| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 12008 | 12008 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 9169 | 9388.89187389219 | -142.267203920301 | -219.891873892190 | -3.66385078260992 |
| 3 | 8788 | 8928.99339069425 | -148.056579919683 | -140.993390694249 | -0.722911170744540 |
| 4 | 8417 | 8577.3297007661 | -149.799458812119 | -160.329700766098 | -0.467289399940227 |
| 5 | 8247 | 8389.36906915085 | -150.171333053023 | -142.369069150852 | -0.0874665006930955 |
| 6 | 8197 | 8329.19439861759 | -149.137135318066 | -132.194398617591 | 0.206089528795015 |
| 7 | 8236 | 8360.96198754883 | -146.813586532851 | -124.961987548830 | 0.41392900734709 |
| 8 | 8253 | 8383.2965189313 | -144.432430028789 | -130.296518931304 | 0.386718887093018 |
| 9 | 7733 | 7930.66895588783 | -149.140299301582 | -197.668955887832 | -0.704062661676525 |
| 10 | 8366 | 8407.3791195413 | -138.851646211607 | -41.379119541296 | 1.42863347237353 |
| 11 | 8626 | 8733.47106523327 | -130.685260314494 | -107.471065233271 | 1.06053131835543 |
| 12 | 8863 | 8974.04803516124 | -123.761885758681 | -111.048035161243 | 0.846224807480347 |
| 13 | 10102 | 8665.55589346594 | -120.111824451223 | 1436.44410653406 | -0.490615788453608 |
| 14 | 8463 | 8627.57214717709 | -117.349491576919 | -164.572147177090 | 0.165819693271633 |
| 15 | 9114 | 9088.71900432842 | -100.673707929885 | 25.2809956715764 | 1.28998246343461 |
| 16 | 8563 | 8771.40038656781 | -105.519165425684 | -208.400386567813 | -0.492000874706544 |
| 17 | 8872 | 8931.3674104351 | -99.7601543957376 | -59.3674104351058 | 0.602130349631512 |
| 18 | 8301 | 8514.20870383302 | -106.98177739346 | -213.208703833020 | -0.719305695704975 |
| 19 | 8301 | 8407.99035886114 | -106.963617146731 | -106.990358861139 | 0.00172906624957253 |
| 20 | 8278 | 8324.27033547651 | -106.390963267445 | -46.2703354765082 | 0.0526131346914988 |
| 21 | 7736 | 8018.04378824652 | -111.471055638895 | -282.043788246520 | -0.452096222166425 |
| 22 | 7973 | 8011.0079475362 | -108.728664000288 | -38.007947536193 | 0.236179881216291 |
| 23 | 8268 | 8322.92037226898 | -97.385584640251 | -54.9203722689791 | 0.95095469916207 |
| 24 | 9476 | 9346.9105825418 | -69.1206623408951 | 129.089417458195 | 2.53041039435348 |
| 25 | 11100 | 9661.95994966065 | -62.8546682630511 | 1438.04005033935 | 0.9170713418778 |
| 26 | 8962 | 9318.00853468992 | -72.2196725848506 | -356.008534689924 | -0.605346919005672 |
| 27 | 9173 | 9137.04228679038 | -75.945557636045 | 35.9577132096195 | -0.240653722603108 |
| 28 | 8738 | 9012.53935390992 | -77.4561619906584 | -274.539353909923 | -0.109458120248236 |
| 29 | 8459 | 8558.46490641278 | -88.7465262007022 | -99.4649064127828 | -0.848507729440133 |
| 30 | 8078 | 8317.6489566293 | -93.3469080741954 | -239.648956629305 | -0.342359596871604 |
| 31 | 8411 | 8463.13926176181 | -85.9884829484922 | -52.1392617618071 | 0.537526130308832 |
| 32 | 8291 | 8322.96406482126 | -87.6849064919641 | -31.9640648212641 | -0.121919195057910 |
| 33 | 7810 | 8119.73792109858 | -91.3551816504363 | -309.737921098577 | -0.259917963357657 |
| 34 | 8616 | 8581.59882854004 | -73.5410958172799 | 34.4011714599572 | 1.24442028134611 |
| 35 | 8312 | 8583.75365550529 | -71.1028740098202 | -271.753655505287 | 0.170138674147751 |
| 36 | 9692 | 9426.61851386154 | -43.0361381812555 | 265.381486138463 | 2.05459010125163 |
