.163524884624 | -1.36352488462373 |
57 | 172.8 | 180.95932493805 | -8.1593249380499 |
58 | 148 | 175.443350677390 | -27.4433506773903 |
59 | 159.4 | 148.875193054206 | 10.5248069457938 |
60 | 154.5 | 145.459172774719 | 9.04082722528128 |
61 | 213.2 | 143.587725909795 | 69.6122740902046 |
62 | 196.4 | 210.870964712572 | -14.4709647125723 |
63 | 182.8 | 201.982010879535 | -19.1820108795353 |
64 | 176.4 | 169.839394651471 | 6.56060534852892 |
65 | 153.6 | 168.223296042576 | -14.6232960425761 |
66 | 173.2 | 150.439281680628 | 22.7607183193722 |
67 | 171 | 174.655587781533 | -3.6555877815326 |
68 | 151.2 | 159.226084748562 | -8.02608474856234 |
69 | 161.9 | 143.038416819806 | 18.8615831801938 |
70 | 157.2 | 159.191811049221 | -1.99181104922056 |
71 | 201.7 | 157.967840891734 | 43.7321591082662 |
72 | 236.4 | 185.711723134034 | 50.6882768659657 |
73 | 356.1 | 225.818742892226 | 130.281257107775 |
74 | 398.3 | 349.008477874114 | 49.2915221258856 |
75 | 403.7 | 413.149767737602 | -9.44976773760203 |
76 | 384.6 | 384.222220898058 | 0.377779101941542 |
77 | 365.8 | 380.559144599655 | -14.7591445996553 |
78 | 368.1 | 362.712545359423 | 5.38745464057689 |
79 | 367.9 | 380.468649444428 | -12.5686494444284 |
80 | 347 | 350.513764211258 | -3.51376421125815 |
81 | 343.3 | 342.167131639463 | 1.13286836053726 |
82 | 292.9 | 340.375519318382 | -47.4755193183819 |
83 | 311.5 | 304.120248836656 | 7.37975116334411 |
84 | 300.9 | 295.265659715086 | 5.63434028491429 |
85 | 366.9 | 295.691687041417 | 71.2083129585828 |
86 | 356.9 | 355.791395099203 | 1.10860490079745 |
87 | 329.7 | 372.590326026385 | -42.8903260263853 |
88 | 316.2 | 316.102031301991 | 0.0979686980088559 |
89 | 269 | 315.158417609322 | -46.1584176093223 |
90 | 289.3 | 262.406658932416 | 26.8933410675842 |
91 | 266.2 | 296.524858240556 | -30.3248582405562 |
92 | 253.6 | 256.12699058419 | -2.52699058419014 |
93 | 233.8 | 249.041046510085 | -15.2410465100852 |
94 | 228.4 | 229.819394190820 | -1.41939419081976 |
95 | 253.6 | 231.301022708827 | 22.2989772911729 |
96 | 260.1 | 242.242250446066 | 17.8577495539343 |
97 | 306.6 | 253.427596078652 | 53.1724039213478 |
98 | 309.2 | 299.661037960286 | 9.53896203971397 |
99 | 309.5 | 316.531836959027 | -7.03183695902652 |
100 | 271 | 298.825677762622 | -27.8256777626222 |
101 | 279.9 | 269.28796807547 | 10.6120319245299 |
102 | 317.9 | 273.031777901591 | 44.8682220984093 |
103 | 298.4 | 322.152399143839 | -23.7523991438385 |
104 | 246.7 | 287.602797460292 | -40.9027974602921 |
105 | 227.3 | 248.084564512618 | -20.7845645126179 |
106 | 209.1 | 224.216074626107 | -15.1160746261070 |
107 | 259.9 | 209.961178803572 | 49.9388211964284 |
108 | 266 | 244.000687431169 | 21.9993125688312 |
109 | 320.6 | 264.961903070009 | 55.6380969299911 |
110 | 308.5 | 313.448557916109 | -4.94855791610865 |
111 | 282.2 | 316.890513195075 | -34.6905131950754 |
112 | 262.7 | 269.15018160911 | -6.45018160911019 |
113 | 263.5 | 265.161940896833 | -1.66194089683307 |
114 | 313.1 | 256.592357572628 | 56.5076424273717 |
115 | 284.3 | 315.365271797906 | -31.0652717979059 |
116 | 252.6 | 272.836218451920 | -20.2362184519204 |
117 | 250.3 | 256.121761475997 | -5.82176147599682 |
118 | 246.5 | 246.880033199873 | -0.380033199872827 |
119 | 312.7 | 245.486738546584 | 67.213261453416 |
120 | 333.2 | 294.833046881028 | 38.3669531189722 |
