| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 6.20029716796157 | -0.0997273913760922 | -0.000297167961573839 | -0.408489295620644 |
| 3 | 6.1 | 6.09979513470036 | -0.100495243360923 | 0.000204865299644 | -0.00315455903164451 |
| 4 | 6.3 | 6.2977542712815 | 0.194500442302507 | 0.00224572871850239 | 1.20650272869622 |
| 5 | 6.5 | 6.50056244598451 | 0.202713665487683 | -0.00056244598451217 | 0.0335939443753683 |
| 6 | 6.6 | 6.60085242694527 | 0.101453906892288 | -0.000852426945274272 | -0.414174750832066 |
| 7 | 6.5 | 6.50139486682477 | -0.0971738506217298 | -0.00139486682476845 | -0.812431313242722 |
| 8 | 6.2 | 6.20122037797162 | -0.297867060449616 | -0.00122037797162428 | -0.820879468979458 |
| 9 | 6.2 | 6.19739745601969 | -0.00716518778322905 | 0.00260254398030883 | 1.18903474146113 |
| 10 | 5.9 | 5.90282639286309 | -0.291304249880994 | -0.00282639286308901 | -1.16219139953108 |
| 11 | 6.1 | 6.09577278145059 | 0.187442129164529 | 0.00422721854941176 | 1.95817822504077 |
| 12 | 6.1 | 6.10237558835989 | 0.00865832620058987 | -0.00237558835988872 | -0.731265165183998 |
| 13 | 6.1 | 6.0996405840477 | -0.00260470068982178 | 0.000359415952302765 | -0.0460731379892089 |
| 14 | 6.1 | 6.09809831207916 | -0.0015542058861936 | 0.00190168792083857 | 0.00430205186249085 |
| 15 | 6.1 | 6.1029153458354 | 0.00469486711094491 | -0.00291534583540403 | 0.0256578394536613 |
| 16 | 6.4 | 6.39424499109769 | 0.285270513823240 | 0.00575500890231338 | 1.14739140623323 |
| 17 | 6.7 | 6.70130836213141 | 0.306606247633500 | -0.00130836213141272 | 0.087268661388703 |
| 18 | 6.9 | 6.90212650238412 | 0.203034133338359 | -0.00212650238411872 | -0.423632791071569 |
| 19 | 7 | 6.99776833237055 | 0.0978920113233735 | 0.00223166762944939 | -0.430054457912472 |
| 20 | 7 | 7.00831592166869 | 0.0123777493686246 | -0.008315921668692 | -0.349772182215832 |
| 21 | 6.8 | 6.79326621756893 | -0.210284393065206 | 0.00673378243107212 | -0.910737246152639 |
| 22 | 6.4 | 6.41134286161733 | -0.378326971685546 | -0.0113428616173301 | -0.687331190051569 |
| 23 | 5.9 | 5.89519003324078 | -0.513265042694211 | 0.00480996675922306 | -0.551926460204372 |
| 24 | 5.5 | 5.50019451632248 | -0.397473728734047 | -0.000194516322480695 | 0.473612059831032 |
| 25 | 5.5 | 5.49465719433266 | -0.0137777565909232 | 0.00534280566734439 | 1.56957820207638 |
| 26 | 5.6 | 5.59373090296372 | 0.0967271380448915 | 0.0062690970362823 | 0.452416955990329 |
| 27 | 5.8 | 5.80674668407827 | 0.209852074922257 | -0.00674668407826732 | 0.464098493181313 |
| 28 | 5.9 | 5.89852329004553 | 0.0951171887202256 | 0.00147670995447078 | -0.469164425465421 |
| 29 | 6.1 | 6.09777884798091 | 0.196315844309289 | 0.00222115201908822 | 0.413933193440927 |
| 30 | 6.1 | 6.10433051306465 | 0.0119001181821761 | -0.00433051306465253 | -0.754300675425817 |
| 31 | 6 | 5.99991446133558 | -0.101137111662663 | 8.55386644210451e-05 | -0.462347213530348 |
| 32 | 6 | 6.00296433132393 | 0.000112641777257588 | -0.00296433132392659 | 0.41413381032798 |
| 33 | 5.9 | 5.89434647535882 | -0.105552577898710 | 0.00565352464118018 | -0.432194041436554 |
| 34 | 5.5 | 5.51269607604272 | -0.37386678661241 | -0.0126960760427209 | -1.09746426305425 |
| 35 | 5.6 | 5.58333742762385 | 0.0581108706386614 | 0.0166625723761448 | 1.76688394868857 |
| 36 | 5.4 | 5.41302376348706 | -0.163873367966327 | -0.0130237634870574 | -0.90796494281159 |
| 37 | 5.2 | 5.19590335095372 | -0.215615232430646 | 0.00409664904628482 | -0.211663423911762 |
| 38 | 5.2 | 5.19428115474978 | -0.00761995430960011 | 0.00571884525021697 | 0.851278105927362 |
| 39 | 5.2 | 5.20177504133049 | 0.00699657067112295 | -0.00177504133049006 | 0.0599187143655675 |
| 40 | 5.5 | 5.49850349978326 | 0.287071001223696 | 0.00149650021673589 | 1.14524853621215 |
| 41 | 5.8 | 5.79535181471361 | 0.296521890400401 | 0.00464818528638515 | 0.0386572323901912 |
| 42 | 5.8 | 5.80539505310433 | 0.0195907458893417 | -0.00539505310432997 | -1.13270845750806 |
| 43 | 5.5 | 5.5105019898551 | -0.284411449862545 | -0.0105019898550986 | -1.24343619640577 |
| 44 | 5.3 | 5.30200129586594 | -0.211031054021123 | -0.00200129586594092 | 0.300141992402568 |
| 45 | 5.1 | 5.07887731723402 | -0.222720881797513 | 0.0211226827659831 | -0.0478139726638196 |
| 46 | 5.2 | 5.221263236285 | 0.130215902004513 | -0.0212632362849981 | 1.44358925216182 |
| 47 | 5.8 | 5.77043016141382 | 0.535203386883025 | 0.0295698385861810 | 1.65648848171649 |
| 48 | 5.8 | 5.82096959651487 | 0.0666979291113927 | -0.0209695965148683 | -1.91629208716602 |
| 49 | 5.5 | 5.50899350181228 | -0.299324133513849 | -0.00899350181227969 | -1.49734206190159 |
| 50 | 5 | 4.991928494597 | -0.509834519413333 | 0.00807150540300206 | -0.861346783766708 |
| 51 | 4.9 | 4.89890080864346 | -0.108373311863457 | 0.00109919135654351 | 1.64473864820553 |
| 52 | 5.3 | 5.29297322171802 | 0.375565339047456 | 0.007026778281981 | 1.97894098427504 |
| 53 | 6.1 | 6.08411931110482 | 0.775775708055115 | 0.0158806888951814 | 1.63698665582911 |
| 54 | 6.5 | 6.50460191986884 | 0.433598337150142 | -0.00460191986883882 | -1.39958013388923 |
| 55 | 6.8 | 6.8167387953026 | 0.316620496813262 | -0.0167387953025987 | -0.47846525350062 |
| 56 | 6.6 | 6.60588419853379 | -0.191380760373913 | -0.00588419853378606 | -2.07783711048498 |
| 57 | 6.4 | 6.38068298955593 | -0.223952571884354 | 0.0193170104440707 | -0.133225890815008 |
| 58 | 6.4 | 6.43597540121338 | 0.0449831725585313 | -0.0359754012133828 | 1.10000648024379 |
