Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 781 | 0 | 79 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 14.5 | 15.0944532290277 | -0.321335927618347 | 14.2268826985906 | 0.594453229027726 |
2 | 14.3 | 14.9650721971997 | -0.59085823509362 | 14.2257860378939 | 0.665072197199716 |
3 | 15.3 | 14.9499760662701 | 1.42533455653270 | 14.2246893771972 | -0.350023933729888 |
4 | 14.4 | 14.7456178657239 | -0.183679804806304 | 14.2380619390824 | 0.345617865723927 |
5 | 13.7 | 13.5555433650574 | -0.406977866024921 | 14.2514345009676 | -0.144456634942642 |
6 | 14.2 | 12.8760850067394 | 1.24921530405955 | 14.2746996892011 | -1.32391499326060 |
7 | 13.5 | 13.6548576916501 | -0.952822569084688 | 14.2979648774345 | 0.154857691650145 |
8 | 11.9 | 11.1995927387024 | -1.72620934364556 | 14.3266166049432 | -0.700407261297611 |
9 | 14.6 | 14.2943291927125 | 0.550402474835696 | 14.3552683324518 | -0.305670807287495 |
10 | 15.6 | 15.7427654562491 | 1.00827513293133 | 14.4489594108195 | 0.142765456249149 |
11 | 14.1 | 13.3412002132200 | 0.316149297592766 | 14.5426504891873 | -0.758799786780017 |
12 | 14.9 | 15.4668485678870 | -0.367492995063122 | 14.7006444271762 | 0.56684856788697 |
13 | 14.2 | 13.8626975624533 | -0.321335927618347 | 14.8586383651651 | -0.337302437546709 |
14 | 14.6 | 14.7685528763388 | -0.59085823509362 | 15.0223053587548 | 0.168552876338834 |
15 | 17.2 | 17.7886930911228 | 1.42533455653270 | 15.1859723523445 | 0.588693091122785 |
16 | 15.4 | 15.6421099855524 | -0.183679804806304 | 15.3415698192539 | 0.242109985552359 |
17 | 14.3 | 13.5098105798616 | -0.406977866024921 | 15.4971672861634 | -0.79018942013845 |
18 | 17.5 | 18.1087233572831 | 1.24921530405955 | 15.6420613386574 | 0.608723357283052 |
19 | 14.5 | 14.1658671779333 | -0.952822569084688 | 15.7869553911514 | -0.334132822066735 |
20 | 14.4 | 14.6030839049608 | -1.72620934364556 | 15.9231254386847 | 0.203083904960845 |
21 | 16.6 | 16.5903020389463 | 0.550402474835696 | 16.059295486218 | -0.0096979610536998 |
22 | 16.7 | 16.2015447212874 | 1.00827513293133 | 16.1901801457813 | -0.498455278712596 |
23 | 16.6 | 16.5627858970627 | 0.316149297592766 | 16.3210648053445 | -0.0372141029372948 |
24 | 16.9 | 17.7352648692324 | -0.367492995063122 | 16.4322281258307 | 0.835264869232414 |
25 | 15.7 | 15.1779444813015 | -0.321335927618347 | 16.5433914463169 | -0.52205551869854 |
26 | 16.4 | 16.7591426981985 | -0.59085823509362 | 16.6317155368951 | 0.359142698198532 |
27 | 18.4 | 18.6546258159940 | 1.42533455653270 | 16.7200396274733 | 0.254625815994018 |
28 | 16.9 | 17.1676488388048 | -0.183679804806304 | 16.8160309660015 | 0.267648838804806 |
29 | 16.5 | 16.4949555614952 | -0.406977866024921 | 16.9120223045297 | -0.00504443850478609 |
30 | 18.3 | 18.3010436952202 | 1.24921530405955 | 17.0497410007203 | 0.00104369522018999 |
31 | 15.1 | 13.9653628721739 | -0.952822569084688 | 17.1874596969108 | -1.13463712782612 |
32 | 15.7 | 15.7671766129765 | -1.72620934364556 | 17.3590327306691 | 0.0671766129764677 |
33 | 18.1 | 18.1189917607369 | 0.550402474835696 | 17.5306057644274 | 0.0189917607369345 |
34 | 16.8 | 14.8988060824935 | 1.00827513293133 | 17.6929187845751 | -1.90119391750646 |
35 | 18.9 | 19.6286188976843 | 0.316149297592766 | 17.8552318047229 | 0.728618897684328 |
36 | 19 | 20.3830520511956 | -0.367492995063122 | 17.9844409438675 | 1.38305205119560 |
37 | 18.1 | 18.4076858446062 | -0.321335927618347 | 18.1136500830121 | 0.307685844606208 |
38 | 17.8 | 17.9863847916615 | -0.59085823509362 | 18.2044734434321 | 0.186384791661542 |
