Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	5103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	4300	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	4578	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	3809	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	5526	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	4247	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	3830	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	4394	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	4826	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	4409	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	4569	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	4106	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	4794	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	3914	4512.9114	3492.8016	5693.596	0.1601	0.3204	0.6381	0.3204
50	3793	4375.8252	3342.9461	5579.7262	0.1713	0.7739	0.371	0.248
51	4405	4611.8237	3500.0671	5912.2774	0.3776	0.8914	0.8869	0.3918
52	4022	4505.7364	3250.2823	6014.5391	0.2649	0.5521	0.0925	0.354
53	4100	4467.086	3168.7669	6041.2342	0.3238	0.7103	0.608	0.342
54	4788	4547.1218	3178.0122	6220.0269	0.3889	0.6998	0.7996	0.3862
55	3163	4507.4069	3064.1936	6296.3563	0.0704	0.3793	0.5494	0.3768
56	3585	4497.1805	3004.5338	6364.01	0.1691	0.9194	0.365	0.3777
57	3903	4524.1046	2972.612	6481.0914	0.267	0.8265	0.5459	0.3935
58	4178	4509.3957	2902.9893	6556.7475	0.3755	0.7192	0.4772	0.3926
59	3863	4506.9593	2853.0647	6632.7323	0.2763	0.6192	0.6442	0.3956
60	4187	4515.9501	2812.2743	6723.7247	0.3851	0.7189	0.4025	0.4025

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1335	-0.1327	0.0111	358694.8644	29891.2387	172.8908
50	0.1404	-0.1332	0.0111	339685.2097	28307.1008	168.2471
51	0.1439	-0.0448	0.0037	42776.0331	3564.6694	59.7049
52	0.1708	-0.1074	0.0089	234000.9245	19500.077	139.6427
53	0.1798	-0.0822	0.0068	134752.1282	11229.344	105.9686
54	0.1877	0.053	0.0044	58022.3222	4835.1935	69.5356
55	0.2025	-0.2983	0.0249	1807430.0127	150619.1677	388.0969
56	0.2118	-0.2028	0.0169	832073.2439	69339.437	263.3238
57	0.2207	-0.1373	0.0114	385770.9285	32147.5774	179.2975
58	0.2316	-0.0735	0.0061	109823.0976	9151.9248	95.6657
59	0.2406	-0.1429	0.0119	414683.6338	34556.9695	185.895
60	0.2494	-0.0728	0.0061	108208.1869	9017.3489	94.9597