Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 721 | 0 | 73 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 12008 | 13089.8327636618 | 1824.18087723364 | 9101.98635910453 | 1081.83276366183 |
2 | 9169 | 9132.57794473772 | 170.523260235169 | 9034.89879502711 | -36.4220552622846 |
3 | 8788 | 8036.15648628768 | 572.032282762622 | 8967.8112309497 | -751.843513712322 |
4 | 8417 | 8046.50490338547 | -114.669856105673 | 8902.1649527202 | -370.495096614528 |
5 | 8247 | 7927.68718403523 | -270.205858525936 | 8836.5186744907 | -319.312815964766 |
6 | 8197 | 8181.78070360924 | -558.206063465878 | 8770.42535985664 | -15.2192963907637 |
7 | 8236 | 8274.87393290955 | -507.205978132128 | 8704.33204522258 | 38.8739329095479 |
8 | 8253 | 8405.5165675429 | -546.346877737632 | 8646.83031019473 | 152.516567542896 |
9 | 7733 | 7757.4926532423 | -880.821228409182 | 8589.32857516689 | 24.4926532422942 |
10 | 8366 | 8432.22191453151 | -282.052832753788 | 8581.83091822228 | 66.2219145315103 |
11 | 8626 | 8986.45118388397 | -308.784445161633 | 8574.33326127766 | 360.451183883968 |
12 | 8863 | 8238.44968383876 | 901.55679708195 | 8585.99351907929 | -624.55031616124 |
13 | 10102 | 9782.16534588545 | 1824.18087723364 | 8597.65377688091 | -319.834654114547 |
14 | 8463 | 8149.61642297916 | 170.523260235169 | 8605.86031678567 | -313.383577020837 |
15 | 9114 | 9041.90086054696 | 572.032282762622 | 8614.06685669042 | -72.0991394530447 |
16 | 8563 | 8619.82702916182 | -114.669856105673 | 8620.84282694386 | 56.8270291618155 |
17 | 8872 | 9386.58706132864 | -270.205858525936 | 8627.6187971973 | 514.587061328644 |
18 | 8301 | 8507.67613028849 | -558.206063465878 | 8652.52993317739 | 206.676130288488 |
19 | 8301 | 8431.76490897464 | -507.205978132128 | 8677.44106915748 | 130.764908974643 |
20 | 8278 | 8399.83024054936 | -546.346877737632 | 8702.51663718827 | 121.830240549361 |
21 | 7736 | 7625.22902319013 | -880.821228409182 | 8727.59220521905 | -110.770976809872 |
22 | 7973 | 7499.11645520755 | -282.052832753788 | 8728.93637754624 | -473.88354479245 |
23 | 8268 | 8114.50389528821 | -308.784445161633 | 8730.28054987342 | -153.496104711789 |
24 | 9476 | 9324.33110364875 | 901.55679708195 | 8726.1120992693 | -151.668896351246 |
25 | 11100 | 11653.8754741012 | 1824.18087723364 | 8721.94364866517 | 553.875474101196 |
26 | 8962 | 9019.7513432616 | 170.523260235169 | 8733.72539650323 | 57.7513432616015 |
27 | 9173 | 9028.46057289609 | 572.032282762622 | 8745.50714434129 | -144.539427103913 |
28 | 8738 | 8831.08621197418 | -114.669856105673 | 8759.5836441315 | 93.086211974176 |
29 | 8459 | 8414.54571460423 | -270.205858525936 | 8773.6601439217 | -44.4542853957664 |
30 | 8078 | 7950.07750905215 | -558.206063465878 | 8764.12855441373 | -127.922490947854 |
31 | 8411 | 8574.60901322637 | -507.205978132128 | 8754.59696490576 | 163.609013226365 |
32 | 8291 | 8387.21126912956 | -546.346877737632 | 8741.13560860807 | 96.2112691295606 |
33 | 7810 | 7773.1469760988 | -880.821228409182 | 8727.67425231038 | -36.8530239011943 |
34 | 8616 | 8781.15914213799 | -282.052832753788 | 8732.8936906158 | 165.159142137985 |
35 | 8312 | 8194.6713162404 | -308.784445161633 | 8738.11312892122 | -117.328683759592 |