121 | 446.4 | 336.511241701296 | 109.888758298704 |
122 | 511.6 | 437.200701956096 | 74.3992980439039 |
123 | 515.5 | 517.620199648103 | -2.12019964810258 |
124 | 506.4 | 493.284131603443 | 13.1158683965568 |
125 | 483.2 | 521.755514880255 | -38.555514880255 |
126 | 522.3 | 480.826750079151 | 41.473249920849 |
127 | 509.8 | 525.669179163278 | -15.8691791632781 |
128 | 460.7 | 489.65751747629 | -28.9575174762898 |
129 | 405.8 | 473.735058813069 | -67.9350588130692 |
130 | 375 | 409.654034477823 | -34.6540344778234 |
131 | 378.5 | 377.530821025100 | 0.969178974900444 |
132 | 406.8 | 360.748663989237 | 46.0513360107629 |
133 | 467.8 | 410.103188330889 | 57.6968116691108 |
134 | 469.8 | 466.383638947654 | 3.41636105234625 |
135 | 429.8 | 474.195226965321 | -44.3952269653213 |
136 | 355.8 | 416.290424305038 | -60.4904243050383 |
137 | 332.7 | 365.130767859327 | -32.4307678593267 |
138 | 378 | 332.590410879715 | 45.4095891202845 |
139 | 360.5 | 375.000782902933 | -14.5007829029329 |
140 | 334.7 | 345.507171739483 | -10.8071717394826 |
141 | 319.5 | 341.796305835742 | -22.2963058357415 |
142 | 323.1 | 323.308764829116 | -0.208764829116376 |
143 | 363.6 | 319.045807387681 | 44.5541926123194 |
144 | 352.1 | 345.009466926614 | 7.09053307338615 |
145 | 411.9 | 357.768140764447 | 54.1318592355527 |
146 | 388.6 | 414.648918147557 | -26.0489181475573 |
147 | 416.4 | 389.651560546716 | 26.7484394532844 |
148 | 360.7 | 394.688179696047 | -33.9881796960473 |
149 | 338 | 372.201751372243 | -34.2017513722433 |
150 | 417.2 | 340.221499203162 | 76.9785007968378 |
151 | 388.4 | 415.365958048884 | -26.9659580488837 |
152 | 371.1 | 367.313718081863 | 3.78628191813749 |
153 | 331.5 | 380.339927766416 | -48.8399277664162 |
154 | 353.7 | 341.063494811593 | 12.6365051884066 |
155 | 396.7 | 349.029694361414 | 47.6703056385863 |
156 | 447 | 372.56789952753 | 74.4321004724703 |
157 | 533.5 | 449.719403538552 | 83.7805964614475 |
158 | 565.4 | 547.43445129343 | 17.9655487065696 |
159 | 542.3 | 564.130297789759 | -21.8302977897588 |
160 | 488.7 | 518.051753545877 | -29.3517535458773 |
161 | 467.1 | 499.248021691552 | -32.1480216915516 |
162 | 531.3 | 481.920918722575 | 49.3790812774253 |
163 | 496.1 | 525.183873973938 | -29.0838739739382 |
164 | 444 | 473.526871376572 | -29.5268713765719 |
165 | 403.4 | 453.137295318286 | -49.7372953182856 |
166 | 386.3 | 421.565105920546 | -35.265105920546 |
167 | 394.1 | 381.432363720162 | 12.6676362798384 |
168 | 404.1 | 372.843853288316 | 31.2561467116844 |
169 | 462.1 | 406.631560609873 | 55.4684393901267 |
170 | 448.1 | 476.934874495087 | -28.8348744950873 |
171 | 432.3 | 446.091783349183 | -13.7917833491827 |
172 | 386.3 | 412.423845479407 | -26.1238454794072 |
173 | 395.2 | 393.414204773752 | 1.78579522624796 |
174 | 421.9 | 405.40875890475 | 16.4912410952500 |
175 | 382.9 | 417.812568974774 | -34.9125689747744 |
176 | 384.2 | 365.419227055022 | 18.7807729449783 |
177 | 345.5 | 390.140854790550 | -44.6408547905496 |
178 | 323.4 | 357.855611158753 | -34.4556111587526 |
179 | 372.6 | 319.591995393697 | 53.0080046063031 |
180 | 376 | 353.292252018288 | 22.7077479817124 |
181 | 462.7 | 377.033892676003 | 85.6661073239968 |
182 | 487 | 471.648423525483 | 15.3515764745171 |
183 | 444.2 | 487.155674935576 | -42.9556749355757 |
184 | 399.3 | 426.461026364487 | -27.1610263644873 |
185 | 394.9 | 407.477675054509 | -12.5776750545091 |
