| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 274412 | 274412 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 272433 | 272915.331243222 | -1536.53084384839 | -482.331243222391 | -0.338623654549409 |
| 3 | 268361 | 268799.122134470 | -3330.92334833379 | -438.122134470516 | -0.366553965051034 |
| 4 | 268586 | 267702.224607973 | -1681.87956001712 | 883.775392027405 | 0.327333273611194 |
| 5 | 264768 | 265200.843148832 | -2274.29443580010 | -432.843148832322 | -0.113348645025418 |
| 6 | 269974 | 268402.895045034 | 1663.72406398967 | 1571.10495496574 | 0.760817481143181 |
| 7 | 304744 | 297595.168170275 | 21522.7182083970 | 7148.83182972453 | 3.83338305917547 |
| 8 | 309365 | 313331.834411319 | 17346.1506062469 | -3966.83441131916 | -0.80577986934487 |
| 9 | 308347 | 312843.304041416 | 4473.9524022405 | -4496.30404141599 | -2.48363393347098 |
| 10 | 298427 | 301377.69301121 | -7028.25884105017 | -2950.69301120984 | -2.21925759154732 |
| 11 | 289231 | 289315.814875962 | -10660.3341628797 | -84.8148759619235 | -0.700776746326481 |
| 12 | 291975 | 288777.280434597 | -3356.68394254999 | 3197.71956540326 | 1.40917605416842 |
| 13 | 294912 | 293435.987409544 | 2412.34308825241 | 1476.01259045597 | 1.11643885302276 |
| 14 | 293488 | 294349.808137479 | 1329.74388416496 | -861.808137479141 | -0.212154989716284 |
| 15 | 290555 | 291817.282139443 | -1360.26157505993 | -1262.28213944288 | -0.516326195110005 |
| 16 | 284736 | 283538.793642386 | -6168.46664626259 | 1197.20635761359 | -0.94228338928797 |
| 17 | 281818 | 281539.16125601 | -3253.0152011637 | 278.838743990042 | 0.562316101522241 |
| 18 | 287854 | 291768.18904268 | 6101.27162921385 | -3914.18904268028 | 1.80073141511293 |
| 19 | 316263 | 307372.745272802 | 12693.2656434027 | 8890.25472719815 | 1.27283035286210 |
| 20 | 325412 | 324635.162316395 | 15867.7251346493 | 776.837683604883 | 0.612594340477746 |
| 21 | 326011 | 329293.453699349 | 8077.09122190138 | -3282.45369934933 | -1.50303440573641 |
| 22 | 328282 | 330488.168014075 | 3293.99277009526 | -2206.16801407532 | -0.92291927674726 |
| 23 | 317480 | 323033.844223356 | -4173.15771833449 | -5553.84422335603 | -1.44073534577277 |
| 24 | 317539 | 316907.866059615 | -5528.44574163976 | 631.133940384718 | -0.261574900572907 |
| 25 | 313737 | 311841.338563644 | -5207.8367779806 | 1895.661436356 | 0.0620445930500974 |
| 26 | 312276 | 310242.176924113 | -2699.96131823118 | 2033.82307588703 | 0.48457626913015 |
| 27 | 309391 | 307433.771479096 | -2774.54819742377 | 1957.22852090356 | -0.0143576268861385 |
| 28 | 302950 | 302579.582375682 | -4200.99390913032 | 370.417624318211 | -0.276731279725493 |
| 29 | 300316 | 302623.141363542 | -1275.18837928434 | -2307.14136354206 | 0.565653289124374 |
| 30 | 304035 | 309533.626229561 | 4350.95791795764 | -5498.62622956149 | 1.08344699943344 |
| 31 | 333476 | 324302.064447665 | 11496.3892111362 | 9173.93555233481 | 1.37844749665445 |
| 32 | 337698 | 335079.825922182 | 11002.9818491948 | 2618.17407781818 | -0.0952285138832852 |
| 33 | 335932 | 339343.367579933 | 6372.3738702567 | -3411.36757993327 | -0.893408862725439 |
| 34 | 323931 | 327750.312711212 | -5971.75098031309 | -3819.3127112124 | -2.38177187122071 |
| 35 | 313927 | 318827.285108482 | -7998.57151110695 | -4900.28510848161 | -0.391063486422027 |
| 36 | 314485 | 313287.526171904 | -6311.0201917799 | 1197.47382809586 | 0.325809075495368 |
| 37 | 313218 | 311163.057735359 | -3435.59492878518 | 2054.94226464092 | 0.555785712657227 |
| 38 | 309664 | 307129.721157627 | -3846.00214363422 | 2534.27884237343 | -0.0791743990660157 |
| 39 | 302963 | 300096.480708253 | -6023.43039165672 | 2866.5192917471 | -0.419638235748755 |
