| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 8.7 | 8.77525230598956 | -0.0076745553976964 | -0.0752523059895582 | -1.97088465287498 |
| 4 | 8.2 | 8.25227981210922 | -0.00993735738546997 | -0.052279812109215 | -1.94953585912716 |
| 5 | 8.3 | 8.28214163216692 | -0.00976178289552904 | 0.0178583678330857 | 0.150511606241261 |
| 6 | 8.5 | 8.48399129646074 | -0.00874923325063979 | 0.0160087035392632 | 0.800213212939008 |
| 7 | 8.6 | 8.60159861615121 | -0.00814027592986616 | -0.00159861615121014 | 0.477817965309843 |
| 8 | 8.5 | 8.52286633642054 | -0.00847838428486613 | -0.0228663364205374 | -0.266942509635764 |
| 9 | 8.2 | 8.2409379298869 | -0.00978098535056802 | -0.0409379298869055 | -1.03403735512353 |
| 10 | 8.1 | 8.11312599318411 | -0.0103405433559001 | -0.0131259931841093 | -0.446323798175294 |
| 11 | 7.9 | 7.92789423457948 | -0.0111657666971488 | -0.0278942345794744 | -0.661329766165156 |
| 12 | 8.6 | 8.524502767595 | -0.00831144125436691 | 0.0754972324049972 | 2.29820304191118 |
| 13 | 8.7 | 8.61233532731105 | -0.012167484684343 | 0.0876646726889449 | 0.426479468888753 |
| 14 | 8.7 | 8.64697890568697 | -0.0112364642374091 | 0.053021094313027 | 0.156250978450350 |
| 15 | 8.5 | 8.5414998315855 | -0.0123895402946268 | -0.0414998315854959 | -0.35019598916982 |
| 16 | 8.4 | 8.46170941023772 | -0.0126545537920266 | -0.0617094102377202 | -0.254804525035108 |
| 17 | 8.5 | 8.4932025633073 | -0.0125500502235609 | 0.00679743669269767 | 0.166823768911631 |
| 18 | 8.7 | 8.67075545093492 | -0.0120542832336588 | 0.0292445490650771 | 0.718216130902494 |
| 19 | 8.7 | 8.70713914010227 | -0.0119189153143273 | -0.00713914010226971 | 0.182991857196360 |
| 20 | 8.6 | 8.61864935694136 | -0.012134911536214 | -0.0186493569413626 | -0.289273523363328 |
| 21 | 8.5 | 8.53834411827887 | -0.0123275704592064 | -0.0383441182788657 | -0.257541197498903 |
| 22 | 8.3 | 8.31741955181045 | -0.012943739849171 | -0.0174195518104463 | -0.78816999941086 |
| 23 | 8 | 8.11865880983634 | -0.0135061293569174 | -0.118658809836342 | -0.702266477523946 |
| 24 | 8.2 | 8.12305790757048 | -0.0135103088672294 | 0.0769420924295213 | 0.0675869056758669 |
| 25 | 8.1 | 8.03590561762649 | -0.0123969428762549 | 0.064094382373513 | -0.295275808183713 |
| 26 | 8.1 | 8.02453126597765 | -0.0123866328200543 | 0.0754687340223495 | 0.00366062845961385 |
| 27 | 8 | 8.02335656546262 | -0.0122723147413111 | -0.0233565654626200 | 0.0415232736116278 |
| 28 | 7.9 | 7.97356668589169 | -0.0124421967098636 | -0.0735666858916876 | -0.141689227325010 |
| 29 | 7.9 | 7.9294054700144 | -0.0125125259591850 | -0.0294054700143992 | -0.119854608939092 |
| 30 | 8 | 7.9684984754914 | -0.0124084863298355 | 0.031501524508603 | 0.194940090506568 |
| 31 | 8 | 7.99431405307434 | -0.0123241433193786 | 0.00568594692565916 | 0.144373966838509 |
