Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[47])
35	0.8214	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	0.8827	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	0.9216	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	0.8865	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	0.8816	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	0.8884	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	0.9466	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	0.918	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	0.9337	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	0.9559	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	0.9626	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	0.9434	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	0.8639	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	0.7996	0.8834	0.8352	0.9317	3e-04	0.7861	0.5116	0.7861
49	0.668	0.8876	0.8267	0.9484	0	0.9977	0.1365	0.7773
50	0.6572	0.8885	0.8184	0.9585	0	1	0.522	0.7542
51	0.6928	0.8887	0.8107	0.9666	0	1	0.5705	0.7333
52	0.6438	0.8887	0.8037	0.9737	0	1	0.5028	0.7162
53	0.6454	0.8887	0.7971	0.9803	0	1	0.1077	0.7023
54	0.6873	0.8887	0.791	0.9864	0	1	0.2784	0.6907
55	0.7265	0.8887	0.7853	0.9922	0.0011	0.9999	0.197	0.6808
56	0.7912	0.8887	0.7798	0.9976	0.0396	0.9982	0.1133	0.6724
57	0.8114	0.8887	0.7746	1.0028	0.0921	0.953	0.1022	0.665
58	0.8281	0.8887	0.7696	1.0078	0.1592	0.8984	0.184	0.6585
59	0.8393	0.8887	0.7649	1.0125	0.2171	0.8313	0.6527	0.6527

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
48	0.0279	-0.0949	0.0079	0.007	6e-04	0.0242
49	0.035	-0.2474	0.0206	0.0482	0.004	0.0634
50	0.0402	-0.2603	0.0217	0.0535	0.0045	0.0668
51	0.0447	-0.2204	0.0184	0.0384	0.0032	0.0565
52	0.0488	-0.2756	0.023	0.06	0.005	0.0707
53	0.0526	-0.2738	0.0228	0.0592	0.0049	0.0702
54	0.0561	-0.2266	0.0189	0.0406	0.0034	0.0581
55	0.0594	-0.1825	0.0152	0.0263	0.0022	0.0468
56	0.0625	-0.1097	0.0091	0.0095	8e-04	0.0281
57	0.0655	-0.087	0.0072	0.006	5e-04	0.0223
58	0.0684	-0.0682	0.0057	0.0037	3e-04	0.0175
59	0.0711	-0.0556	0.0046	0.0024	2e-04	0.0143