Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 462 | 465.119535673915 | -2.84771620094581 | 461.728180527031 | 3.11953567391498 |
2 | 455 | 455.50241226746 | -7.33624724325024 | 461.833834975791 | 0.502412267459704 |
3 | 461 | 461.400372312312 | -1.33986173686214 | 461.93948942455 | 0.400372312311902 |
4 | 461 | 457.402548498711 | 2.51908870978463 | 462.078362791504 | -3.59745150128873 |
5 | 463 | 462.204727546749 | 1.57803629479271 | 462.217236158458 | -0.795272453250732 |
6 | 462 | 463.765846889886 | -2.14860256031235 | 462.382755670427 | 1.76584688988561 |
7 | 456 | 453.526961505097 | -4.07523668749243 | 462.548275182395 | -2.47303849490294 |
8 | 455 | 456.134942213054 | -8.8890104071117 | 462.754068194058 | 1.13494221305353 |
9 | 456 | 456.942925907069 | -7.90278711278955 | 462.959861205721 | 0.942925907068513 |
10 | 472 | 468.158441249063 | 12.5147555768886 | 463.326803174049 | -3.84155875093739 |
11 | 472 | 466.573957835248 | 13.7322970223757 | 463.693745142377 | -5.42604216475235 |
12 | 471 | 473.749639181854 | 4.19528406141069 | 464.055076756736 | 2.74963918185381 |
13 | 465 | 468.431307829851 | -2.84771620094581 | 464.416408371094 | 3.43130782985139 |
14 | 459 | 460.491530285341 | -7.33624724325024 | 464.844716957909 | 1.49153028534124 |
15 | 465 | 466.066836192139 | -1.33986173686214 | 465.273025544724 | 1.06683619213862 |
16 | 468 | 467.908861922388 | 2.51908870978463 | 465.572049367827 | -0.0911380776120154 |
17 | 467 | 466.550890514276 | 1.57803629479271 | 465.871073190931 | -0.449109485723966 |
18 | 463 | 462.510300264967 | -2.14860256031235 | 465.638302295346 | -0.489699735033412 |
19 | 460 | 458.669705287732 | -4.07523668749243 | 465.40553139976 | -1.33029471226774 |
20 | 462 | 468.611896383448 | -8.8890104071117 | 464.277114023664 | 6.61189638344774 |
21 | 461 | 466.754090465222 | -7.90278711278955 | 463.148696647568 | 5.7540904652218 |
22 | 476 | 478.377542599855 | 12.5147555768886 | 461.107701823256 | 2.37754259985536 |
23 | 476 | 479.20099597868 | 13.7322970223757 | 459.066706998944 | 3.20099597867994 |
24 | 471 | 481.731180725917 | 4.19528406141069 | 456.073535212672 | 10.7311807259168 |
25 | 453 | 455.767352774545 | -2.84771620094581 | 453.080363426401 | 2.7673527745452 |
26 | 443 | 444.092132355823 | -7.33624724325024 | 449.244114887427 | 1.09213235582337 |
27 | 442 | 439.931995388409 | -1.33986173686214 | 445.407866348453 | -2.06800461159099 |
28 | 444 | 444.201402449635 | 2.51908870978463 | 441.279508840581 | 0.201402449634827 |
29 | 438 | 437.270812372499 | 1.57803629479271 | 437.151151332708 | -0.729187627500664 |
30 | 427 | 422.832601529747 | -2.14860256031235 | 433.316001030565 | -4.16739847025269 |
31 | 424 | 422.59438595907 | -4.07523668749243 | 429.480850728422 | -1.40561404092966 |
32 | 416 | 414.609457183064 | -8.8890104071117 | 426.279553224047 | -1.39054281693558 |
33 | 406 | 396.824531393117 | -7.90278711278955 | 423.078255719672 | -9.17546860688287 |
34 | 431 | 429.050053172899 | 12.5147555768886 | 420.435191250213 | -1.94994682710114 |
35 | 434 | 436.475576196872 | 13.7322970223757 | 417.792126780753 | 2.4755761968716 |
36 | 418 | 416.326574187241 | 4.19528406141069 | 415.478141751348 | -1.67342581275864 |
37 | 412 | 413.683559479003 | -2.84771620094581 | 413.164156721943 | 1.68355947900255 |
38 | 404 | 404.240695200922 | -7.33624724325024 | 411.095552042329 | 0.240695200921721 |
39 | 409 | 410.312914374148 | -1.33986173686214 | 409.026947362714 | 1.31291437414836 |
40 | 412 | 414.232521310526 | 2.51908870978463 | 407.24838997969 | 2.23252131052556 |
41 | 406 | 404.952131108541 | 1.57803629479271 | 405.469832596666 | -1.04786889145856 |
42 | 398 | 394.125615458115 | -2.14860256031235 | 404.022987102198 | -3.87438454188549 |
43 | 397 | 395.499095079763 | -4.07523668749243 | 402.57614160773 | -1.50090492023742 |
44 | 385 | 376.960996158121 | -8.8890104071117 | 401.928014248991 | -8.03900384187915 |
45 | 390 | 386.622900222538 | -7.90278711278955 | 401.279886890252 | -3.37709977746226 |
46 | 413 | 411.532763231929 | 12.5147555768886 | 401.952481191182 | -1.46723676807079 |
47 | 413 | 409.642627485512 | 13.7322970223757 | 402.625075492113 | -3.35737251448825 |
48 | 401 | 392.993456451483 | 4.19528406141069 | 404.811259487106 | -8.0065435485169 |
49 | 397 | 389.850272718846 | -2.84771620094581 | 406.9974434821 | -7.14972728115418 |
50 | 397 | 391.055419104716 | -7.33624724325024 | 410.280828138534 | -5.94458089528405 |
51 | 409 | 405.775648941894 | -1.33986173686214 | 413.564212794969 | -3.22435105810649 |
52 | 419 | 418.055388127585 | 2.51908870978463 | 417.425523162631 | -0.944611872415464 |
53 | 424 | 425.135130174914 | 1.57803629479271 | 421.286833530293 | 1.13513017491425 |
54 | 428 | 433.163749025242 | -2.14860256031235 | 424.984853535071 | 5.16374902524154 |
55 | 430 | 435.392363147644 | -4.07523668749243 | 428.682873539849 | 5.39236314764389 |
56 | 424 | 424.500036076354 | -8.8890104071117 | 432.388974330758 | 0.500036076353979 |
57 | 433 | 437.807711991123 | -7.90278711278955 | 436.095075121667 | 4.80771199112257 |
58 | 456 | 459.703659001588 | 12.5147555768886 | 439.781585421523 | 3.70365900158828 |
59 | 459 | 460.799607256245 | 13.7322970223757 | 443.468095721379 | 1.79960725624494 |
60 | 446 | 440.732436060453 | 4.19528406141069 | 447.072279878136 | -5.26756393954668 |
61 | 441 | 434.171252166053 | -2.84771620094581 | 450.676464034893 | -6.82874783394692 |