39 | 21.5 | 23.2793686396153 | 1.42533455653270 | 18.295296803852 | 1.77936863961529 |
40 | 17.1 | 16.0441556039335 | -0.183679804806304 | 18.3395242008728 | -1.05584439606645 |
41 | 18.7 | 19.4232262681314 | -0.406977866024921 | 18.3837515978935 | 0.723226268131413 |
42 | 19 | 18.3724464907157 | 1.24921530405955 | 18.3783382052247 | -0.62755350928428 |
43 | 16.4 | 15.3798977565287 | -0.952822569084688 | 18.3729248125559 | -1.02010224347126 |
44 | 16.9 | 17.1531573324591 | -1.72620934364556 | 18.3730520111865 | 0.253157332459082 |
45 | 18.6 | 18.2764183153473 | 0.550402474835696 | 18.373179209817 | -0.323581684652702 |
46 | 19.3 | 19.1692937740355 | 1.00827513293133 | 18.4224310930331 | -0.130706225964452 |
47 | 19.4 | 20.012167726158 | 0.316149297592766 | 18.4716829762493 | 0.612167726157981 |
48 | 17.6 | 16.9893391266856 | -0.367492995063122 | 18.5781538683775 | -0.610660873314352 |
49 | 18.6 | 18.8367111671126 | -0.321335927618347 | 18.6846247605057 | 0.236711167112645 |
50 | 18.1 | 17.9848713841974 | -0.59085823509362 | 18.8059868508962 | -0.115128615802622 |
51 | 20.4 | 20.4473165021805 | 1.42533455653270 | 18.9273489412868 | 0.047316502180518 |
52 | 18.1 | 17.3147424746840 | -0.183679804806304 | 19.0689373301223 | -0.785257525315984 |
53 | 19.6 | 20.3964521470671 | -0.406977866024921 | 19.2105257189578 | 0.796452147067129 |
54 | 19.9 | 19.1468725545415 | 1.24921530405955 | 19.4039121413989 | -0.753127445458471 |
55 | 19.2 | 19.7555240052446 | -0.952822569084688 | 19.5972985638400 | 0.555524005244646 |
56 | 17.8 | 17.4878858871229 | -1.72620934364556 | 19.8383234565226 | -0.312114112877069 |
57 | 19.2 | 17.7702491759591 | 0.550402474835696 | 20.0793483492052 | -1.42975082404092 |
58 | 22 | 22.6328269250382 | 1.00827513293133 | 20.3588979420305 | 0.632826925038188 |
59 | 21.1 | 21.2454031675515 | 0.316149297592766 | 20.6384475348558 | 0.145403167551478 |
60 | 19.5 | 18.4246517007967 | -0.367492995063122 | 20.9428412942664 | -1.07534829920328 |
61 | 22.2 | 23.4741008739413 | -0.321335927618347 | 21.2472350536770 | 1.27410087394130 |
62 | 20.9 | 20.861797160875 | -0.59085823509362 | 21.5290610742186 | -0.038202839125006 |
63 | 22.2 | 21.1637783487071 | 1.42533455653270 | 21.8108870947602 | -1.03622165129291 |
64 | 23.5 | 25.2461859749217 | -0.183679804806304 | 21.9374938298846 | 1.74618597492174 |
65 | 21.5 | 21.342877301016 | -0.406977866024921 | 22.0641005650089 | -0.157122698984004 |
66 | 24.3 | 25.4267933095586 | 1.24921530405955 | 21.9239913863819 | 1.12679330955856 |
67 | 22.8 | 24.7689403613298 | -0.952822569084688 | 21.7838822077548 | 1.96894036132984 |
68 | 20.3 | 20.9179896223853 | -1.72620934364556 | 21.4082197212603 | 0.617989622385252 |
69 | 23.7 | 25.8170402903985 | 0.550402474835696 | 21.0325572347658 | 2.11704029039854 |
70 | 23.3 | 25.1388839369123 | 1.00827513293133 | 20.4528409301564 | 1.83888393691229 |
71 | 19.6 | 19.0107260768602 | 0.316149297592766 | 19.8731246255470 | -0.589273923139785 |
72 | 18 | 17.0625475421009 | -0.367492995063122 | 19.3049454529623 | -0.937452457899145 |
73 | 17.3 | 16.1845696472408 | -0.321335927618347 | 18.7367662803775 | -1.11543035275917 |
74 | 16.8 | 16.0475862668205 | -0.59085823509362 | 18.1432719682731 | -0.752413733179505 |
75 | 18.2 | 17.4248877872986 | 1.42533455653270 | 17.5497776561687 | -0.775112212701433 |
76 | 16.5 | 16.240476640808 | -0.183679804806304 | 16.9432031639983 | -0.259523359192006 |
77 | 16 | 16.0703491941970 | -0.406977866024921 | 16.3366286718279 | 0.0703491941970356 |
78 | 18.4 | 19.8200096647170 | 1.24921530405955 | 15.7307750312235 | 1.42000966471696 |