| 32 | 7.9 | 7.92856970049737 | -0.0124480476790977 | -0.0285697004973683 | -0.201766120028321 |
| 33 | 8 | 7.98919102969673 | -0.0122709626530984 | 0.0108089703032685 | 0.276004804148458 |
| 34 | 7.7 | 7.74282660249692 | -0.0128739875002979 | -0.0428266024969196 | -0.88447287872128 |
| 35 | 7.2 | 7.38545840629785 | -0.0135799508315851 | -0.185458406297851 | -1.30129562410372 |
| 36 | 7.5 | 7.38506995222871 | -0.0136012899151014 | 0.114930047771286 | 0.0498450948200217 |
| 37 | 7.3 | 7.25700557979932 | -0.0127453413194778 | 0.0429944202006818 | -0.444270438266987 |
| 38 | 7 | 6.97393055634415 | -0.0143657446755038 | 0.0260694436558471 | -0.992453666237136 |
| 39 | 7 | 6.99392138534081 | -0.0140791708184529 | 0.00607861465918763 | 0.127358032673715 |
| 40 | 7 | 7.05009140078826 | -0.0137416967681016 | -0.0500914007882632 | 0.264930560610493 |
| 41 | 7.2 | 7.2041689772245 | -0.0133346411833875 | -0.00416897722449316 | 0.634115094862683 |
| 42 | 7.3 | 7.26878015878369 | -0.0131915724319570 | 0.0312198412163093 | 0.294440074528764 |
| 43 | 7.1 | 7.12777865036264 | -0.0134366216164051 | -0.0277786503626356 | -0.482720136809865 |
| 44 | 6.8 | 6.89613654726884 | -0.0138933880354078 | -0.0961365472688436 | -0.824109094208999 |
| 45 | 6.4 | 6.44159726325472 | -0.0148917002820362 | -0.0415972632547197 | -1.66446254292099 |
| 46 | 6.1 | 6.13019169630231 | -0.0155658547521039 | -0.0301916963023118 | -1.12024668920766 |
| 47 | 6.5 | 6.56784204306559 | -0.0149794427572034 | -0.0678420430655875 | 1.71118825389689 |
| 48 | 7.7 | 7.38388762251882 | -0.0164708802091240 | 0.316112377481180 | 3.14249305286777 |
| 49 | 7.9 | 7.73901752778758 | -0.0179678727048104 | 0.160982472212419 | 1.42236376118628 |
| 50 | 7.5 | 7.53985705828932 | -0.0187061261454646 | -0.039857058289324 | -0.672434601146582 |
| 51 | 6.9 | 7.02530961969086 | -0.0221005128758527 | -0.125309619690864 | -1.84228285775196 |
| 52 | 6.6 | 6.73933288466165 | -0.0233604449147042 | -0.139332884661648 | -0.993893188274412 |
| 53 | 6.9 | 6.88126093732315 | -0.0229222509090924 | 0.0187390626768471 | 0.624450050849338 |
| 54 | 7.7 | 7.51025364709912 | -0.0217273056181553 | 0.189746352900883 | 2.46267021661483 |
| 55 | 8 | 7.92012530155855 | -0.0209587591221130 | 0.0798746984414455 | 1.63012339275497 |
| 56 | 8 | 8.00804481067862 | -0.0207455461472738 | -0.0080448106786205 | 0.411219467997272 |
| 57 | 7.7 | 7.74922543206893 | -0.0212502099453783 | -0.0492254320689253 | -0.899308834759664 |
| 58 | 7.3 | 7.47439277422635 | -0.0217454481387501 | -0.174392774226348 | -0.957896051554856 |
| 59 | 7.4 | 7.58921952411478 | -0.0216367556764171 | -0.189219524114784 | 0.515519067666413 |
| 60 | 8.1 | 7.79947334592646 | -0.0219982787698112 | 0.300526654073542 | 0.877003018098422 |
| 61 | 8.3 | 8.03382385406515 | -0.0225663073694065 | 0.266176145934855 | 0.974579542652016 |
