Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 791 | 0 | 80 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 274412 | 274795.947907815 | -1596.32116842400 | 275624.373260609 | 383.947907815105 |
2 | 272433 | 272216.681997391 | -4697.6802606821 | 277346.998263291 | -216.318002608779 |
3 | 268361 | 267170.844866228 | -9518.46813220065 | 279069.623265973 | -1190.15513377212 |
4 | 268586 | 269262.795934452 | -12872.8700185294 | 280782.074084078 | 676.795934451744 |
5 | 264768 | 264736.600306737 | -17695.1252089194 | 282494.524902183 | -31.3996932630544 |
6 | 269974 | 269028.672828973 | -13276.2559000119 | 284195.583071039 | -945.32717102673 |
7 | 304744 | 306428.315143436 | 17163.0436166698 | 285896.641239895 | 1684.31514343555 |
8 | 309365 | 307767.297611653 | 23370.7925747547 | 287591.909813592 | -1597.70238834695 |
9 | 308347 | 310625.525309898 | 16781.2963028119 | 289287.17838729 | 2278.52530989842 |
10 | 298427 | 298919.710284526 | 7037.42584832874 | 290896.863867145 | 492.710284525761 |
11 | 289231 | 288673.062289406 | -2717.61163640772 | 292506.549347001 | -557.937710593513 |
12 | 291975 | 292075.439630654 | -1978.22653874236 | 293852.786908088 | 100.439630654466 |
13 | 294912 | 296221.296699249 | -1596.32116842400 | 295199.024469175 | 1309.29669924936 |
14 | 293488 | 295098.096565559 | -4697.6802606821 | 296575.583695123 | 1610.09656555898 |
15 | 290555 | 292676.325211129 | -9518.46813220065 | 297952.142921072 | 2121.32521112909 |
16 | 284736 | 282567.366670808 | -12872.8700185294 | 299777.503347721 | -2168.63332919159 |
17 | 281818 | 279728.261434549 | -17695.1252089194 | 301602.863774370 | -2089.73856545088 |
18 | 287854 | 285348.275211449 | -13276.2559000119 | 303635.980688562 | -2505.72478855052 |
19 | 316263 | 309693.858780576 | 17163.0436166698 | 305669.097602754 | -6569.14121942426 |
20 | 325412 | 319905.794705816 | 23370.7925747547 | 307547.412719429 | -5506.20529418363 |
21 | 326011 | 325814.975861085 | 16781.2963028119 | 309425.727836103 | -196.024138915120 |
22 | 328282 | 338399.725157637 | 7037.42584832874 | 311126.848994035 | 10117.7251576367 |
23 | 317480 | 324849.641484442 | -2717.61163640772 | 312827.970151966 | 7369.64148444182 |
24 | 317539 | 322843.260992860 | -1978.22653874236 | 314212.965545882 | 5304.26099286036 |
25 | 313737 | 313472.360228626 | -1596.32116842400 | 315597.960939798 | -264.639771374117 |
26 | 312276 | 312915.849210618 | -4697.6802606821 | 316333.831050064 | 639.849210617598 |
27 | 309391 | 311230.76697187 | -9518.46813220065 | 317069.701160331 | 1839.7669718698 |
28 | 302950 | 301644.97447699 | -12872.8700185294 | 317127.895541539 | -1305.02552301006 |
29 | 300316 | 301141.035286171 | -17695.1252089194 | 317186.089922748 | 825.03528617142 |
30 | 304035 | 304333.002136482 | -13276.2559000119 | 317013.25376353 | 298.002136481518 |
31 | 333476 | 332948.538779018 | 17163.0436166698 | 316840.417604313 | -527.461220982426 |
32 | 337698 | 335423.37509276 | 23370.7925747547 | 316601.832332486 | -2274.62490724045 |
33 | 335932 | 338719.456636529 | 16781.2963028119 | 316363.247060659 | 2787.45663652947 |
34 | 323931 | 324765.865582574 | 7037.42584832874 | 316058.708569097 | 834.8655825741 |
35 | 313927 | 314817.441558872 | -2717.61163640772 | 315754.170077536 | 890.441558872117 |
36 | 314485 | 315490.030251078 | -1978.22653874236 | 315458.196287665 | 1005.03025107755 |
37 | 313218 | 312870.09867063 | -1596.32116842400 | 315162.222497794 | -347.901329370099 |
38 | 309664 | 309325.671197584 | -4697.6802606821 | 314700.009063098 | -338.328802415985 |
39 | 302963 | 301206.672503799 | -9518.46813220065 | 314237.795628402 | -1756.32749620138 |
