| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.597126235287043 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 0.901410325583061 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 14.2 | 13.4812493346188 | 0.718750665381153 |
| 14 | 14.6 | 14.2962834091534 | 0.303716590846596 |
| 15 | 17.2 | 17.0001134024304 | 0.199886597569616 |
| 16 | 15.4 | 15.3360780794504 | 0.0639219205496122 |
| 17 | 14.3 | 14.2640249819681 | 0.0359750180319054 |
| 18 | 17.5 | 17.4257003412120 | 0.0742996587880462 |
| 19 | 14.5 | 14.9514570741622 | -0.451457074162191 |
| 20 | 14.4 | 13.0560618632243 | 1.34393813677572 |
| 21 | 16.6 | 17.033454253127 | -0.433454253127014 |
| 22 | 16.7 | 17.9212732352252 | -1.22127323522519 |
| 23 | 16.6 | 15.6003547386059 | 0.999645261394079 |
| 24 | 16.9 | 17.0655402785585 | -0.165540278558492 |
| 25 | 15.7 | 16.4074650629215 | -0.707465062921482 |
| 26 | 16.4 | 16.2315260448530 | 0.168473955147029 |
| 27 | 18.4 | 19.0948308769003 | -0.694830876900333 |
| 28 | 16.9 | 16.6765728270487 | 0.223427172951286 |
| 29 | 16.5 | 15.5752117924012 | 0.924788207598825 |
| 30 | 18.3 | 19.6653161652278 | -1.36531616522776 |
| 31 | 15.1 | 15.9178336435388 | -0.81783364353884 |
| 32 | 15.7 | 14.3570648429723 | 1.34293515702767 |
| 33 | 18.1 | 17.8212344386997 | 0.278765561300325 |
| 34 | 16.8 | 18.8869887133395 | -2.08698871333949 |
| 35 | 18.9 | 16.7925139442958 | 2.10748605570420 |
| 36 | 19 | 18.5233180659821 | 0.476681934017947 |
| 37 | 18.1 | 17.9446208974422 | 0.155379102557834 |
| 38 | 17.8 | 18.6647243046389 | -0.864724304638944 |
| 39 | 21.5 | 20.8371566701604 | 0.662843329839617 |
| 40 | 17.1 | 19.2870598574822 | -2.18705985748221 |
| 41 | 18.7 | 16.9172196603500 | 1.78278033965004 |
| 42 | 19 | 20.9004375180540 | -1.90043751805396 |
| 43 | 16.4 | 16.8022581308116 | -0.40225813081161 |
| 44 | 16.9 | 16.2073823658934 | 0.69261763410659 |
| 45 | 18.6 | 19.0288496196914 | -0.428849619691373 |
| 46 | 19.3 | 18.7536861663317 | 0.546313833668307 |
| 47 | 19.4 | 19.7639881593884 | -0.363988159388381 |
| 48 | 17.6 | 19.4139860794003 | -1.81398607940025 |
| 49 | 18.6 | 17.3885821703684 | 1.21141782963165 |
| 50 | 18.1 | 18.3600001031061 | -0.260000103106115 |
| 51 | 20.4 | 21.5078361206708 | -1.10783612067084 |
| 52 | 18.1 | 17.9004122077839 | 0.199587792216132 |
| 53 | 19.6 | 18.3690053332061 | 1.23099466679392 |
| 54 | 19.9 | 20.681164758908 | -0.781164758907984 |
| 55 | 19.2 | 17.6412309618206 | 1.55876903817939 |
| 56 | 17.8 | 18.5972258934997 | -0.797225893499718 |
| 57 | 19.2 | 20.2573983934826 | -1.05739839348260 |
| 58 | 22 | 19.9680947725864 | 2.03190522741363 |
| 59 | 21.1 | 21.5543092064775 | -0.454309206477525 |
| 60 | 19.5 | 20.5047320951071 | -1.00473209510708 |
| 61 | 22.2 | 20.0442219844667 | 2.15577801553334 |
| 62 | 20.9 | 20.9816621659555 | -0.0816621659554997 |
| 63 | 22.2 | 24.3564489374252 | -2.15644893742518 |
| 64 | 23.5 | 20.2628275972412 | 3.23717240275884 |
| 65 | 21.5 | 23.0318681203166 | -1.53186812031663 |
| 66 | 24.3 | 23.0485978670448 | 1.25140213295523 |
| 67 | 22.8 | 21.6791065830458 | 1.12089341695419 |
| 68 | 20.3 | 21.3494133167639 | -1.04941331676385 |
| 69 | 23.7 | 23.0593191734165 | 0.640680826583509 |
| 70 | 23.3 | 25.1425232705637 | -1.84252327056371 |
| 71 | 19.6 | 23.4451898225841 | -3.84518982258406 |
| 72 | 18 | 20.1582924440604 | -2.15829244406035 |
| 73 | 17.3 | 20.0717158947412 | -2.77171589474115 |
| 74 | 16.8 | 17.4705444768559 | -0.670544476855923 |
| 75 | 18.2 | 19.2418463363559 | -1.0418463363559 |
| 76 | 16.5 | 17.8493142704545 | -1.34931427045453 |
| 77 | 16 | 16.4096486766431 | -0.409648676643094 |
| 78 | 18.4 | 17.6466439408779 | 0.753356059122133 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 79 | 16.5056129124019 | 14.0406509716108 | 18.970574853193 |
| 80 | 15.2338185101497 | 12.3972713069801 | 18.0703657133193 |
| 81 | 17.4746598922364 | 14.0583317215505 | 20.8909880629224 |
| 82 | 18.0783333296844 | 14.2772779723994 | 21.8793886869694 |
| 83 | 16.9662120332049 | 13.0451830875728 | 20.887240978837 |
| 84 | 16.6132143608070 | 12.4810608311121 | 20.7453678905019 |
| 85 | 17.4405438234093 | 12.9056757733348 | 21.9754118734839 |
| 86 | 17.2512182130528 | 12.5284549324076 | 21.9739814936979 |
| 87 | 19.3228837879826 | 13.9342068149707 | 24.7115607609946 |
| 88 | 18.3559261478736 | 13.0098184152905 | 23.7020338804567 |
| 89 | 18.0144542672288 | 12.5679813320519 | 23.4609272024057 |
| 90 | 20.1300023440808 | -0.095618151551303 | 40.3556228397129 |
