| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.199376799003901 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 0.684151704720979 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 56421 | 57234.381038922 | -813.381038922009 |
| 14 | 53152 | 54201.1357606105 | -1049.13576061049 |
| 15 | 53536 | 54461.1980064574 | -925.198006457373 |
| 16 | 52408 | 53057.4198218257 | -649.419821825708 |
| 17 | 41454 | 42097.387400011 | -643.387400011001 |
| 18 | 38271 | 38905.0556552769 | -634.05565527692 |
| 19 | 35306 | 39515.6186778861 | -4209.61867788613 |
| 20 | 26414 | 31391.1847454938 | -4977.18474549379 |
| 21 | 31917 | 27746.5052679411 | 4170.49473205891 |
| 22 | 38030 | 38378.6830845338 | -348.683084533761 |
| 23 | 27534 | 30028.7838410811 | -2494.7838410811 |
| 24 | 18387 | 19041.5831630339 | -654.583163033851 |
| 25 | 50556 | 49491.9561710655 | 1064.04382893450 |
| 26 | 43901 | 47033.0895712692 | -3132.08957126924 |
| 27 | 48572 | 46834.9487503428 | 1737.05124965725 |
| 28 | 43899 | 46207.4166924274 | -2308.41669242737 |
| 29 | 37532 | 36294.3735774642 | 1237.62642253582 |
| 30 | 40357 | 33827.798117882 | 6529.201882118 |
| 31 | 35489 | 33949.1238106013 | 1539.87618939874 |
| 32 | 29027 | 26905.0162816868 | 2121.98371831315 |
| 33 | 34485 | 29589.1074065604 | 4895.89259343959 |
| 34 | 42598 | 37817.4939242395 | 4780.50607576048 |
| 35 | 30306 | 29132.3782028329 | 1173.62179716713 |
| 36 | 26451 | 19482.3312014727 | 6968.66879852731 |
| 37 | 47460 | 56370.3845567696 | -8910.3845567696 |
| 38 | 50104 | 49197.7801417312 | 906.219858268814 |
| 39 | 61465 | 52820.0757512737 | 8644.92424872626 |
| 40 | 53726 | 50952.4212021446 | 2773.5787978554 |
| 41 | 39477 | 42841.3859745836 | -3364.38597458358 |
| 42 | 43895 | 42261.9970477072 | 1633.00295229285 |
| 43 | 31481 | 38295.1509791512 | -6814.15097915116 |
| 44 | 29896 | 29526.4138223395 | 369.586177660527 |
| 45 | 33842 | 33446.4831296276 | 395.51687037239 |
| 46 | 39120 | 40711.7028193735 | -1591.70281937352 |
| 47 | 33702 | 29050.3941651947 | 4651.6058348053 |
| 48 | 25094 | 23021.0513582380 | 2072.94864176204 |
| 49 | 51442 | 48708.4559282571 | 2733.54407174286 |
| 50 | 45594 | 49230.1589700954 | -3636.15897009538 |
| 51 | 52518 | 55820.2128373136 | -3302.21283731356 |
| 52 | 48564 | 48791.8887243184 | -227.888724318414 |
| 53 | 41745 | 37645.4239278865 | 4099.57607211349 |
| 54 | 49585 | 41142.8600356399 | 8442.13996436012 |
| 55 | 32747 | 33903.1120178406 | -1156.11201784058 |
| 56 | 33379 | 30150.2574978125 | 3228.74250218748 |
| 57 | 35645 | 34789.0996927706 | 855.900307229422 |
| 58 | 37034 | 41279.1139050477 | -4245.11390504766 |
| 59 | 35681 | 32249.7573672378 | 3431.24263276219 |
| 60 | 20972 | 24441.1266246407 | -3469.12662464072 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 48503.7594744825 | 43039.8199015168 | 53967.6990474481 |
| 62 | 45106.4897985651 | 39474.8359902228 | 50738.1436069073 |
| 63 | 52347.0844162315 | 46406.5790083298 | 58287.5898241332 |
| 64 | 47743.8478680854 | 41725.4341188792 | 53762.2616172915 |
| 65 | 39119.6034260896 | 33150.8106960551 | 45088.396156124 |
| 66 | 43795.6820918943 | 37480.9271901814 | 50110.4369936071 |
| 67 | 30688.7985670687 | 24697.6680381675 | 36679.92909597 |
| 68 | 29600.4552754024 | 23472.9665380691 | 35727.9440127356 |
| 69 | 32030.244022973 | 25588.5680250853 | 38471.9200208608 |
| 70 | 35152.0426999979 | 28322.2455426080 | 41981.8398573878 |
| 71 | 31430.7634576107 | 24709.7357751162 | 38151.7911401052 |
| 72 | 20288.1785769024 | 17574.9405207773 | 23001.4166330275 |
