Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 58608 | 62959.0557571491 | 12659.1389980966 | 41597.8052447543 | 4351.05575714909 |
2 | 46865 | 44374.9107039738 | 7700.92849814636 | 41654.1607978798 | -2490.08929602618 |
3 | 51378 | 47757.9686613807 | 13287.5149876140 | 41710.5163510053 | -3620.03133861929 |
4 | 46235 | 41954.4717016698 | 8768.60050415536 | 41746.9277941749 | -4280.52829833023 |
5 | 47206 | 51335.1781692178 | 1293.48259343775 | 41783.3392373444 | 4129.1781692178 |
6 | 45382 | 45617.9751518137 | 3329.37788235467 | 41816.6469658316 | 235.975151813698 |
7 | 41227 | 45501.9692566196 | -4897.92395093847 | 41849.9546943188 | 4274.96925661964 |
8 | 33795 | 35277.0634015509 | -9623.85483672325 | 41936.7914351724 | 1482.06340155088 |
9 | 31295 | 27233.7535425662 | -6667.38171859214 | 42023.6281760259 | -4061.24645743379 |
10 | 42625 | 43410.0818866608 | -239.487293941343 | 42079.4054072805 | 785.081886660824 |
11 | 33625 | 33082.8131024032 | -7967.99574093827 | 42135.1826385351 | -542.186897596832 |
12 | 21538 | 18899.6313709003 | -17642.3980451946 | 41818.7666742943 | -2638.36862909968 |
13 | 56421 | 58680.51029185 | 12659.1389980966 | 41502.3507100534 | 2259.51029185000 |
14 | 53152 | 57483.3171939071 | 7700.92849814636 | 41119.7543079465 | 4331.3171939071 |
15 | 53536 | 53047.3271065464 | 13287.5149876140 | 40737.1579058397 | -488.672893453637 |
16 | 52408 | 55699.972073744 | 8768.60050415536 | 40347.4274221006 | 3291.97207374402 |
17 | 41454 | 41656.8204682007 | 1293.48259343775 | 39957.6969383616 | 202.820468200669 |
18 | 38271 | 33755.2888362428 | 3329.37788235467 | 39457.3332814025 | -4515.71116375719 |
19 | 35306 | 36552.954326495 | -4897.92395093847 | 38956.9696244435 | 1246.95432649500 |
20 | 26414 | 24045.7743335144 | -9623.85483672325 | 38406.0805032088 | -2368.22566648555 |
21 | 31917 | 32646.190336618 | -6667.38171859214 | 37855.1913819741 | 729.190336618005 |
22 | 38030 | 38846.7775612977 | -239.487293941343 | 37452.7097326436 | 816.77756129772 |
23 | 27534 | 25985.7676576252 | -7967.99574093827 | 37050.2280833131 | -1548.23234237484 |
24 | 18387 | 17486.7685055575 | -17642.3980451946 | 36929.6295396371 | -900.231494442545 |
25 | 50556 | 51643.8300059423 | 12659.1389980966 | 36809.0309959611 | 1087.83000594228 |
26 | 43901 | 43155.7192650297 | 7700.92849814636 | 36945.3522368239 | -745.280734970285 |
27 | 48572 | 46774.8115346993 | 13287.5149876140 | 37081.6734776867 | -1797.18846530069 |
28 | 43899 | 41627.1094435948 | 8768.60050415536 | 37402.2900522498 | -2271.89055640517 |
29 | 37532 | 36047.6107797493 | 1293.48259343775 | 37722.9066268129 | -1484.38922025066 |
30 | 40357 | 39274.9111087641 | 3329.37788235467 | 38109.7110088813 | -1082.08889123594 |
31 | 35489 | 37379.4085599888 | -4897.92395093847 | 38496.5153909496 | 1890.40855998883 |
32 | 29027 | 28649.9373680031 | -9623.85483672325 | 39027.9174687201 | -377.062631996851 |
33 | 34485 | 36078.0621721016 | -6667.38171859214 | 39559.3195464906 | 1593.06217210157 |
34 | 42598 | 45318.3307580675 | -239.487293941343 | 40117.1565358739 | 2720.33075806747 |
35 | 30306 | 27905.0022156811 | -7967.99574093827 | 40674.9935252572 | -2400.99778431891 |
36 | 26451 | 29640.5227427886 | -17642.3980451946 | 40903.875302406 | 3189.52274278855 |
37 | 47460 | 41128.1039223485 | 12659.1389980966 | 41132.7570795549 | -6331.89607765145 |
38 | 50104 | 51436.5685046711 | 7700.92849814636 | 41070.5029971826 | 1332.56850467108 |
39 | 61465 | 68634.2360975758 | 13287.5149876140 | 41008.2489148103 | 7169.23609757576 |
40 | 53726 | 57746.2772937887 | 8768.60050415536 | 40937.122202056 | 4020.27729378868 |
41 | 39477 | 36794.5219172606 | 1293.48259343775 | 40865.9954893017 | -2682.47808273941 |
42 | 43895 | 43670.1762960607 | 3329.37788235467 | 40790.4458215847 | -224.823703939321 |
43 | 31481 | 27145.0277970708 | -4897.92395093847 | 40714.8961538677 | -4335.97220292918 |
44 | 29896 | 28935.723364075 | -9623.85483672325 | 40480.1314726482 | -960.276635924973 |
45 | 33842 | 34106.0149271633 | -6667.38171859214 | 40245.3667914288 | 264.014927163335 |
46 | 39120 | 38405.8940445726 | -239.487293941343 | 40073.5932493687 | -714.105955427374 |
47 | 33702 | 35470.1760336297 | -7967.99574093827 | 39901.8197073086 | 1768.17603362965 |
48 | 25094 | 27783.4331478126 | -17642.3980451946 | 40046.964897382 | 2689.43314781261 |
49 | 51442 | 50032.7509144481 | 12659.1389980966 | 40192.1100874553 | -1409.24908555191 |
50 | 45594 | 43124.6260455624 | 7700.92849814636 | 40362.4454562912 | -2469.37395443759 |
51 | 52518 | 51215.7041872589 | 13287.5149876140 | 40532.7808251271 | -1302.29581274110 |
52 | 48564 | 47779.5735873943 | 8768.60050415536 | 40579.8259084503 | -784.426412605695 |
53 | 41745 | 41569.6464147887 | 1293.48259343775 | 40626.8709917736 | -175.353585211305 |
54 | 49585 | 55178.6918011923 | 3329.37788235467 | 40661.930316453 | 5593.69180119233 |
55 | 32747 | 29694.9343098060 | -4897.92395093847 | 40696.9896411324 | -3052.06569019397 |
56 | 33379 | 35640.1289825633 | -9623.85483672325 | 40741.7258541600 | 2261.12898256329 |
57 | 35645 | 37170.9196514047 | -6667.38171859214 | 40786.4620671875 | 1525.91965140466 |
58 | 37034 | 33479.7931962969 | -239.487293941343 | 40827.6940976444 | -3554.20680370305 |
59 | 35681 | 38461.0696128370 | -7967.99574093827 | 40868.9261281013 | 2780.06961283696 |
60 | 20972 | 18685.8380104027 | -17642.3980451946 | 40900.5600347919 | -2286.16198959728 |