| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 100 | NA | NA | -1.42050876881944 | NA |
| 2 | 96.21064363 | NA | NA | -10.9732316063194 | NA |
| 3 | 96.31280765 | NA | NA | -0.536441727152764 | NA |
| 4 | 107.1793443 | NA | NA | 6.62635893638889 | NA |
| 5 | 114.9066592 | NA | NA | 1.97867003034722 | NA |
| 6 | 92.56060184 | NA | NA | -0.440275969444461 | NA |
| 7 | 114.9995356 | 102.763765703264 | 106.186727968333 | -3.42296226506944 | 12.2357698967361 |
| 8 | 107.1236185 | 96.7884282700347 | 106.38912108375 | -9.60069281371528 | 10.3351902299653 |
| 9 | 117.7765394 | 115.110616394618 | 106.840345505417 | 8.27027088920138 | 2.66592300538193 |
| 10 | 107.3650971 | 103.925784695139 | 106.898780228333 | -2.97299553319446 | 3.43931240486113 |
| 11 | 106.2970187 | 114.096619179514 | 106.635243495 | 7.46137568451388 | -7.7996004795139 |
| 12 | 114.5072908 | 112.027120557431 | 106.996687414167 | 5.03043314326389 | 2.48017024256946 |
| 13 | 98.0031578 | 105.882670706181 | 107.303179475 | -1.42050876881944 | -7.87951290618055 |
| 14 | 103.0649206 | 96.302471939514 | 107.275703545833 | -10.9732316063194 | 6.7624486604861 |
| 15 | 100.2879168 | 107.536450760347 | 108.0728924875 | -0.536441727152764 | -7.24853396034722 |
| 16 | 104.6066685 | 115.020061923889 | 108.3937029875 | 6.62635893638889 | -10.4133934238889 |
| 17 | 111.1544534 | 110.779868138681 | 108.801198108333 | 1.97867003034722 | 0.374585261319439 |
| 18 | 104.9874617 | 109.049755301389 | 109.490031270833 | -0.440275969444461 | -4.06229360138889 |
| 19 | 109.9284852 | 106.329444784931 | 109.75240705 | -3.42296226506944 | 3.59904041506945 |
| 20 | 111.5352466 | 100.676078807118 | 110.276771620833 | -9.60069281371528 | 10.8591677928819 |
| 21 | 132.4974459 | 119.076824868368 | 110.806553979167 | 8.27027088920138 | 13.4206210316319 |
| 22 | 100.3436426 | 109.323837383472 | 112.296832916667 | -2.97299553319446 | -8.98019478347223 |
| 23 | 123.0983561 | 121.540274172014 | 114.0788984875 | 7.46137568451388 | 1.55808192798611 |
| 24 | 114.2379493 | 120.410374943264 | 115.3799418 | 5.03043314326389 | -6.17242564326389 |
| 25 | 104.569518 | 114.976042422847 | 116.396551191667 | -1.42050876881944 | -10.4065244228472 |
| 26 | 109.0833101 | 105.896215160347 | 116.869446766667 | -10.9732316063194 | 3.18709493965277 |
| 27 | 106.9843039 | 116.405371218681 | 116.941812945833 | -0.536441727152764 | -9.42106731868056 |
| 28 | 133.6769759 | 124.489582982222 | 117.863224045833 | 6.62635893638889 | 9.1873929177778 |
| 29 | 124.8537197 | 121.739668138681 | 119.760998108333 | 1.97867003034722 | 3.11405156131944 |
| 30 | 122.5132349 | 120.754114293056 | 121.1943902625 | -0.440275969444461 | 1.75912060694445 |
| 31 | 116.8013374 | 119.414565980764 | 122.837528245833 | -3.42296226506944 | -2.61322858076387 |
| 32 | 116.0118882 | 114.282081711285 | 123.882774525 | -9.60069281371528 | 1.72980648871527 |
| 33 | 129.7575926 | 133.058977118368 | 124.788706229167 | 8.27027088920138 | -3.30138451836804 |
| 34 | 125.1973623 | 123.165127120972 | 126.138122654167 | -2.97299553319446 | 2.03223517902779 |
| 35 | 143.7912139 | 134.309228688681 | 126.847853004167 | 7.46137568451388 | 9.48198521131945 |
| 36 | 127.9465032 | 131.967292680764 | 126.9368595375 | 5.03043314326389 | -4.02078948076390 |
| 37 | 130.2962757 | 125.402190218681 | 126.8226989875 | -1.42050876881944 | 4.89408548131944 |
| 38 | 108.4424631 | 115.472931052014 | 126.446162658333 | -10.9732316063194 | -7.0304679520139 |
| 39 | 129.3675118 | 125.646184197847 | 126.182625925 | -0.536441727152764 | 3.72132760215277 |
| 40 | 143.6797622 | 133.645259282222 | 127.018900345833 | 6.62635893638889 | 10.0345029177778 |
| 41 | 131.8844618 | 129.631451680347 | 127.65278165 | 1.97867003034722 | 2.2530101196528 |
| 42 | 117.6186496 | 128.274779293056 | 128.7150552625 | -0.440275969444461 | -10.6561296930556 |
| 43 | 118.9560695 | 127.312154293264 | 130.735116558333 | -3.42296226506944 | -8.35608479326388 |
| 44 | 104.8202842 | 122.878951773785 | 132.4796445875 | -9.60069281371528 | -18.0586675737847 |
| 45 | 134.624315 | 142.543977580868 | 134.273706691667 | 8.27027088920138 | -7.91966258086805 |
| 46 | 140.401226 | 132.027081862639 | 135.000077395833 | -2.97299553319446 | 8.3741441373611 |
| 47 | 143.8005015 | 142.175471222014 | 134.7140955375 | 7.46137568451388 | 1.62503027798613 |
| 48 | 153.4317823 | 140.853240480764 | 135.8228073375 | 5.03043314326389 | 12.5785418192361 |
| 49 | 153.2924677 | 135.035018914514 | 136.455527683333 | -1.42050876881944 | 18.2574487854861 |
| 50 | 127.3149438 | 125.368522510347 | 136.341754116667 | -10.9732316063194 | 1.94642128965279 |
| 51 | 153.5525216 | 135.738750985347 | 136.2751927125 | -0.536441727152764 | 17.8137706146528 |
| 52 | 136.9276493 | 140.870654773889 | 134.2442958375 | 6.62635893638889 | -3.94300547388889 |
| 53 | 131.7730101 | 132.649160104514 | 130.670490074167 | 1.97867003034722 | -0.876150004513875 |
| 54 | 144.3391845 | 126.514384874722 | 126.954660844167 | -0.440275969444461 | 17.8247996252778 |
| 55 | 107.4208229 | NA | NA | -3.42296226506944 | NA |
| 56 | 113.6249652 | NA | NA | -9.60069281371528 | NA |
| 57 | 124.2221603 | NA | NA | 8.27027088920138 | NA |
| 58 | 102.0618557 | NA | NA | -2.97299553319446 | NA |
| 59 | 96.36853348 | NA | NA | 7.46137568451388 | NA |
| 60 | 111.6838488 | NA | NA | 5.03043314326389 | NA |
