Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 58608 | NA | NA | 1.28959004955486 | NA |
2 | 46865 | NA | NA | 1.20769812338532 | NA |
3 | 51378 | NA | NA | 1.35205990824657 | NA |
4 | 46235 | NA | NA | 1.24280523930081 | NA |
5 | 47206 | NA | NA | 1.00455825076067 | NA |
6 | 45382 | NA | NA | 1.07775085933368 | NA |
7 | 41227 | 37171.8520969575 | 41557.125 | 0.894476027804076 | 1.10909189815093 |
8 | 33795 | 31004.7828093539 | 41727.9583333333 | 0.743021802353231 | 1.08999312163555 |
9 | 31295 | 34634.9384726887 | 42079.8333333333 | 0.823076892874783 | 0.903567362323383 |
10 | 42625 | 42995.4823422151 | 42426.9583333333 | 1.01340006522304 | 0.991383226282558 |
11 | 33625 | 33161.5347363842 | 42444.5 | 0.78129168058015 | 1.01397598957045 |
12 | 21538 | 23899.2301800709 | 41908.5416666667 | 0.570271100582818 | 0.901200575822737 |
13 | 56421 | 53344.5909277803 | 41365.5416666667 | 1.28959004955486 | 1.05767049702161 |
14 | 53152 | 49287.7203587641 | 40811.2916666667 | 1.20769812338532 | 1.07840248266927 |
15 | 53536 | 54798.5373945974 | 40529.6666666667 | 1.35205990824657 | 0.976960381524309 |
16 | 52408 | 50164.7460297929 | 40364.125 | 1.24280523930081 | 1.04471773800818 |
17 | 41454 | 40100.8352423338 | 39918.875 | 1.00455825076067 | 1.03374405419460 |
18 | 38271 | 42607.5779414685 | 39533.7916666667 | 1.07775085933368 | 0.898220500883063 |
19 | 35306 | 35026.0041062555 | 39158.125 | 0.894476027804076 | 1.00799394338261 |
20 | 26414 | 28627.3607157577 | 38528.2916666667 | 0.743021802353231 | 0.92268373121315 |
21 | 31917 | 31224.2450080978 | 37936 | 0.823076892874783 | 1.02218644491556 |
22 | 38030 | 37875.4474126866 | 37374.625 | 1.01340006522304 | 1.0040805481617 |
23 | 27534 | 28795.8070405824 | 36856.6666666667 | 0.78129168058015 | 0.95618087595864 |
24 | 18387 | 20974.6661246195 | 36780.1666666667 | 0.570271100582818 | 0.876628971863245 |
25 | 50556 | 47553.2569469043 | 36874.7083333333 | 1.28959004955486 | 1.06314484529311 |
26 | 43901 | 44674.2128859219 | 36991.2083333333 | 1.20769812338532 | 0.982692187819932 |
27 | 48572 | 50306.2056777892 | 37207.0833333333 | 1.35205990824657 | 0.965527002992498 |
28 | 43899 | 46610.685530254 | 37504.4166666667 | 1.24280523930081 | 0.941822663635918 |
29 | 37532 | 37982.5986008236 | 37810.25 | 1.00455825076067 | 0.9881367095085 |
30 | 40357 | 41236.6339421103 | 38261.75 | 1.07775085933368 | 0.978668628886025 |
31 | 35489 | 34409.3746945881 | 38468.75 | 0.894476027804076 | 1.03137590598476 |
32 | 29027 | 28679.3103234389 | 38598.2083333333 | 0.743021802353231 | 1.01212336254394 |
33 | 34485 | 32424.1882332976 | 39393.875 | 0.823076892874783 | 1.06355785230071 |
34 | 42598 | 40881.1075561327 | 40340.5416666667 | 1.01340006522304 | 1.04199720962819 |
35 | 30306 | 31900.9531635881 | 40831.0416666667 | 0.78129168058015 | 0.950002962124386 |
36 | 26451 | 23415.0462543802 | 41059.5 | 0.570271100582818 | 1.12965824250942 |
37 | 47460 | 52924.668167894 | 41039.9166666667 | 1.28959004955486 | 0.896746293230251 |
38 | 50104 | 49405.8734918353 | 40909.125 | 1.20769812338532 | 1.01413043548921 |
39 | 61465 | 55324.3196914168 | 40918.5416666667 | 1.35205990824657 | 1.11099423079821 |
40 | 53726 | 50640.3779515836 | 40746.8333333333 | 1.24280523930081 | 1.06093205013925 |
41 | 39477 | 40929.1353766798 | 40743.4166666667 | 1.00455825076067 | 0.964520741439674 |
42 | 43895 | 44002.8162414476 | 40828.375 | 1.07775085933368 | 0.997549787703224 |
43 | 31481 | 36617.8360072363 | 40937.75 | 0.894476027804076 | 0.85971765217854 |
44 | 29896 | 30401.2943096342 | 40915.75 | 0.743021802353231 | 0.9833791843042 |
45 | 33842 | 33215.3023068324 | 40355.0416666667 | 0.823076892874783 | 1.01886774015718 |
46 | 39120 | 40300.0492937355 | 39767.1666666667 | 1.01340006522304 | 0.970718415624398 |
47 | 33702 | 30975.5457217609 | 39646.5833333333 | 0.78129168058015 | 1.08801957204336 |
48 | 25094 | 22798.3931042833 | 39978.1666666667 | 0.570271100582818 | 1.10069160950143 |
49 | 51442 | 51929.2121154751 | 40268 | 1.28959004955486 | 0.990617764151867 |
50 | 45594 | 48870.5612986448 | 40465.875 | 1.20769812338532 | 0.932954293718423 |
51 | 52518 | 55010.0784344085 | 40686.125 | 1.35205990824657 | 0.954697784381821 |
52 | 48564 | 50550.2745717343 | 40674.3333333333 | 1.24280523930081 | 0.960706947913495 |
53 | 41745 | 40855.2584886551 | 40669.875 | 1.00455825076067 | 1.02177789455406 |
54 | 49585 | 43735.7585597619 | 40580.5833333333 | 1.07775085933368 | 1.13374048222453 |
55 | 32747 | NA | NA | 0.894476027804076 | NA |
56 | 33379 | NA | NA | 0.743021802353231 | NA |
57 | 35645 | NA | NA | 0.823076892874783 | NA |
58 | 37034 | NA | NA | 1.01340006522304 | NA |
59 | 35681 | NA | NA | 0.78129168058015 | NA |
60 | 20972 | NA | NA | 0.570271100582818 | NA |