| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 8.1 | 8.0992534482645 | 0.099315146768711 | 0.000746551735494343 | 0.312144661532379 |
| 3 | 7.7 | 7.71033729004476 | -0.378431686426799 | -0.0103372900447557 | -1.51214927172144 |
| 4 | 7.5 | 7.49518144618358 | -0.219599500213875 | 0.00481855381641875 | 0.497206469501047 |
| 5 | 7.6 | 7.59543379667154 | 0.0916915119177725 | 0.00456620332845658 | 0.974888938016866 |
| 6 | 7.8 | 7.79997542952185 | 0.201528226306382 | 2.45704781487947e-05 | 0.343976132170661 |
| 7 | 7.8 | 7.8047055047012 | 0.00998749078310632 | -0.00470550470120262 | -0.599848918670261 |
| 8 | 7.8 | 7.79990695798508 | -0.00440352846728825 | 9.30420149202435e-05 | -0.0450684147140476 |
| 9 | 7.5 | 7.50581770169191 | -0.286350290163513 | -0.00581770169191252 | -0.88297384336456 |
| 10 | 7.5 | 7.49414521701395 | -0.0190105117436494 | 0.00585478298605043 | 0.837229093239738 |
| 11 | 7.1 | 7.10858667133196 | -0.37576619516409 | -0.00858667133196044 | -1.11725325390524 |
| 12 | 7.5 | 7.484997974067 | 0.356316841173229 | 0.0150020259329987 | 2.2926674822242 |
| 13 | 7.5 | 7.50864261038258 | 0.032587076773531 | -0.00864261038258466 | -1.01407990410654 |
| 14 | 7.6 | 7.58491489562795 | 0.0751181182763844 | 0.0150851043720510 | 0.133567918038366 |
| 15 | 7.7 | 7.7084760605823 | 0.121471978101266 | -0.00847606058229988 | 0.146272311098007 |
| 16 | 7.7 | 7.70545524508715 | 0.00261434002097083 | -0.00545524508714855 | -0.371955138449220 |
| 17 | 7.9 | 7.89464456833885 | 0.180749508662983 | 0.00535543166115181 | 0.557902812678462 |
| 18 | 8.1 | 8.09489680165998 | 0.199372469606793 | 0.00510319834001557 | 0.0583215090833516 |
| 19 | 8.2 | 8.21219543390285 | 0.121001741196476 | -0.0121954339028472 | -0.245434002944632 |
| 20 | 8.2 | 8.1909994410428 | -0.0147791354599226 | 0.009000558957195 | -0.425225530166752 |
| 21 | 8.2 | 8.21852473280732 | 0.0256162848724262 | -0.0185247328073169 | 0.126506505635344 |
| 22 | 7.9 | 7.88249894272392 | -0.319706625173862 | 0.0175010572760754 | -1.08144919353469 |
| 23 | 7.3 | 7.33869729193712 | -0.533690185774264 | -0.0386972919371166 | -0.670133269467272 |
| 24 | 6.9 | 6.87140224212641 | -0.470291519574783 | 0.028597757873589 | 0.198546043256021 |
| 25 | 6.6 | 6.60311922778425 | -0.277433260941253 | -0.00311922778424517 | 0.604149594912838 |
| 26 | 6.7 | 6.6797710450136 | 0.0608008977403762 | 0.0202289549863973 | 1.06092958645746 |
| 27 | 6.9 | 6.89514738117445 | 0.206784535759022 | 0.0048526188255462 | 0.459307752845182 |
| 28 | 7 | 7.01767499004384 | 0.127210418477692 | -0.0176749900438427 | -0.249046153952195 |
| 29 | 7.1 | 7.09884793220702 | 0.0837509293643512 | 0.00115206779297903 | -0.136111223030652 |
| 30 | 7.2 | 7.19318721825769 | 0.0937482246273258 | 0.00681278174231 | 0.0313085411199649 |
| 31 | 7.1 | 7.1100720075795 | -0.07324315511923 | -0.0100720075795037 | -0.52296789058124 |
