| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 79.8 | 79.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 83.4 | 81.944754036209 | 0.0781398434499238 | 1.45524596379095 | 0.364584540255019 |
| 3 | 113.6 | 99.637613436686 | 1.24462558564806 | 13.9623865633140 | 2.77888176055049 |
| 4 | 112.9 | 108.782707517418 | 1.71632884605233 | 4.11729248258188 | 1.54102675281805 |
| 5 | 104 | 108.386711884099 | 1.61183250653837 | -4.38671188409927 | -0.439961061080126 |
| 6 | 109.9 | 108.801308054722 | 1.55663899746637 | 1.09869194527821 | -0.250021200364225 |
| 7 | 99 | 104.047781187920 | 1.25131090063111 | -5.04778118792031 | -1.30766756993645 |
| 8 | 106.3 | 103.668620851818 | 1.16484714672227 | 2.63137914818221 | -0.335273847813146 |
| 9 | 128.9 | 115.290823495501 | 1.77028711209969 | 13.6091765044990 | 2.13579185073751 |
| 10 | 111.1 | 115.923689896783 | 1.69959716447469 | -4.82368989678283 | -0.230976430788645 |
| 11 | 102.9 | 109.626561691519 | 1.17445025064903 | -6.72656169151893 | -1.61606201215112 |
| 12 | 130 | 117.564639763667 | 1.63829356514758 | 12.4353602363330 | 1.36119311883401 |
| 13 | 87 | 110.840339699882 | 1.21105249121994 | -23.8403396998815 | -1.76096187958271 |
| 14 | 87.5 | 104.855775100431 | 0.740772562590645 | -17.3557751004311 | -1.47589314183236 |
| 15 | 117.6 | 104.972994106163 | 0.692153412548577 | 12.6270058938373 | -0.117046266253148 |
| 16 | 103.4 | 101.493448520391 | 0.351316994913154 | 1.90655147960911 | -0.785454474930295 |
| 17 | 110.8 | 106.166922512363 | 0.702022596098736 | 4.6330774876373 | 0.84033800167656 |
| 18 | 112.6 | 108.032821621241 | 0.794831808432882 | 4.56717837875922 | 0.229176248005987 |
| 19 | 102.5 | 108.798650357851 | 0.792541117958929 | -6.29865035785135 | -0.00570637459432741 |
| 20 | 112.4 | 112.059784606424 | 0.987554820418947 | 0.340215393576505 | 0.484216154730760 |
| 21 | 135.6 | 116.978417863042 | 1.29976012009961 | 18.6215821369578 | 0.769396467918087 |
| 22 | 105.1 | 113.729080630561 | 0.936739826577882 | -8.62908063056121 | -0.888623307812911 |
| 23 | 127.7 | 124.01513142687 | 1.68269923359279 | 3.68486857312996 | 1.82214959996911 |
| 24 | 137 | 124.245662460887 | 1.56752910415748 | 12.7543375391134 | -0.28327821609775 |
| 25 | 91 | 118.592384329010 | 0.997288671916355 | -27.5923843290105 | -1.42417211827429 |
| 26 | 90.5 | 112.402858427366 | 0.419275096908327 | -21.9028584273658 | -1.41349454727492 |
| 27 | 122.4 | 109.363285448360 | 0.135074776623972 | 13.0367145516403 | -0.665510284139953 |
| 28 | 123.3 | 115.527130115289 | 0.635445631921668 | 7.77286988471109 | 1.15099642862555 |
| 29 | 124.3 | 118.961390109476 | 0.867984757731305 | 5.33860989052445 | 0.539379029035982 |
| 30 | 120 | 118.370177620218 | 0.747057852428945 | 1.62982237978228 | -0.283726687643960 |
| 31 | 118.1 | 122.171016717831 | 0.999365314656598 | -4.07101671783094 | 0.594783317277155 |
| 32 | 119 | 122.466441644876 | 0.941341335350567 | -3.46644164487572 | -0.136788746106619 |
| 33 | 142.7 | 123.429247467176 | 0.943107601260095 | 19.2707525328236 | 0.00415877452811795 |
| 34 | 123.6 | 130.180258735681 | 1.42027007832856 | -6.58025873568108 | 1.12279547322485 |
| 35 | 129.6 | 128.720337613131 | 1.18405549617151 | 0.879662386868657 | -0.556609252628031 |
| 36 | 151.6 | 130.968552797426 | 1.27123137983264 | 20.6314472025743 | 0.206305259487293 |
| 37 | 110.4 | 133.145596239781 | 1.34551904018070 | -22.7455962397806 | 0.176453761732429 |
| 38 | 99.2 | 128.222724621437 | 0.829519243007137 | -29.0227246214372 | -1.21953814864134 |
| 39 | 130.5 | 124.297585594672 | 0.436737730510524 | 6.20241440532764 | -0.917659912902119 |
| 40 | 136.2 | 126.254955858046 | 0.562538875019045 | 9.94504414195446 | 0.292105752547273 |
| 41 | 129.7 | 125.785897445823 | 0.477197270188497 | 3.91410255417732 | -0.198744327970320 |
| 42 | 128 | 126.800576244014 | 0.521644962654375 | 1.19942375598595 | 0.104084289521931 |
| 43 | 121.6 | 126.620452494768 | 0.463635947686511 | -5.02045249476761 | -0.136175317736686 |
| 44 | 135.8 | 133.202594799386 | 0.969090036612781 | 2.59740520061388 | 1.18547529807231 |
| 45 | 143.8 | 132.023070579571 | 0.791747622263897 | 11.7769294204291 | -0.415106356990479 |
| 46 | 147.5 | 141.828157461096 | 1.53491238130075 | 5.6718425389039 | 1.73784006010847 |
| 47 | 136.2 | 141.379056627287 | 1.37147631540237 | -5.17905662728651 | -0.382647759151948 |
| 48 | 156.6 | 138.702858501877 | 1.03814553116866 | 17.8971414981232 | -0.782735681222912 |
| 49 | 123.3 | 139.973156948100 | 1.05727487817780 | -16.6731569481003 | 0.0450108019913095 |
| 50 | 104.5 | 136.486258155144 | 0.68242494989097 | -31.9862581551436 | -0.880387043208026 |
| 51 | 139.8 | 134.959679796718 | 0.500070005020704 | 4.8403202032816 | -0.426348128139618 |
| 52 | 136.5 | 130.670259553017 | 0.104693018331696 | 5.82974044698256 | -0.921941934001073 |
| 53 | 112.1 | 119.613929005214 | -0.816373771293664 | -7.51392900521396 | -2.15064315264510 |
| 54 | 118.5 | 116.695800816938 | -0.989799481379634 | 1.80419918306197 | -0.406165395511662 |
| 55 | 94.4 | 109.501740282498 | -1.50178539389029 | -15.1017402824984 | -1.20089263961595 |
| 56 | 102.3 | 103.503923836102 | -1.87280877275318 | -1.20392383610232 | -0.86953378726486 |
| 57 | 111.4 | 102.063086133549 | -1.83717127513393 | 9.33691386645117 | 0.0833679027876294 |
| 58 | 99.2 | 96.384506492143 | -2.15392585841897 | 2.81549350785704 | -0.740254822897015 |
| 59 | 87.8 | 91.9686151131049 | -2.3403547644004 | -4.16861511310487 | -0.436019763987048 |
| 60 | 115.8 | 92.744149584744 | -2.08358248537521 | 23.055850415256 | 0.601698344853956 |
