| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 9487 | 9487 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 8700 | 9410.66221960605 | 14.8108814183293 | -642.752915342371 | -2.62458917471795 |
| 3 | 9627 | 9348.40296095017 | 8.02078819678196 | 293.120717707555 | -0.664671325135038 |
| 4 | 8947 | 9192.92784714829 | -8.50367448345273 | -221.564622870867 | -1.26282999082043 |
| 5 | 9283 | 9172.06254172394 | -9.6570099828324 | 113.156136112896 | -0.112903261111508 |
| 6 | 8829 | 9078.49383991027 | -16.3160406007255 | -231.291809831184 | -0.889906262034115 |
| 7 | 9947 | 9246.42952599754 | -4.29398424098241 | 655.595539967776 | 2.13703771174858 |
| 8 | 9628 | 9394.1319756856 | 3.88784536467991 | 194.286715291542 | 1.84896929418436 |
| 9 | 9318 | 9434.3341700878 | 5.54722596344084 | -126.118482900254 | 0.452657917888549 |
| 10 | 9605 | 9488.81897605408 | 7.52115489412555 | 102.760309407876 | 0.617558702801716 |
| 11 | 8640 | 9323.67893841986 | 1.14200281874054 | -635.897744727849 | -2.19217046498565 |
| 12 | 9214 | 9234.35550439917 | -2.00605165711058 | 4.79386592307969 | -1.15197052002735 |
| 13 | 9567 | 9230.45376913785 | -2.00196394364269 | 337.109387507222 | -0.0260403334206382 |
| 14 | 8547 | 9186.98962196303 | -2.07779769166592 | -627.844170684221 | -0.562301320083703 |
| 15 | 9185 | 9074.75238580067 | -4.15498867485569 | 139.693470646838 | -1.37964439611391 |
| 16 | 9470 | 9172.04499784956 | -0.88651791322982 | 273.017458044550 | 1.19150265866024 |
| 17 | 9123 | 9181.4710330038 | -0.485173195438105 | -60.9272220741548 | 0.119021321536663 |
| 18 | 9278 | 9308.78595960706 | 4.68018419285406 | -61.5660556680941 | 1.49787747031796 |
| 19 | 10170 | 9429.39346103096 | 9.16153687268503 | 711.871907006624 | 1.39504374988515 |
| 20 | 9434 | 9435.2259234481 | 9.04431862735718 | -0.376278508238181 | -0.0410484120550867 |
| 21 | 9655 | 9501.92182701965 | 10.8372983815244 | 138.019082481754 | 0.723823830116898 |
| 22 | 9429 | 9452.06918935972 | 9.21038879562885 | -6.9508097652243 | -0.771232255723555 |
| 23 | 8739 | 9401.8911808807 | 7.87844906618502 | -646.931275747359 | -0.760751721349243 |
| 24 | 9552 | 9410.67595345954 | 7.89468763914617 | 141.078180657259 | 0.0116841337970853 |
| 25 | 9687 | 9395.03211584566 | 7.5793584161868 | 298.412950089261 | -0.305638803709976 |
| 26 | 9019 | 9444.02942164648 | 8.11940645079544 | -436.318683177615 | 0.5353335057332 |
| 27 | 9672 | 9514.830425391 | 9.12571451795844 | 140.415875604306 | 0.796654602451242 |
| 28 | 9206 | 9441.237803343 | 7.46306392857916 | -213.647486248494 | -1.03183614132802 |
| 29 | 9069 | 9385.90972188335 | 5.99446764474676 | -300.778691902143 | -0.774889456941147 |
| 30 | 9788 | 9491.08204404572 | 8.4899684483007 | 271.528378302055 | 1.22357523621751 |
| 31 | 10312 | 9554.94988822634 | 9.89540179112183 | 742.784714301401 | 0.687999759794703 |
| 32 | 10105 | 9698.52281611874 | 13.1495405034614 | 371.665429040215 | 1.67702598767539 |
| 33 | 9863 | 9741.8611219157 | 13.8276660028135 | 113.187163186165 | 0.382258350719207 |
| 34 | 9656 | 9735.31381633368 | 13.4174294774220 | -73.8942293904185 | -0.259921477184466 |
| 35 | 9295 | 9782.61974398682 | 14.0178772153166 | -496.702244526805 | 0.434673243278042 |
| 36 | 9946 | 9811.3603065055 | 14.2471905854922 | 130.673211137978 | 0.189519212212617 |
| 37 | 9701 | 9751.49378209906 | 13.2010167130039 | -30.4799533687047 | -0.955296321157828 |
| 38 | 9049 | 9684.36550516303 | 12.0932150878748 | -613.716658893921 | -1.03318116150092 |
| 39 | 10190 | 9732.81401893276 | 12.6213954112782 | 447.448573649255 | 0.46510085549231 |
| 40 | 9706 | 9802.99465107967 | 13.5334303953238 | -112.289974140224 | 0.731760978539261 |
| 41 | 9765 | 9921.08108203018 | 15.3286554513203 | -183.688948439068 | 1.32326995921778 |
| 42 | 9893 | 9929.71528918419 | 15.2076123486711 | -34.9521925049193 | -0.0846274532953867 |
| 43 | 9994 | 9820.57479317663 | 12.9225934420333 | 206.216609388381 | -1.57492203231377 |
| 44 | 10433 | 9843.61236940985 | 13.1051449576991 | 586.709552922766 | 0.128594746605431 |
| 45 | 10073 | 9880.14274997817 | 13.5085258476598 | 186.623045936273 | 0.299105764645484 |
| 46 | 10112 | 9964.71202891855 | 14.6518360874417 | 128.280266060680 | 0.910962070429564 |
| 47 | 9266 | 9950.68989886557 | 14.2251414897267 | -676.987541670659 | -0.3687439599434 |
| 48 | 9820 | 9881.33586650173 | 13.0701928574185 | -38.8190975296027 | -1.07702120683888 |
| 49 | 10097 | 9910.49213289309 | 13.2808037652791 | 182.168587995894 | 0.207439205435006 |
| 50 | 9115 | 9905.37675107412 | 13.0450385086054 | -785.417047391779 | -0.237059055135468 |
| 51 | 10411 | 9938.6322402809 | 13.3070737087724 | 466.930501707991 | 0.259948829123201 |
| 52 | 9678 | 9935.923123027 | 13.0925556965901 | -253.626582992084 | -0.205530061161791 |
| 53 | 10408 | 10066.4191878147 | 14.7240773602836 | 310.164386097227 | 1.50389692829314 |
| 54 | 10153 | 10125.6607407455 | 15.3600192524281 | 15.4416286162978 | 0.569875235783153 |
| 55 | 10368 | 10166.0024021013 | 15.7206339303438 | 195.319140745744 | 0.319984469395506 |
| 56 | 10581 | 10157.4915481579 | 15.3740444908598 | 429.996697332405 | -0.310858783965662 |
| 57 | 10597 | 10218.6929544714 | 16.011928202627 | 366.007259506659 | 0.589101515682277 |
| 58 | 10680 | 10303.7745918823 | 16.9350992352333 | 357.640070605249 | 0.889703993818281 |
| 59 | 9738 | 10351.2567645832 | 17.3246716653247 | -621.495214301556 | 0.394172004921958 |
| 60 | 9556 | 10221.0989987519 | 15.5262153117186 | -625.256179984303 | -1.90539595655157 |