186 | 455.4 | 403.596004104367 | 51.803995895633 |
187 | 414 | 448.991697644219 | -34.9916976442186 |
188 | 375.5 | 397.662312265537 | -22.1623122655367 |
189 | 347 | 383.666298690123 | -36.6662986901226 |
190 | 339.4 | 359.317361400204 | -19.9173614002038 |
191 | 385.8 | 332.982291317379 | 52.8177086826213 |
192 | 378.8 | 365.538686264845 | 13.2613137351554 |
193 | 451.8 | 383.558051848994 | 68.2419481510058 |
194 | 446.1 | 462.750865775255 | -16.6508657752548 |
195 | 422.5 | 444.179572201241 | -21.6795722012406 |
196 | 383.1 | 403.041895221968 | -19.9418952219679 |
197 | 352.8 | 393.244365753943 | -40.4443657539425 |
198 | 445.3 | 362.278050466195 | 83.0219495338048 |
199 | 367.5 | 436.450117080613 | -68.9501170806129 |
200 | 355.1 | 353.229970841988 | 1.87002915801168 |
201 | 326.2 | 361.378227251825 | -35.1782272518253 |
202 | 319.8 | 341.266966966114 | -21.4669669661135 |
203 | 331.8 | 309.839050073425 | 21.9609499265746 |
204 | 340.9 | 317.268558556815 | 23.6314414431848 |
205 | 394.1 | 342.778088942845 | 51.3219110571545 |
206 | 417.2 | 407.892306655864 | 9.30769334413634 |
207 | 369.9 | 406.715880386404 | -36.8158803864037 |
208 | 349.2 | 358.188899594305 | -8.98889959430466 |
209 | 321.4 | 354.905541320757 | -33.5055413207575 |
210 | 405.7 | 334.688886534194 | 71.0111134658059 |
211 | 342.9 | 388.289050866499 | -45.3890508664987 |
212 | 316.5 | 334.147616759449 | -17.6476167594486 |
213 | 284.2 | 320.325785707875 | -36.1257857078752 |
214 | 270.9 | 301.480030941029 | -30.5800309410293 |
215 | 288.8 | 257.647178196095 | 31.1528218039053 |
216 | 278.8 | 277.808519281054 | 0.991480718946036 |
217 | 324.4 | 279.340810694885 | 45.0591893051151 |
218 | 310.9 | 339.084884231245 | -28.1848842312451 |
219 | 299 | 300.267542972792 | -1.26754297279228 |
220 | 273 | 287.960325462963 | -14.9603254629631 |
221 | 279.3 | 277.029595472915 | 2.27040452708530 |
222 | 359.2 | 289.530757389357 | 69.6692426106427 |
223 | 305 | 343.016071506576 | -38.0160715065764 |
224 | 282.1 | 295.243885368957 | -13.1438853689565 |
225 | 250.3 | 287.489550943 | -37.1895509430002 |
226 | 246.5 | 265.046665129393 | -18.5466651293930 |
227 | 257.9 | 233.461359374328 | 24.4386406256715 |
228 | 266.5 | 246.781289560662 | 19.7187104393385 |
229 | 315.9 | 267.480177150554 | 48.4198228494461 |
230 | 318.4 | 330.590302517190 | -12.1903025171904 |
231 | 295.4 | 305.42541018664 | -10.0254101866398 |
232 | 266.4 | 285.290415527991 | -18.8904155279906 |
233 | 245.8 | 271.427570725925 | -25.6275707259251 |
234 | 362.8 | 257.523685705886 | 105.276314294114 |
235 | 324.9 | 341.118489916949 | -16.2184899169486 |
236 | 294.2 | 313.781640569003 | -19.5816405690028 |
237 | 289.5 | 299.472172894172 | -9.972172894172 |
238 | 295.2 | 310.688581317931 | -15.4885813179305 |
239 | 290.3 | 276.951198569944 | 13.3488014300557 |
240 | 272 | 277.944297392058 | -5.9442973920577 |
241 | 307.4 | 276.416327387815 | 30.9836726121854 |
242 | 328.7 | 326.853427976586 | 1.84657202341413 |
243 | 292.9 | 309.673520460121 | -16.7735204601211 |
244 | 249.1 | 281.174837713217 | -32.0748377132166 |
245 | 230.4 | 256.753668521682 | -26.3536685216815 |
246 | 361.5 | 245.999090841682 | 115.500909158318 |
247 | 321.7 | 332.498426388912 | -10.7984263889118 |
248 | 277.2 | 307.30504371797 | -30.1050437179701 |
249 | 260.7 | 286.091278302775 | -25.3912783027753 |
