Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0
gamma0.112416719167165


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
130.74870.77021543621658-0.0215154362165800
140.73890.7376384867820250.00126151321797496
150.73370.7321805336004370.00151946639956313
160.7510.7495105449245390.00148945507546094
170.73820.7352563310732750.00294366892672526
180.71590.7138356470631860.00206435293681373
190.75420.758762077687273-0.00456207768727257
200.76360.72906321634990.0345367836501003
210.74330.77315026377842-0.0298502637784199
220.76580.7399299944207290.0258700055792712
230.76270.7543956022652670.0083043977347328
240.7480.779971607373924-0.0319716073739239
250.76920.736752117344470.0324478826555293
260.7850.7578915771845040.0271084228154962
270.79130.77798801524530.0133119847546993
280.7720.808515098750218-0.0365150987502176
290.7880.7558732089384750.0321267910615254
300.8070.7621256051489920.0448743948510082
310.82680.855584241788373-0.0287842417883730
320.82440.7994399464242090.0249600535757915
330.84870.8348756260784320.0138243739215682
340.85720.8451453596163430.0120546403836573
350.82140.844678255714324-0.0232782557143235
360.88270.8401620902385250.0425379097614749
370.92160.8697991480603490.0518008519396509
380.88650.908456015103419-0.0219560151034186
390.88160.8788439672399570.00275603276004266
400.88840.90101702948735-0.0126170294873493
410.94660.8701496176770110.076450382322989
420.9180.915916515839930.00208348416006976
430.93370.973556362701898-0.0398563627018984
440.95590.9030662886410630.0528337113589374
450.96260.9683770264477-0.00577702644770073
460.94340.958845834908377-0.0154458349083770
470.86390.929824478113762-0.0659244781137619
480.79960.883741230302334-0.0841412303023337
490.6680.787718908620932-0.119718908620932
500.65720.657910467490316-0.000710467490316335
510.69280.6509989446549840.0418010553450159
520.64380.707613214169847-0.0638132141698472
530.64540.6300120783518730.0153879216481265
540.68730.6238495404293960.0634504595706037
550.72650.728365657343788-0.00186565734378763
560.79120.7022114887595640.0889885112404356
570.81140.8011703295593460.0102296704406537
580.82810.8079107000167560.0201892999832435
590.83930.8159339973404990.0233660026595008


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
600.858516598641870.7804783526289730.936554844654767
610.8459125129949480.7362248343567180.955600191633178
620.8336801362424550.7001388352261850.967221437258725
630.8263592613927140.6724188511508650.980299671634562
640.8444292667351990.6684820452940641.02037648817633
650.8269810825644540.6374339184137441.01652824671517
660.7999246983854740.6002442179803150.999605178790633
670.8480645270355030.6219484489377961.07418060513321
680.8200532780954960.5873841448717591.05272241131923
690.8304627480459820.581695234027331.07923026206464
700.8269400548297550.566635198373551.08724491128596
710.814788232265826-36.904392729852338.5339691943839