36 | 9692 | 9732.96396027728 | 901.55679708195 | 8749.47924264077 | 40.9639602772804 |
37 | 9911 | 9236.97376640605 | 1824.18087723364 | 8760.84535636031 | -674.026233593949 |
38 | 8915 | 8879.84144890398 | 170.523260235169 | 8779.63529086085 | -35.1585510960194 |
39 | 9452 | 9533.5424918760 | 572.032282762622 | 8798.42522536139 | 81.542491875989 |
40 | 9112 | 9507.8336409876 | -114.669856105673 | 8830.83621511808 | 395.833640987592 |
41 | 8472 | 8350.95865365117 | -270.205858525936 | 8863.24720487477 | -121.041346348835 |
42 | 8230 | 8123.29570748269 | -558.206063465878 | 8894.91035598319 | -106.70429251731 |
43 | 8384 | 8348.63247104052 | -507.205978132128 | 8926.5735070916 | -35.3675289594757 |
44 | 8625 | 8874.58650376007 | -546.346877737632 | 8921.76037397756 | 249.586503760074 |
45 | 8221 | 8405.87398754567 | -880.821228409182 | 8916.94724086351 | 184.873987545672 |
46 | 8649 | 8704.11490954909 | -282.052832753788 | 8875.9379232047 | 55.1149095490891 |
47 | 8625 | 8723.85583961575 | -308.784445161633 | 8834.92860554589 | 98.8558396157478 |
48 | 10443 | 11196.4173020655 | 901.55679708195 | 8788.02590085257 | 753.417302065482 |
49 | 10357 | 10148.6959266071 | 1824.18087723364 | 8741.12319615925 | -208.304073392888 |
50 | 8586 | 8309.24849860735 | 170.523260235169 | 8692.22824115748 | -276.751501392648 |
51 | 8892 | 8568.63443108168 | 572.032282762622 | 8643.3332861557 | -323.365568918323 |
52 | 8329 | 8171.49002147772 | -114.669856105673 | 8601.17983462795 | -157.509978522277 |
53 | 8101 | 7913.17947542574 | -270.205858525936 | 8559.0263831002 | -187.820524574265 |
54 | 7922 | 7864.13979897242 | -558.206063465878 | 8538.06626449346 | -57.860201027579 |
55 | 8120 | 8230.09983224541 | -507.205978132128 | 8517.10614588671 | 110.099832245414 |
56 | 7838 | 7673.49300873033 | -546.346877737632 | 8548.8538690073 | -164.506991269665 |
57 | 7735 | 7770.2196362813 | -880.821228409182 | 8580.60159212788 | 35.2196362813011 |
58 | 8406 | 8465.8168733208 | -282.052832753788 | 8628.23595943299 | 59.8168733207967 |
59 | 8209 | 8050.91411842353 | -308.784445161633 | 8675.8703267381 | -158.085881576468 |
60 | 9451 | 9307.63942777112 | 901.55679708195 | 8692.80377514693 | -143.360572228879 |
61 | 10041 | 9548.0818992106 | 1824.18087723364 | 8709.73722355576 | -492.918100789393 |
62 | 9411 | 9956.36556694057 | 170.523260235169 | 8695.11117282426 | 545.365566940569 |
63 | 10405 | 11557.4825951446 | 572.032282762622 | 8680.48512209276 | 1152.48259514461 |
64 | 8467 | 8402.52864676033 | -114.669856105673 | 8646.14120934535 | -64.4713532396745 |
65 | 8464 | 8586.40856192801 | -270.205858525936 | 8611.79729659793 | 122.408561928007 |
66 | 8102 | 8183.21637778241 | -558.206063465878 | 8578.98968568346 | 81.2163777824135 |
67 | 7627 | 7215.02390336313 | -507.205978132128 | 8546.182074769 | -411.976096636869 |
68 | 7513 | 7065.97265933913 | -546.346877737632 | 8506.3742183985 | -447.02734066087 |
69 | 7510 | 7434.25486638118 | -880.821228409182 | 8466.566362028 | -75.7451336188224 |
70 | 8291 | 8441.68389842405 | -282.052832753788 | 8422.36893432974 | 150.683898424046 |
71 | 8064 | 8058.61293853015 | -308.784445161633 | 8378.17150663148 | -5.38706146984623 |
72 | 9383 | 9531.44872090314 | 901.55679708195 | 8332.99448201491 | 148.448720903143 |