| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5154 | -0.9998 | -0.85 | 0.5174 |
| (p-val) | (3e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.1424 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.4739 | -1 | -0.517 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (7e-04 ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -38.2805859241659 |
| 883.120045794566 |
| 1003.12716656182 |
| 272.056570592047 |
| 677.86849237094 |
| -21.6720284817277 |
| 159.988155390393 |
| 119.230257074147 |
| 91.0460893110392 |
| -257.040936295495 |
| -96.7657150106934 |
| 571.635507632527 |
| 220.42123870486 |
| 231.725704133527 |
| 219.884170059842 |
| 198.652255407997 |
| -162.826222508743 |
| -33.2053290162077 |
| 291.427945261585 |
| 15.4809150745457 |
| 124.57018427665 |
| 461.858718300451 |
| -264.675778556732 |
| 691.152771643306 |
| -697.11061068212 |
| 503.223537262268 |
| 71.9412042473392 |
| 281.978952489868 |
| -489.047725844433 |
| 193.024938432483 |
| -25.2282532343709 |
| 323.918668153512 |
| 245.052642115620 |
| 103.739164806159 |
| 174.964876280961 |
| 388.520041827701 |
| -707.577880882897 |
| -337.368449262241 |
| -168.984065625872 |
| -436.287003513428 |
| 141.682815039610 |
| -78.9095330075725 |
| -166.419858594946 |
| -498.695484595412 |
| 20.1475251612982 |
| -174.917243225816 |
| -105.314366177560 |
| -450.108165070894 |
| 629.782838475094 |
| 705.385884855403 |
| 850.24071995548 |
| -824.671035526421 |
| 265.407681682321 |
| -48.9285095677874 |
| -565.176403296623 |
| -330.504491458636 |
| -93.2311888497885 |
| 140.944527443265 |
| -232.602013030734 |
| -368.043483910164 |
