Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 1258 | 1887.21556353434 | -776.12521404537 | 1404.90965051103 | 629.215563534335 |
2 | 1199 | 1980.26262728001 | -927.54369208684 | 1345.28106480683 | 781.262627280009 |
3 | 1158 | 2107.90970318094 | -1077.56218228357 | 1285.65247910263 | 949.90970318094 |
4 | 1427 | 1672.86378744469 | -69.3186064366488 | 1250.45481899196 | 245.863787444689 |
5 | 934 | 47.8177883206988 | 604.92505279801 | 1215.25715888129 | -886.182211679301 |
6 | 709 | -1110.34947342907 | 1335.58516391405 | 1192.76430951502 | -1819.34947342907 |
7 | 1186 | 346.083884477845 | 855.644655373412 | 1170.27146014874 | -839.916115522155 |
8 | 986 | 312.285187635385 | 513.670512482714 | 1146.04429988190 | -673.714812364615 |
9 | 1033 | 746.886561763941 | 197.296298620998 | 1121.81713961506 | -286.113438236059 |
10 | 1257 | 1304.95137858188 | 36.0370429976616 | 1173.01157842046 | 47.9513785818804 |
11 | 1105 | 1194.6161012946 | -208.822118520455 | 1224.20601722586 | 89.6161012945988 |
12 | 1179 | 1543.91776646568 | -483.786012049963 | 1297.86824558428 | 364.917766465680 |
13 | 1092 | 1588.59474010266 | -776.12521404537 | 1371.53047394271 | 496.594740102662 |
14 | 1092 | 1753.46702209675 | -927.54369208684 | 1358.07666999009 | 661.467022096749 |
15 | 1087 | 1906.93931624609 | -1077.56218228357 | 1344.62286603748 | 819.939316246094 |
16 | 2028 | 2841.10594020860 | -69.3186064366488 | 1284.21266622805 | 813.105940208596 |
17 | 2039 | 2249.27248078336 | 604.92505279801 | 1223.80246641863 | 210.272480783361 |
18 | 2010 | 1517.21234526106 | 1335.58516391405 | 1167.20249082488 | -492.787654738938 |
19 | 754 | -458.247170604552 | 855.644655373412 | 1110.60251523114 | -1212.24717060455 |
20 | 760 | -79.3836060984545 | 513.670512482714 | 1085.71309361574 | -839.383606098454 |
21 | 715 | 171.880029378660 | 197.296298620998 | 1060.82367200034 | -543.11997062134 |
22 | 855 | 558.079028638907 | 36.0370429976616 | 1115.88392836343 | -296.920971361093 |
23 | 971 | 979.877933793934 | -208.822118520455 | 1170.94418472652 | 8.87793379393383 |
24 | 815 | 781.471694806559 | -483.786012049963 | 1332.31431724340 | -33.5283051934414 |
25 | 915 | 1112.44076428508 | -776.12521404537 | 1493.68444976029 | 197.440764285084 |
26 | 843 | 922.025285574942 | -927.54369208684 | 1691.5184065119 | 79.0252855749422 |
27 | 761 | 710.209819020059 | -1077.56218228357 | 1889.35236326351 | -50.7901809799412 |
28 | 1858 | 1744.65709939975 | -69.3186064366488 | 2040.6615070369 | -113.342900600253 |
29 | 2968 | 3139.1042963917 | 604.92505279801 | 2191.97065081029 | 171.104296391698 |
30 | 4061 | 4521.73369976543 | 1335.58516391405 | 2264.68113632052 | 460.733699765429 |
31 | 3661 | 4128.96372279585 | 855.644655373412 | 2337.39162183074 | 467.963722795846 |
32 | 3269 | 3697.63745398435 | 513.670512482714 | 2326.69203353294 | 428.637453984349 |
33 | 2857 | 3200.71125614387 | 197.296298620998 | 2315.99244523513 | 343.711256143869 |
34 | 2568 | 2813.50906091216 | 36.0370429976616 | 2286.45389609018 | 245.509060912161 |
35 | 2274 | 2499.90677157523 | -208.822118520455 | 2256.91534694522 | 225.906771575232 |
36 | 1987 | 2183.43539546907 | -483.786012049963 | 2274.35061658090 | 196.435395469067 |
37 | 683 | -149.660672171198 | -776.12521404537 | 2291.78588621657 | -832.660672171198 |
38 | 381 | -651.144867368348 | -927.54369208684 | 2340.68855945519 | -1032.14486736835 |
39 | 71 | -1170.02905041024 | -1077.56218228357 | 2389.59123269381 | -1241.02905041024 |
40 | 1772 | 1185.20879912930 | -69.3186064366488 | 2428.10980730735 | -586.791200870698 |
41 | 3485 | 3898.44656528111 | 604.92505279801 | 2466.62838192088 | 413.446565281105 |
42 | 5181 | 6541.63391544717 | 1335.58516391405 | 2484.78092063878 | 1360.63391544717 |
43 | 4479 | 5599.42188526991 | 855.644655373412 | 2502.93345935667 | 1120.42188526991 |
44 | 3782 | 4564.95179346357 | 513.670512482714 | 2485.37769405371 | 782.951793463571 |
45 | 3067 | 3468.88177262825 | 197.296298620998 | 2467.82192875076 | 401.881772628246 |
46 | 2489 | 2563.66266384952 | 36.0370429976616 | 2378.30029315282 | 74.6626638495195 |
47 | 1903 | 1726.04346096557 | -208.822118520455 | 2288.77865755488 | -176.956539034428 |
48 | 1330 | 984.790831637687 | -483.786012049963 | 2158.99518041228 | -345.209168362313 |
49 | 736 | 218.913510775702 | -776.12521404537 | 2029.21170326967 | -517.086489224298 |
50 | 483 | -37.2272560355632 | -927.54369208684 | 1930.77094812240 | -520.227256035563 |
51 | 242 | -270.768010691571 | -1077.56218228357 | 1832.33019297514 | -512.768010691571 |
52 | 1334 | 939.976079653544 | -69.3186064366488 | 1797.34252678310 | -394.023920346456 |
53 | 2423 | 2478.72008661092 | 604.92505279801 | 1762.35486059107 | 55.7200866109215 |
54 | 3523 | 3980.89283449462 | 1335.58516391405 | 1729.52200159133 | 457.892834494618 |
55 | 2986 | 3419.666202035 | 855.644655373412 | 1696.68914259159 | 433.666202035 |
56 | 2462 | 2738.30996893274 | 513.670512482714 | 1672.01951858455 | 276.309968932737 |
57 | 1908 | 1971.35380680149 | 197.296298620998 | 1647.34989457751 | 63.3538068014921 |
58 | 1575 | 1488.5635467202 | 36.0370429976616 | 1625.39941028214 | -86.4364532798013 |
59 | 1237 | 1079.37319253369 | -208.822118520455 | 1603.44892598677 | -157.626807466315 |
60 | 904 | 711.218987593426 | -483.786012049963 | 1580.56702445654 | -192.781012406574 |