250 | 251 | 286.745155106907 | -35.7451551069072 |
251 | 257.6 | 231.463568072559 | 26.1364319274412 |
252 | 241.8 | 242.033156373157 | -0.2331563731573 |
253 | 287.5 | 247.577337696415 | 39.9226623035847 |
254 | 292.3 | 310.841763202449 | -18.5417632024491 |
255 | 274.7 | 273.156240213553 | 1.54375978644725 |
256 | 254.2 | 258.257918715464 | -4.05791871546404 |
257 | 230 | 263.179169154715 | -33.1791691547148 |
258 | 339 | 249.303021905284 | 89.6969780947159 |
259 | 318.2 | 311.945989889734 | 6.25401011026582 |
260 | 287 | 299.024830424591 | -12.0248304245913 |
261 | 295.8 | 295.654657135057 | 0.145342864942904 |
262 | 284 | 327.43452784741 | -43.4345278474102 |
263 | 271 | 263.798144648314 | 7.20185535168577 |
264 | 262.7 | 253.064420787898 | 9.63557921210241 |
265 | 340.6 | 269.719962671700 | 70.8800373283005 |
266 | 379.4 | 368.715390129076 | 10.6846098709236 |
267 | 373.3 | 353.58323215875 | 19.7167678412500 |
268 | 355.2 | 349.480487048283 | 5.71951295171743 |
269 | 338.4 | 370.591778133650 | -32.1917781336497 |
270 | 466.9 | 369.333243833597 | 97.5667561664033 |
271 | 451 | 431.409812497021 | 19.5901875029789 |
272 | 422 | 422.146569617097 | -0.146569617097498 |
273 | 429.2 | 438.207336211451 | -9.0073362114507 |
274 | 425.9 | 476.639001182337 | -50.7390011823367 |
275 | 460.7 | 397.47098251503 | 63.2290174849698 |
276 | 463.6 | 427.368560806893 | 36.2314391931071 |
277 | 541.4 | 478.587887101442 | 62.812112898558 |
278 | 544.2 | 592.94921767412 | -48.7492176741197 |
279 | 517.5 | 516.514380576684 | 0.985619423315939 |
280 | 469.4 | 482.871014300834 | -13.4710143008336 |
281 | 439.4 | 489.260059191979 | -49.8600591919794 |
282 | 549 | 481.304268776122 | 67.6957312238777 |
283 | 533 | 516.90357231415 | 16.0964276858506 |
284 | 506.1 | 495.494861012285 | 10.6051389877153 |
285 | 484 | 523.133738950091 | -39.1337389500908 |
286 | 457 | 537.724775523308 | -80.724775523308 |
287 | 481.5 | 435.58090908578 | 45.9190909142199 |
288 | 469.5 | 445.082917337034 | 24.4170826629662 |
289 | 544.7 | 480.824690840342 | 63.8753091596585 |
290 | 541.2 | 594.025836785133 | -52.8258367851329 |
291 | 521.5 | 523.098024791139 | -1.59802479113876 |
292 | 469.7 | 484.073741038731 | -14.3737410387311 |
293 | 434.4 | 485.740650296926 | -51.3406502969264 |
294 | 542.6 | 473.640655987115 | 68.9593440128846 |
295 | 517.3 | 519.935101632659 | -2.6351016326588 |
296 | 485.7 | 479.339972284874 | 6.3600277151263 |
297 | 465.8 | 498.089436444208 | -32.289436444208 |
298 | 447 | 514.773650195327 | -67.7736501953268 |
299 | 426.6 | 431.849160588089 | -5.24916058808947 |
300 | 411.6 | 395.376961017196 | 16.223038982804 |
301 | 467.5 | 418.574073562383 | 48.9259264376171 |
302 | 484.5 | 508.023154861304 | -23.5231548613040 |
303 | 451.2 | 469.510356167094 | -18.3103561670944 |
304 | 417.4 | 420.586409743221 | -3.18640974322057 |
305 | 379.9 | 427.680955546179 | -47.780955546179 |
306 | 484.7 | 414.259399270395 | 70.4406007296053 |
307 | 455 | 463.949943771018 | -8.94994377101767 |
308 | 420.8 | 424.502934777636 | -3.70293477763579 |
309 | 416.5 | 427.910154744238 | -11.4101547442384 |
310 | 376.3 | 459.750212817967 | -83.4502128179667 |
311 | 405.6 | 364.226093814154 | 41.3739061858458 |
312 | 405.8 | 375.288880988307 | 30.5111190116927 |
313 | 500.8 | 409.753859149245 | 91.0461408507555 |
