Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 100 | 98.1874632812171 | -1.22827288696546 | 103.040809605748 | -1.81253671878287 |
2 | 96.21064363 | 98.630586043644 | -9.83925378432986 | 103.629955000686 | 2.41994241364404 |
3 | 96.31280765 | 89.9699777164132 | -1.56346281203655 | 104.219100395623 | -6.34282993358678 |
4 | 107.1793443 | 103.1411109765 | 6.51743637118031 | 104.700141252320 | -4.03823332350005 |
5 | 114.9066592 | 120.246502209291 | 4.38563408169314 | 105.181182109016 | 5.33984300929072 |
6 | 92.56060184 | 81.705020909012 | -2.14583051444291 | 105.562013285431 | -10.8555809309881 |
7 | 114.9995356 | 129.005460066352 | -4.94923332819754 | 105.942844461846 | 14.0059244663518 |
8 | 107.1236185 | 115.896881448223 | -7.96658501707058 | 106.316940568848 | 8.77326294822275 |
9 | 117.7765394 | 119.695513069621 | 9.1665290545296 | 106.69103667585 | 1.91897366962053 |
10 | 107.3650971 | 111.242463468923 | -3.36348626690186 | 106.851216997979 | 3.87736636892298 |
11 | 106.2970187 | 101.177073600707 | 4.40556647918489 | 107.011397320108 | -5.11994509929279 |
12 | 114.5072908 | 115.523035605565 | 6.58094976092526 | 106.91059623351 | 1.01574480556481 |
13 | 98.0031578 | 90.4247933400535 | -1.22827288696546 | 106.809795146912 | -7.57836445994654 |
14 | 103.0649206 | 108.871621033629 | -9.83925378432986 | 107.097473950701 | 5.80670043362893 |
15 | 100.2879168 | 94.7541436575467 | -1.56346281203655 | 107.385152754490 | -5.53377314245328 |
16 | 104.6066685 | 94.6289441065743 | 6.51743637118031 | 108.066956522245 | -9.97772439342567 |
17 | 111.1544534 | 109.174512428306 | 4.38563408169314 | 108.748760290001 | -1.97994097169403 |
18 | 104.9874617 | 102.684860076734 | -2.14583051444291 | 109.435893837709 | -2.30260162326589 |
19 | 109.9284852 | 114.683176342781 | -4.94923332819754 | 110.123027385417 | 4.75469114278083 |
20 | 111.5352466 | 120.145683324927 | -7.96658501707058 | 110.891394892144 | 8.61043672492706 |
21 | 132.4974459 | 144.1686003466 | 9.1665290545296 | 111.659762398870 | 11.6711544466001 |
22 | 100.3436426 | 91.3423078996572 | -3.36348626690186 | 112.708463567245 | -9.00133470034282 |
23 | 123.0983561 | 128.033980985196 | 4.40556647918489 | 113.757164735619 | 4.93562488519606 |
24 | 114.2379493 | 107.207698137868 | 6.58094976092526 | 114.687250701207 | -7.03025116213203 |
25 | 104.569518 | 94.749972220171 | -1.22827288696546 | 115.617336666795 | -9.81954577982904 |
26 | 109.0833101 | 111.602463429372 | -9.83925378432986 | 116.403410554958 | 2.51915332937182 |
27 | 106.9843039 | 98.342586168915 | -1.56346281203655 | 117.189484443122 | -8.64171773108502 |
28 | 133.6769759 | 142.364885839931 | 6.51743637118031 | 118.471629588888 | 8.68790993993129 |
29 | 124.8537197 | 125.568030583652 | 4.38563408169314 | 119.753774734655 | 0.71431088365162 |
30 | 122.5132349 | 125.911131716708 | -2.14583051444291 | 121.261168597734 | 3.39789681670845 |
31 | 116.8013374 | 115.783345667384 | -4.94923332819754 | 122.768562460814 | -1.01799173261614 |
32 | 116.0118882 | 116.055200519008 | -7.96658501707058 | 123.935160898062 | 0.0433123190083364 |
33 | 129.7575926 | 125.246896810160 | 9.1665290545296 | 125.101759335311 | -4.5106957898404 |
34 | 125.1973623 | 127.911404397113 | -3.36348626690186 | 125.846806469789 | 2.71404209711258 |
35 | 143.7912139 | 156.585007716547 | 4.40556647918489 | 126.591853604268 | 12.7937938165474 |
36 | 127.9465032 | 122.487983847767 | 6.58094976092526 | 126.824072791308 | -5.45851935223307 |
37 | 130.2962757 | 134.764532308618 | -1.22827288696546 | 127.056291978348 | 4.46825660861754 |
38 | 108.4424631 | 99.7896090805199 | -9.83925378432986 | 126.93457090381 | -8.6528540194801 |
39 | 129.3675118 | 133.485636582765 | -1.56346281203655 | 126.812849829272 | 4.11812478276454 |
40 | 143.6797622 | 153.709496546585 | 6.51743637118031 | 127.132591482235 | 10.0297343465851 |
41 | 131.8844618 | 131.930956383110 | 4.38563408169314 | 127.452333135197 | 0.0464945831096912 |
42 | 117.6186496 | 108.706608844477 | -2.14583051444291 | 128.676520869966 | -8.91204075552338 |
43 | 118.9560695 | 112.960663723462 | -4.94923332819754 | 129.900708604735 | -5.99540577653786 |
44 | 104.8202842 | 86.0557232806419 | -7.96658501707058 | 131.551430136429 | -18.7645609193581 |
45 | 134.624315 | 126.879949277348 | 9.1665290545296 | 133.202151668122 | -7.74436572265154 |
46 | 140.401226 | 149.666649281305 | -3.36348626690186 | 134.499288985597 | 9.26542328130472 |
47 | 143.8005015 | 147.399010217743 | 4.40556647918489 | 135.796426303072 | 3.59850871774273 |
48 | 153.4317823 | 163.681435558471 | 6.58094976092526 | 136.601179280604 | 10.2496532584711 |
49 | 153.2924677 | 170.407276028831 | -1.22827288696546 | 137.405932258135 | 17.1148083288306 |
50 | 127.3149438 | 127.585662220552 | -9.83925378432986 | 136.883479163778 | 0.270718420551560 |
51 | 153.5525216 | 172.307479942615 | -1.56346281203655 | 136.361026069422 | 18.7549583426149 |
52 | 136.9276493 | 134.588881671533 | 6.51743637118031 | 132.748980557287 | -2.33876762846734 |
53 | 131.7730101 | 130.023451073154 | 4.38563408169314 | 129.136935045152 | -1.74955902684552 |
54 | 144.3391845 | 165.440826143392 | -2.14583051444291 | 125.383373371051 | 21.1016416433922 |
55 | 107.4208229 | 98.1610674312486 | -4.94923332819754 | 121.629811696949 | -9.25975546875138 |
56 | 113.6249652 | 117.530294181302 | -7.96658501707058 | 117.686221235769 | 3.90532898130171 |
57 | 124.2221603 | 125.535160770882 | 9.1665290545296 | 113.742630774589 | 1.31300047088159 |
58 | 102.0618557 | 97.9037301976577 | -3.36348626690186 | 109.583467469244 | -4.15812550234233 |
59 | 96.36853348 | 82.9071963169155 | 4.40556647918489 | 105.424304163900 | -13.4613371630845 |
60 | 111.6838488 | 115.670384134192 | 6.58094976092526 | 101.116363704883 | 3.98653533419166 |