Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 274412 | NA | NA | 0.996568198415104 | NA |
2 | 272433 | NA | NA | 0.984847855623065 | NA |
3 | 268361 | NA | NA | 0.967711894868029 | NA |
4 | 268586 | NA | NA | 0.954849656892896 | NA |
5 | 264768 | NA | NA | 0.940467717517587 | NA |
6 | 269974 | NA | NA | 0.954794161006031 | NA |
7 | 304744 | 302712.978115506 | 285906.083333333 | 1.05878467007845 | 1.00670939811414 |
8 | 309365 | 311053.167718128 | 287637.541666667 | 1.08140671038900 | 0.994572735810692 |
9 | 308347 | 305245.328386637 | 289439.583333333 | 1.05460809772899 | 1.01016124187635 |
10 | 298427 | 297581.167725407 | 291037.25 | 1.02248481156762 | 1.00284235820787 |
11 | 289231 | 289580.202803476 | 292420.583333333 | 0.990286660065172 | 0.998794106779071 |
12 | 291975 | 291874.576853166 | 293876 | 0.993189565848064 | 1.00034406267211 |
13 | 294912 | 294088.230396821 | 295100.958333333 | 0.996568198415104 | 1.00280109680713 |
14 | 293488 | 291760.725839732 | 296249.541666667 | 0.984847855623065 | 1.00592017364673 |
15 | 290555 | 288043.477640364 | 297654.166666667 | 0.967711894868029 | 1.00871924745601 |
16 | 284736 | 286105.541449653 | 299634.125 | 0.954849656892896 | 0.995213160001327 |
17 | 281818 | 284073.093973239 | 302055.125 | 0.940467717517587 | 0.992061571401578 |
18 | 287854 | 290541.317076373 | 304297.333333333 | 0.954794161006031 | 0.990750654318586 |
19 | 316263 | 324143.618042425 | 306146.875 | 1.05878467007845 | 0.975687881532212 |
20 | 325412 | 332764.074597865 | 307714.083333333 | 1.08140671038900 | 0.977906044675196 |
21 | 326011 | 326171.038029792 | 309281.75 | 1.05460809772899 | 0.999509343224466 |
22 | 328282 | 317814.35279791 | 310825.5 | 1.02248481156762 | 1.03293635768787 |
23 | 317480 | 309321.154752433 | 312355.166666667 | 0.990286660065172 | 1.02637661576718 |
24 | 317539 | 311663.009911818 | 313800.125 | 0.993189565848064 | 1.01885366534144 |
25 | 313737 | 314109.866834429 | 315191.541666667 | 0.996568198415104 | 0.99881294135015 |
26 | 312276 | 311626.215041487 | 316420.666666667 | 0.984847855623065 | 1.00208514215797 |
27 | 309391 | 307099.458667460 | 317345.958333333 | 0.967711894868029 | 1.00746188659037 |
28 | 302950 | 303239.284122135 | 317578.041666667 | 0.954849656892896 | 0.999046020297231 |
29 | 300316 | 298362.168611653 | 317248.708333333 | 0.940467717517587 | 1.00654852254707 |
30 | 304035 | 302644.367427465 | 316973.416666667 | 0.954794161006031 | 1.00459493954689 |
31 | 333476 | 335448.967821299 | 316824.541666667 | 1.05878467007845 | 0.994118426316488 |
32 | 337698 | 342475.106857158 | 316694.083333333 | 1.08140671038900 | 0.986051228946252 |
33 | 335932 | 333590.909069381 | 316317.416666667 | 1.05460809772899 | 1.00701784990829 |
34 | 323931 | 322987.146063165 | 315884.541666667 | 1.02248481156762 | 1.00292226470415 |
35 | 313927 | 312574.700312133 | 315640.625 | 0.990286660065172 | 1.00432632483216 |
36 | 314485 | 313313.152992576 | 315461.583333333 | 0.993189565848064 | 1.00374017814519 |
37 | 313218 | 314125.064499455 | 315206.791666667 | 0.996568198415104 | 0.997112409667467 |
38 | 309664 | 310171.143370131 | 314943.208333333 | 0.984847855623065 | 0.998364956312115 |
39 | 302963 | 304333.536465283 | 314487.75 | 0.967711894868029 | 0.995496597314903 |
