Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 79.8 | 73.7946650924176 | -19.4008692247390 | 105.206204132321 | -6.00533490758241 |
2 | 83.4 | 85.8599749441672 | -24.6166707184022 | 105.556695774235 | 2.4599749441672 |
3 | 113.6 | 114.085287998109 | 7.20752458574272 | 105.907187416149 | 0.485287998108717 |
4 | 112.9 | 114.471480977505 | 5.10979336211958 | 106.218725660375 | 1.57148097750496 |
5 | 104 | 102.417665043046 | -0.947928947648687 | 106.530263904602 | -1.5823349569537 |
6 | 109.9 | 112.162883913648 | 0.82151081232038 | 106.815605274032 | 2.26288391364808 |
7 | 99 | 100.608091962148 | -9.70903860560908 | 107.100946643461 | 1.60809196214839 |
8 | 106.3 | 106.656244491140 | -1.41443281503505 | 107.358188323895 | 0.356244491139805 |
9 | 128.9 | 134.024394445306 | 16.1601755503647 | 107.615430004330 | 5.12439444530553 |
10 | 111.1 | 112.989147887878 | 1.50126542825657 | 107.709586683866 | 1.88914788787764 |
11 | 102.9 | 96.4338925080848 | 1.56236412851345 | 107.803743363402 | -6.46610749191522 |
12 | 130 | 128.333634866900 | 23.7263027116509 | 107.940062421450 | -1.66636513310043 |
13 | 87 | 85.3244877452417 | -19.4008692247390 | 108.076381479497 | -1.67551225475827 |
14 | 87.5 | 91.1691001169214 | -24.6166707184022 | 108.447570601481 | 3.66910011692141 |
15 | 117.6 | 119.173715690793 | 7.20752458574272 | 108.818759723464 | 1.57371569079304 |
16 | 103.4 | 92.2108314591567 | 5.10979336211958 | 109.479375178724 | -11.1891685408434 |
17 | 110.8 | 112.407938313665 | -0.947928947648687 | 110.139990633983 | 1.60793831366537 |
18 | 112.6 | 113.490245446368 | 0.82151081232038 | 110.888243741312 | 0.890245446367715 |
19 | 102.5 | 103.072541756969 | -9.70903860560908 | 111.636496848640 | 0.572541756968619 |
20 | 112.4 | 113.918052855673 | -1.41443281503505 | 112.296379959362 | 1.51805285567283 |
21 | 135.6 | 142.083561379551 | 16.1601755503647 | 112.956263070084 | 6.48356137955133 |
22 | 105.1 | 94.9242025624189 | 1.50126542825657 | 113.774532009325 | -10.1757974375811 |
23 | 127.7 | 139.244834922921 | 1.56236412851345 | 114.592800948565 | 11.5448349229215 |
24 | 137 | 134.790131876616 | 23.7263027116509 | 115.483565411733 | -2.20986812338435 |
25 | 91 | 85.0265393498372 | -19.4008692247390 | 116.374329874902 | -5.97346065016282 |
26 | 90.5 | 88.3630351042547 | -24.6166707184022 | 117.253635614148 | -2.13696489574534 |
27 | 122.4 | 119.459534060864 | 7.20752458574272 | 118.132941353393 | -2.94046593913590 |
28 | 123.3 | 122.399538947512 | 5.10979336211958 | 119.090667690369 | -0.900461052488154 |
29 | 124.3 | 129.499534920305 | -0.947928947648687 | 120.048394027344 | 5.19953492030471 |
30 | 120 | 118.045039439627 | 0.82151081232038 | 121.133449748053 | -1.95496056037345 |
31 | 118.1 | 123.690533136847 | -9.70903860560908 | 122.218505468762 | 5.5905331368469 |
32 | 119 | 116.209307963191 | -1.41443281503505 | 123.205124851844 | -2.79069203680879 |
33 | 142.7 | 145.048080214710 | 16.1601755503647 | 124.191744234926 | 2.34808021470978 |
34 | 123.6 | 120.802484793474 | 1.50126542825657 | 124.896249778269 | -2.79751520652555 |
35 | 129.6 | 132.036880549874 | 1.56236412851345 | 125.600755321612 | 2.43688054987412 |
36 | 151.6 | 153.265563801026 | 23.7263027116509 | 126.208133487323 | 1.66556380102573 |
37 | 110.4 | 113.385357571705 | -19.4008692247390 | 126.815511653034 | 2.98535757170472 |
38 | 99.2 | 95.456838165009 | -24.6166707184022 | 127.559832553393 | -3.74316183499107 |
39 | 130.5 | 125.488321960505 | 7.20752458574272 | 128.304153453752 | -5.01167803949495 |
40 | 136.2 | 138.090179666807 | 5.10979336211958 | 129.200026971073 | 1.89017966680726 |
41 | 129.7 | 130.252028459255 | -0.947928947648687 | 130.095900488394 | 0.552028459254615 |
42 | 128 | 124.181898973568 | 0.82151081232038 | 130.996590214112 | -3.81810102643212 |
43 | 121.6 | 121.011758665780 | -9.70903860560908 | 131.897279939829 | -0.588241334220328 |
44 | 135.8 | 140.423436531857 | -1.41443281503505 | 132.590996283179 | 4.62343653185653 |
45 | 143.8 | 138.155111823108 | 16.1601755503647 | 133.284712626528 | -5.64488817689235 |
46 | 147.5 | 160.270720111843 | 1.50126542825657 | 133.228014459900 | 12.7707201118431 |
47 | 136.2 | 137.666319578214 | 1.56236412851345 | 133.171316293273 | 1.46631957821359 |
48 | 156.6 | 157.606978738774 | 23.7263027116509 | 131.866718549575 | 1.00697873877436 |
49 | 123.3 | 135.438748418863 | -19.4008692247390 | 130.562120805877 | 12.1387484188625 |
50 | 104.5 | 105.698338448516 | -24.6166707184022 | 127.918332269886 | 1.19833844851601 |
51 | 139.8 | 147.117931680361 | 7.20752458574272 | 125.274543733896 | 7.31793168036144 |
52 | 136.5 | 146.733230437273 | 5.10979336211958 | 121.156976200608 | 10.2332304372727 |
53 | 112.1 | 108.108520280329 | -0.947928947648687 | 117.039408667320 | -3.99147971967098 |
54 | 118.5 | 123.253780158275 | 0.82151081232038 | 112.924709029405 | 4.75378015827451 |
55 | 94.4 | 89.6990292141185 | -9.70903860560908 | 108.810009391491 | -4.70097078588147 |
56 | 102.3 | 101.441773415133 | -1.41443281503505 | 104.572659399902 | -0.858226584866784 |
57 | 111.4 | 106.304515041322 | 16.1601755503647 | 100.335309408313 | -5.0954849586778 |
58 | 99.2 | 100.906728239526 | 1.50126542825657 | 95.9920063322179 | 1.70672823952556 |
59 | 87.8 | 82.3889326153639 | 1.56236412851345 | 91.6487032561226 | -5.4110673846361 |
60 | 115.8 | 120.616395036835 | 23.7263027116509 | 87.2573022515142 | 4.81639503683486 |