| 32 | 6.9 | 6.9055879594375 | -0.197156910422666 | -0.00558795943749705 | -0.38806121776312 |
| 33 | 7 | 6.99642175712162 | 0.0747549074142069 | 0.00357824287837512 | 0.85154738176011 |
| 34 | 6.8 | 6.78424673668332 | -0.196156010514188 | 0.0157532633166833 | -0.848412853688194 |
| 35 | 6.4 | 6.44173983614233 | -0.334337351626327 | -0.041739836142333 | -0.432743423377657 |
| 36 | 6.7 | 6.64964151052286 | 0.177618078097179 | 0.0503584894771431 | 1.60329587906902 |
| 37 | 6.6 | 6.62624203274371 | -0.0121423223956272 | -0.0262420327437118 | -0.594487171643204 |
| 38 | 6.4 | 6.39927632215368 | -0.215023499150526 | 0.000723677846320193 | -0.635800922086482 |
| 39 | 6.3 | 6.28504196179206 | -0.120512429444735 | 0.0149580382079447 | 0.296796859166133 |
| 40 | 6.2 | 6.21239006778479 | -0.0755941333569787 | -0.0123900677847891 | 0.140618085687078 |
| 41 | 6.5 | 6.49161311656742 | 0.25718047654175 | 0.0083868834325828 | 1.04216848423040 |
| 42 | 6.8 | 6.7862481165473 | 0.292315279718560 | 0.0137518834527053 | 0.110032561872672 |
| 43 | 6.8 | 6.80639498936865 | 0.0369978373522829 | -0.0063949893686552 | -0.799578495942069 |
| 44 | 6.4 | 6.44677828751598 | -0.335055756823133 | -0.0467782875159820 | -1.16516196744487 |
| 45 | 6.1 | 6.08224180870059 | -0.362710690296217 | 0.0177581912994072 | -0.0866070734016949 |
| 46 | 5.8 | 5.75679966834911 | -0.327750061018043 | 0.0432003316508939 | 0.109486350054354 |
| 47 | 6.1 | 6.14911730473386 | 0.347731453096235 | -0.0491173047338628 | 2.11541274740739 |
| 48 | 7.2 | 7.12316501016608 | 0.93523583883227 | 0.076834989833919 | 1.83989654065104 |
| 49 | 7.3 | 7.34662678923473 | 0.267642099046376 | -0.0466267892347286 | -2.09154344595480 |
| 50 | 6.9 | 6.93040979468902 | -0.373894943904836 | -0.0304097946890245 | -2.00952585364868 |
| 51 | 6.1 | 6.09048338595636 | -0.809120969827583 | 0.00951661404364303 | -1.36527912941267 |
| 52 | 5.8 | 5.80665831083743 | -0.31803189808199 | -0.00665831083743158 | 1.53770947365362 |
| 53 | 6.2 | 6.17444559647432 | 0.322660083497355 | 0.0255544035256774 | 2.0063694962774 |
| 54 | 7.1 | 7.06253399377584 | 0.850975541906616 | 0.0374660062241608 | 1.65455577486633 |
| 55 | 7.7 | 7.69946956489358 | 0.650976480496868 | 0.00053043510642342 | -0.626336834773619 |
| 56 | 7.9 | 7.96149209663143 | 0.287541529634192 | -0.0614920966314265 | -1.13817113772244 |
| 57 | 7.7 | 7.68002448200592 | -0.244131220656649 | 0.0199755179940838 | -1.66504180735822 |
| 58 | 7.4 | 7.38064957142924 | -0.295750353071808 | 0.0193504285707568 | -0.161655880159988 |
| 59 | 7.5 | 7.58745451312257 | 0.173834195968218 | -0.0874545131225718 | 1.47060399206747 |
| 60 | 8 | 7.89896132520757 | 0.302465200781383 | 0.101038674792426 | 0.402838373145633 |
| 61 | 8.1 | 8.12341871212448 | 0.229583418603231 | -0.0234187121244858 | -0.228334511141484 |