40 | 298989 | 297609.995436818 | -12872.8700185294 | 313240.874581712 | -1379.00456318236 |
41 | 298423 | 302297.171673898 | -17695.1252089194 | 312243.953535021 | 3874.17167389806 |
42 | 301631 | 305894.243098074 | -13276.2559000119 | 310644.012801938 | 4263.24309807422 |
43 | 329765 | 333322.884314476 | 17163.0436166698 | 309044.072068854 | 3557.88431447634 |
44 | 335083 | 339874.925455747 | 23370.7925747547 | 306920.281969499 | 4791.92545574653 |
45 | 327616 | 333654.211827045 | 16781.2963028119 | 304796.491870144 | 6038.21182704455 |
46 | 309119 | 309007.561584288 | 7037.42584832874 | 302193.012567383 | -111.438415712037 |
47 | 295916 | 294960.078371785 | -2717.61163640772 | 299589.533264623 | -955.921628215234 |
48 | 291413 | 288150.065771355 | -1978.22653874236 | 296654.160767388 | -3262.93422864523 |
49 | 291542 | 290961.532898272 | -1596.32116842400 | 293718.788270152 | -580.467101728194 |
50 | 284678 | 283231.652386563 | -4697.6802606821 | 290822.027874119 | -1446.34761343728 |
51 | 276475 | 274543.200654114 | -9518.46813220065 | 287925.267478086 | -1931.79934588581 |
52 | 272566 | 272710.047173677 | -12872.8700185294 | 285294.822844852 | 144.047173677478 |
53 | 264981 | 264992.746997302 | -17695.1252089194 | 282664.378211617 | 11.7469973021653 |
54 | 263290 | 259403.39874269 | -13276.2559000119 | 280452.857157322 | -3886.60125730978 |
55 | 296806 | 298207.620280304 | 17163.0436166698 | 278241.336103026 | 1401.62028030423 |
56 | 303598 | 307462.266098841 | 23370.7925747547 | 276362.941326404 | 3864.26609884086 |
57 | 286994 | 282722.157147405 | 16781.2963028119 | 274484.546549783 | -4271.84285259462 |
58 | 276427 | 272966.876067584 | 7037.42584832874 | 272849.698084087 | -3460.12393241614 |
59 | 266424 | 264350.762018016 | -2717.61163640772 | 271214.849618392 | -2073.23798198428 |
60 | 267153 | 266470.201817384 | -1978.22653874236 | 269814.024721358 | -682.798182615719 |
61 | 268381 | 269945.1213441 | -1596.32116842400 | 268413.199824324 | 1564.12134409975 |
62 | 262522 | 262603.185955047 | -4697.6802606821 | 267138.494305635 | 81.1859550468507 |
63 | 255542 | 254738.679345254 | -9518.46813220065 | 265863.788786946 | -803.320654745621 |
64 | 253158 | 254459.789518339 | -12872.8700185294 | 264729.080500190 | 1301.78951833886 |
65 | 243803 | 241706.752995485 | -17695.1252089194 | 263594.372213435 | -2096.24700451529 |
66 | 250741 | 251917.862431642 | -13276.2559000119 | 262840.393468370 | 1176.86243164225 |
67 | 280445 | 281640.541660026 | 17163.0436166698 | 262086.414723305 | 1195.54166002569 |
68 | 285257 | 285070.438103507 | 23370.7925747547 | 262072.769321739 | -186.561896493367 |
69 | 270976 | 263111.579777015 | 16781.2963028119 | 262059.123920173 | -7864.42022298463 |
70 | 261076 | 252024.092991947 | 7037.42584832874 | 263090.481159724 | -9051.90700805269 |
71 | 255603 | 249801.773237133 | -2717.61163640772 | 264121.838399275 | -5801.22676286745 |
72 | 260376 | 257131.519233499 | -1978.22653874236 | 265598.707305243 | -3244.48076650087 |
73 | 263903 | 262326.744957213 | -1596.32116842400 | 267075.576211211 | -1576.25504278735 |
74 | 264291 | 264639.205823634 | -4697.6802606821 | 268640.474437048 | 348.20582363446 |
75 | 263276 | 265865.095469317 | -9518.46813220065 | 270205.372662884 | 2589.09546931676 |
76 | 262572 | 266110.652315114 | -12872.8700185294 | 271906.217703415 | 3538.65231511445 |
77 | 256167 | 256422.062464974 | -17695.1252089194 | 273607.062743946 | 255.06246497354 |
78 | 264221 | 266302.156000613 | -13276.2559000119 | 275416.099899399 | 2081.15600061312 |
79 | 293860 | 293331.819328479 | 17163.0436166698 | 277225.137054852 | -528.180671521288 |