314 | 514 | 539.039163818192 | -25.0391638181920 |
315 | 475.5 | 503.79889622906 | -28.2988962290601 |
316 | 430.1 | 444.468451458244 | -14.3684514582438 |
317 | 414.4 | 440.720042514029 | -26.3200425140292 |
318 | 538 | 445.858779666773 | 92.1412203332268 |
319 | 526 | 519.472733614244 | 6.52726638575643 |
320 | 488.5 | 490.540956685554 | -2.04095668555385 |
321 | 520.2 | 499.071276341301 | 21.1287236586986 |
322 | 504.4 | 565.471033669614 | -61.0710336696136 |
323 | 568.5 | 491.10241749841 | 77.3975825015905 |
324 | 610.6 | 525.507660611727 | 85.092339388273 |
325 | 818 | 620.543632685692 | 197.456367314308 |
326 | 830.9 | 870.127160676904 | -39.2271606769042 |
327 | 835.9 | 821.138446830896 | 14.7615531691036 |
328 | 782 | 780.44087172965 | 1.55912827034979 |
329 | 762.3 | 808.350695091502 | -46.0506950915016 |
330 | 856.9 | 811.263856204082 | 45.6361437959182 |
331 | 820.9 | 844.87212984527 | -23.9721298452699 |
332 | 769.6 | 767.883318676583 | 1.71668132341688 |
333 | 752.2 | 792.140068603051 | -39.9400686030514 |
334 | 724.4 | 806.023160668627 | -81.6231606686272 |
335 | 723.1 | 717.525921432478 | 5.57407856752218 |
336 | 719.5 | 675.681204863828 | 43.8187951361724 |
337 | 817.4 | 734.737449820568 | 82.662550179432 |
338 | 803.3 | 863.905805244538 | -60.6058052445377 |
339 | 752.5 | 800.403630971258 | -47.9036309712579 |
340 | 689 | 709.037907533863 | -20.0379075338631 |
341 | 630.4 | 709.449024093298 | -79.0490240932977 |
342 | 765.5 | 667.53091164246 | 97.9690883575403 |
343 | 757.7 | 752.904751381105 | 4.79524861889536 |
344 | 732.2 | 712.256198896188 | 19.9438011038125 |
345 | 702.6 | 746.601042269926 | -44.0010422699255 |
346 | 683.3 | 753.807139675773 | -70.5071396757727 |
347 | 709.5 | 676.455517870851 | 33.0444821291489 |
348 | 702.2 | 665.809041552434 | 36.3909584475665 |
349 | 784.8 | 710.435272724031 | 74.3647272759686 |
350 | 810.9 | 831.49896314469 | -20.5989631446902 |
351 | 755.6 | 807.282510236975 | -51.6825102369748 |
352 | 656.8 | 714.90304313004 | -58.1030431300403 |
353 | 615.1 | 672.283815559863 | -57.1838155598628 |
354 | 745.3 | 653.695099423757 | 91.604900576243 |
355 | 694.1 | 732.286467421055 | -38.1864674210552 |
356 | 675.7 | 654.950642684134 | 20.7493573158657 |
357 | 643.7 | 686.104047038175 | -42.4040470381749 |
358 | 622.1 | 692.824095747583 | -70.7240957475829 |
359 | 634.6 | 612.915721186644 | 21.6842788133564 |
360 | 588 | 598.309082325298 | -10.3090823252978 |
361 | 689.7 | 594.645382957527 | 95.0546170424727 |
362 | 673.9 | 730.373942491544 | -56.4739424915437 |
363 | 647.9 | 669.450019551616 | -21.5500195516164 |
364 | 568.8 | 611.541869383852 | -42.7418693838524 |
365 | 545.7 | 583.225012704288 | -37.5250127042875 |
366 | 632.6 | 576.44873962445 | 56.1512603755505 |
367 | 643.8 | 623.100883132432 | 20.6991168675679 |
368 | 593.1 | 603.357344154358 | -10.2573441543578 |
369 | 579.7 | 606.247501755565 | -26.5475017555653 |
370 | 546 | 618.069996908006 | -72.0699969080056 |
371 | 562.9 | 543.074145986271 | 19.8258540137292 |
372 | 572.5 | 525.21874086158 | 47.281259138420 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
373 | 580.099455369910 | 497.41247545428 | 662.786435285539 |
374 | 613.166933372231 | 496.573630616928 | 729.760236127534 |
375 | 611.794416567326 | 471.528765899302 | 752.06006723535 |
376 | 574.281613766588 | 351.007546890132 | 797.555680643044 |