| 40 | 298989 | 297944.395443389 | -3382.54092587179 | 1044.60455661127 | 0.510806462926683 |
| 41 | 298423 | 301737.421643017 | 1526.54342605722 | -3314.42164301650 | 0.948859165191138 |
| 42 | 301631 | 309852.917813861 | 6031.32613545839 | -8221.91781386106 | 0.86831949760896 |
| 43 | 329765 | 320537.686576292 | 9207.06523899988 | 9227.3134237077 | 0.612377861916892 |
| 44 | 335083 | 330546.984688084 | 9754.65915616535 | 4536.01531191641 | 0.105666367668587 |
| 45 | 327616 | 328591.391099118 | 1755.99730782869 | -975.39109911816 | -1.54332240936234 |
| 46 | 309119 | 315616.708271650 | -8306.8081279278 | -6497.70827165035 | -1.94153739068852 |
| 47 | 295916 | 302611.768810427 | -11515.0378159255 | -6695.76881042693 | -0.619061199676495 |
| 48 | 291413 | 291415.209160826 | -11297.5891894284 | -2.20916082606256 | 0.0419824445006785 |
| 49 | 291542 | 286805.098485379 | -6728.78645748018 | 4736.90151462053 | 0.882345691589225 |
| 50 | 284678 | 280371.265399233 | -6527.41805721285 | 4306.73460076687 | 0.0388369324957708 |
| 51 | 276475 | 273925.579591636 | -6471.78230516247 | 2549.42040836392 | 0.0107275180853488 |
| 52 | 272566 | 272134.750884506 | -3288.09072248932 | 431.249115493753 | 0.615117379832908 |
| 53 | 264981 | 270572.314117175 | -2112.31218835307 | -5591.31411717515 | 0.227162822934790 |
| 54 | 263290 | 273017.474821697 | 993.23971692474 | -9727.47482169688 | 0.598958672270499 |
| 55 | 296806 | 285819.163101555 | 9029.59102431937 | 10986.8368984454 | 1.54959489239122 |
| 56 | 303598 | 295852.386645859 | 9712.43503725265 | 7745.61335414147 | 0.131737935167007 |
| 57 | 286994 | 288017.905979002 | -2230.76950886559 | -1023.90597900196 | -2.30443859788108 |
| 58 | 276427 | 281589.037515802 | -5088.57497282072 | -5162.0375158016 | -0.551414775741474 |
| 59 | 266424 | 274020.912884393 | -6776.25253728809 | -7596.91288439303 | -0.325687245836188 |
| 60 | 267153 | 268704.926201171 | -5782.21809663462 | -1551.92620117143 | 0.191897923184899 |
| 61 | 268381 | 263247.580490331 | -5560.98386969369 | 5133.41950966913 | 0.0427053105037236 |
| 62 | 262522 | 257671.846846112 | -5571.02086396402 | 4850.15315388839 | -0.00193572589164921 |
| 63 | 255542 | 253324.760672138 | -4739.7565715873 | 2217.23932786216 | 0.160319977754258 |
| 64 | 253158 | 251823.021642463 | -2541.7159136013 | 1334.97835753746 | 0.42447042335363 |
| 65 | 243803 | 251048.122718691 | -1340.92573154174 | -7245.1227186907 | 0.231922251871647 |
| 66 | 250741 | 262013.223162209 | 7025.47664613629 | -11272.2231622094 | 1.61409515775317 |
| 67 | 280445 | 270261.652827258 | 7856.21387119896 | 10183.3471727417 | 0.160200631772948 |
| 68 | 285257 | 273298.769406940 | 4584.27896123552 | 11958.2305930596 | -0.631159446778872 |
| 69 | 270976 | 272059.522662531 | 629.96068160073 | -1083.52266253091 | -0.762968725238057 |
| 70 | 261076 | 266969.333068304 | -3254.64318426131 | -5893.3330683036 | -0.749588609510796 |
| 71 | 255603 | 263581.089840154 | -3345.37531792361 | -7978.08984015428 | -0.0175108783568468 |
| 72 | 260376 | 261541.563047107 | -2458.31745417709 | -1165.56304710658 | 0.171228690293025 |
| 73 | 263903 | 258529.380506851 | -2834.63705512840 | 5373.61949314855 | -0.0726227965228684 |
| 74 | 264291 | 258408.663443331 | -991.983851739562 | 5882.33655666882 | 0.355379863651439 |
| 75 | 263276 | 260583.593108152 | 1155.29633683121 | 2692.40689184802 | 0.414183124611897 |
| 76 | 262572 | 261992.552286078 | 1327.23020441511 | 579.447713922341 | 0.0331942251311679 |
| 77 | 256167 | 266871.473009207 | 3736.65873814838 | -10704.4730092072 | 0.465263807487358 |
| 78 | 264221 | 275268.620019142 | 6899.5263959274 | -11047.6200191421 | 0.610293302613554 |
| 79 | 293860 | 282526.991580211 | 7142.91895769037 | 11333.0084197893 | 0.0469412918028616 |