40 | 298989 | 299368.363398493 | 313524.083333333 | 0.954849656892896 | 0.998732787278567 |
41 | 298423 | 293573.071877124 | 312156.458333333 | 0.940467717517587 | 1.01652034395343 |
42 | 301631 | 296410.755048797 | 310444.666666667 | 0.954794161006031 | 1.01761152340894 |
43 | 329765 | 326719.949956921 | 308580.166666667 | 1.05878467007845 | 1.00932006154959 |
44 | 335083 | 331598.137929614 | 306635.916666667 | 1.08140671038900 | 1.01050929324315 |
45 | 327616 | 321118.850053613 | 304491.166666667 | 1.05460809772899 | 1.02023285131129 |
46 | 309119 | 309083.397595468 | 302286.541666667 | 1.02248481156762 | 1.00011518704922 |
47 | 295916 | 296880.183442035 | 299792.166666667 | 0.990286660065172 | 0.996752280900477 |
48 | 291413 | 294779.863247764 | 296801.208333333 | 0.993189565848064 | 0.988578381132723 |
49 | 291542 | 292822.007453384 | 293830.375 | 0.996568198415104 | 0.995628718399562 |
50 | 284678 | 286733.734102014 | 291145.208333333 | 0.984847855623065 | 0.99283051187384 |
51 | 276475 | 278837.231171195 | 288140.75 | 0.967711894868029 | 0.991528279199758 |
52 | 272566 | 272214.269284968 | 285086 | 0.954849656892896 | 1.00129210976322 |
53 | 264981 | 265677.427860131 | 282495 | 0.940467717517587 | 0.99737867132432 |
54 | 263290 | 267586.155857466 | 280255.333333333 | 0.954794161006031 | 0.983944775305364 |
55 | 296806 | 294638.024481069 | 278279.458333333 | 1.05878467007845 | 1.00735809820457 |
56 | 303598 | 298891.352442802 | 276391.25 | 1.08140671038900 | 1.01574701816808 |
57 | 286994 | 289591.033377977 | 274595.875 | 1.05460809772899 | 0.991032065642077 |
58 | 276427 | 279051.442348976 | 272915 | 1.02248481156762 | 0.990595130679546 |
59 | 266424 | 268589.426565628 | 271223.916666667 | 0.990286660065172 | 0.991937781790905 |
60 | 267153 | 267981.043021471 | 269818.625 | 0.993189565848064 | 0.99691006866704 |
61 | 268381 | 267692.211572750 | 268614.041666667 | 0.996568198415104 | 1.00257306114064 |
62 | 262522 | 263119.954997085 | 267168.125 | 0.984847855623065 | 0.99772744337429 |
63 | 255542 | 257156.371950598 | 265736.5 | 0.967711894868029 | 0.993722216803914 |
64 | 253158 | 252490.377561958 | 264429.458333333 | 0.954849656892896 | 1.00264415002460 |
65 | 243803 | 247661.789077209 | 263338.958333333 | 0.940467717517587 | 0.984419118138544 |
66 | 250741 | 250734.396963520 | 262605.708333333 | 0.954794161006031 | 1.00002633478518 |
67 | 280445 | 277546.372364188 | 262136.75 | 1.05878467007845 | 1.01044375976209 |
68 | 285257 | 283354.376707127 | 262023.875 | 1.08140671038900 | 1.00671464233227 |
69 | 270976 | 276750.081238025 | 262419.833333333 | 1.05460809772899 | 0.97913611727883 |
70 | 261076 | 269050.859235304 | 263134.333333333 | 1.02248481156762 | 0.970359287244167 |
71 | 255603 | 261477.022725263 | 264041.75 | 0.990286660065172 | 0.97753522407422 |
72 | 260376 | 263313.010679087 | 265118.583333333 | 0.993189565848064 | 0.988845934078562 |
73 | 263903 | NA | 266239.208333333 | NA | NA |
74 | 264291 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
75 | 263276 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
76 | 262572 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
77 | 256167 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
78 | 264221 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
79 | 293860 | NA | NA | NA | NA |