Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 79.8 | NA | NA | 0.845455037396441 | NA |
2 | 83.4 | NA | NA | 0.788096489013404 | NA |
3 | 113.6 | NA | NA | 1.05599690966033 | NA |
4 | 112.9 | NA | NA | 1.03304502569662 | NA |
5 | 104 | NA | NA | 0.991406386781802 | NA |
6 | 109.9 | NA | NA | 0.9997050446317 | NA |
7 | 99 | 99.3008748374767 | 107.116666666667 | 0.927034773650008 | 0.996970068612496 |
8 | 106.3 | 106.413368376655 | 107.5875 | 0.989086728259834 | 0.998934641592646 |
9 | 128.9 | 124.203307476908 | 107.925 | 1.15082981215574 | 1.03781455275630 |
10 | 111.1 | 108.440480666374 | 107.695833333333 | 1.00691435601539 | 1.02452515257478 |
11 | 102.9 | 110.283413800911 | 107.583333333333 | 1.02509757212311 | 0.933050550881208 |
12 | 130 | 128.207105297975 | 107.979166666667 | 1.18733186461563 | 1.01398436301840 |
13 | 87 | 91.5099396101973 | 108.2375 | 0.845455037396441 | 0.950716396170643 |
14 | 87.5 | 85.6168323251937 | 108.6375 | 0.788096489013404 | 1.02199529722910 |
15 | 117.6 | 115.284062625043 | 109.170833333333 | 1.05599690966033 | 1.02008896392288 |
16 | 103.4 | 112.808516806071 | 109.2 | 1.03304502569662 | 0.91659746025874 |
17 | 110.8 | 109.038179106218 | 109.983333333333 | 0.991406386781802 | 1.01615783488153 |
18 | 112.6 | 111.27550234288 | 111.308333333333 | 0.9997050446317 | 1.01190286836934 |
19 | 102.5 | 103.611586534949 | 111.766666666667 | 0.927034773650008 | 0.989271600096826 |
20 | 112.4 | 110.835410290917 | 112.058333333333 | 0.989086728259834 | 1.01411633434637 |
21 | 135.6 | 129.334090389436 | 112.383333333333 | 1.15082981215574 | 1.0484474711323 |
22 | 105.1 | 114.196674401596 | 113.4125 | 1.00691435601539 | 0.920342037548263 |
23 | 127.7 | 117.685472519616 | 114.804166666667 | 1.02509757212311 | 1.08509569844073 |
24 | 137 | 137.344613439413 | 115.675 | 1.18733186461563 | 0.997490884929646 |
25 | 91 | 98.608239195005 | 116.633333333333 | 0.845455037396441 | 0.922843777993449 |
26 | 90.5 | 92.6473097542674 | 117.558333333333 | 0.788096489013404 | 0.97682275114126 |
27 | 122.4 | 124.74403494075 | 118.129166666667 | 1.05599690966033 | 0.981209242254644 |
28 | 123.3 | 123.134662708763 | 119.195833333333 | 1.03304502569662 | 1.00134273556771 |
29 | 124.3 | 119.014205873210 | 120.045833333333 | 0.991406386781802 | 1.04441313612949 |
30 | 120 | 120.697722388534 | 120.733333333333 | 0.9997050446317 | 0.994219258037962 |
31 | 118.1 | 113.237297601348 | 122.15 | 0.927034773650008 | 1.04294258607063 |
32 | 119 | 121.974999567943 | 123.320833333333 | 0.989086728259834 | 0.975609759553344 |
33 | 142.7 | 142.726872328398 | 124.020833333333 | 1.15082981215574 | 0.999811722011703 |
34 | 123.6 | 125.759407589839 | 124.895833333333 | 1.00691435601539 | 0.98282905723537 |
35 | 129.6 | 128.812052417036 | 125.658333333333 | 1.02509757212311 | 1.00611703305847 |
36 | 151.6 | 149.861070178903 | 126.216666666667 | 1.18733186461563 | 1.01160361272625 |
37 | 110.4 | 107.115630508807 | 126.695833333333 | 0.845455037396441 | 1.03066190690931 |
38 | 99.2 | 100.515139702918 | 127.541666666667 | 0.788096489013404 | 0.986916003829822 |
39 | 130.5 | 135.471203548049 | 128.2875 | 1.05599690966033 | 0.963304352380052 |
40 | 136.2 | 133.602852302489 | 129.329166666667 | 1.03304502569662 | 1.01943931325381 |
41 | 129.7 | 129.477674113703 | 130.6 | 0.991406386781802 | 1.00171709823967 |
42 | 128 | 131.044669600472 | 131.083333333333 | 0.9997050446317 | 0.976766169812519 |
43 | 121.6 | 122.210221681303 | 131.829166666667 | 0.927034773650008 | 0.99500678688814 |
44 | 135.8 | 131.140536583151 | 132.5875 | 0.989086728259834 | 1.03553030617573 |
45 | 143.8 | 153.285735854927 | 133.195833333333 | 1.15082981215574 | 0.938117295767792 |
46 | 147.5 | 134.519562487173 | 133.595833333333 | 1.00691435601539 | 1.09649479430967 |
47 | 136.2 | 136.209839895858 | 132.875 | 1.02509757212311 | 0.99992775928769 |
48 | 156.6 | 156.426025947007 | 131.745833333333 | 1.18733186461563 | 1.00111218099380 |
49 | 123.3 | 110.092336786307 | 130.216666666667 | 0.845455037396441 | 1.11996896059469 |
50 | 104.5 | 100.630070440899 | 127.6875 | 0.788096489013404 | 1.03845698946791 |
51 | 139.8 | 131.938013887811 | 124.941666666667 | 1.05599690966033 | 1.05958848311052 |
52 | 136.5 | 125.596753353340 | 121.579166666667 | 1.03304502569662 | 1.08681153258783 |
53 | 112.1 | 116.539820766201 | 117.55 | 0.991406386781802 | 0.961902972417404 |
54 | 118.5 | 113.799757580575 | 113.833333333333 | 0.9997050446317 | 1.04130274544827 |
55 | 94.4 | NA | NA | 0.927034773650008 | NA |
56 | 102.3 | NA | NA | 0.989086728259834 | NA |
57 | 111.4 | NA | NA | 1.15082981215574 | NA |
58 | 99.2 | NA | NA | 1.00691435601539 | NA |
59 | 87.8 | NA | NA | 1.02509757212311 | NA |
60 | 115.8 | NA | NA | 1.18733186461563 | NA |