| 37 | 9911 | 8653.41820958264 | -63.9205859990319 | 1257.58179041736 | -1.68417676388808 |
| 38 | 8915 | 9118.26991304246 | -45.4556964029372 | -203.269913042461 | 1.16317317278305 |
| 39 | 9452 | 9358.7359633396 | -35.0714066857831 | 93.2640366604013 | 0.632355164329172 |
| 40 | 9112 | 9320.67113704642 | -35.1762182128944 | -208.671137046421 | -0.0067183005476785 |
| 41 | 8472 | 8684.02278423839 | -55.7079706096739 | -212.022784238391 | -1.35048000077100 |
| 42 | 8230 | 8505.36939312431 | -59.893582432723 | -275.369393124314 | -0.275819163036141 |
| 43 | 8384 | 8401.97636331256 | -61.3841490454277 | -17.9763633125611 | -0.0975693135988474 |
| 44 | 8625 | 8557.48336768916 | -53.894729120801 | 67.516632310838 | 0.48647364380057 |
| 45 | 8221 | 8600.15875750428 | -50.536598758424 | -379.158757504278 | 0.216610905850307 |
| 46 | 8649 | 8616.97990627379 | -48.1843771103339 | 32.0200937262141 | 0.151071277538892 |
| 47 | 8625 | 8967.66725386497 | -34.3435875179660 | -342.667253864975 | 0.893628842527756 |
| 48 | 10443 | 9844.35587197534 | -3.50141250389114 | 598.644128024657 | 2.04492958615987 |
| 49 | 10357 | 9384.05146324699 | -18.7906917118122 | 972.94853675301 | -1.03874933142919 |
| 50 | 8586 | 8948.49316683246 | -33.7969884700164 | -362.493166832463 | -0.924423479886598 |
| 51 | 8892 | 8805.33235151454 | -37.8377525385063 | 86.6676484854634 | -0.242260994363088 |
| 52 | 8329 | 8479.93846257643 | -48.3220563267916 | -150.938462576429 | -0.643842691458393 |
| 53 | 8101 | 8301.40150270439 | -52.9996655068539 | -200.401502704386 | -0.291901610103104 |
| 54 | 7922 | 8191.26148582335 | -55.0425831732391 | -269.26148582335 | -0.127977612445619 |
| 55 | 8120 | 8162.71302475495 | -54.0938132245838 | -42.7130247549492 | 0.0593262704475487 |
| 56 | 7838 | 7842.72929752526 | -63.6488662587655 | -4.7292975252641 | -0.59543939044256 |
| 57 | 7735 | 8046.13160930995 | -54.0221437774254 | -311.131609309950 | 0.598105136908483 |
| 58 | 8406 | 8385.11286867014 | -39.8487485456019 | 20.8871313298633 | 0.879948595988164 |
| 59 | 8209 | 8678.07922050442 | -27.9161924609225 | -469.07922050442 | 0.744474207562555 |
| 60 | 9451 | 8757.61648712134 | -24.108323809053 | 693.38351287866 | 0.241013864461902 |
| 61 | 10041 | 8938.58564728828 | -16.8378455247316 | 1102.41435271172 | 0.463214322977008 |
| 62 | 9411 | 9597.38269442165 | 7.85222950915386 | -186.382694421654 | 1.50404381469909 |
| 63 | 10405 | 10160.2066889938 | 28.4300790146273 | 244.793311006216 | 1.23166513306803 |
| 64 | 8467 | 8935.01565940254 | -17.8451539640008 | -468.015659402537 | -2.80328752306328 |
| 65 | 8464 | 8675.48643981995 | -26.6952648094470 | -211.486439819950 | -0.541349303893581 |
| 66 | 8102 | 8408.07059718626 | -35.4757937121427 | -306.070597186256 | -0.538760069718842 |
| 67 | 7627 | 7744.84866308833 | -58.3701885985506 | -117.848663088333 | -1.40452386271733 |
| 68 | 7513 | 7563.58552269625 | -62.858406708887 | -50.5855226962466 | -0.274983567620467 |
| 69 | 7510 | 7805.0947013321 | -51.729569658535 | -295.094701332104 | 0.681087404233371 |
| 70 | 8291 | 8218.66335305533 | -34.7285789274771 | 72.3366469446704 | 1.04076132430908 |
| 71 | 8064 | 8492.0031661567 | -23.5174066830719 | -428.003166156696 | 0.688663990943668 |
| 72 | 9383 | 8702.99372492693 | -15.0284324160277 | 680.006275073066 | 0.525732422054486 |
