Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 267413 | NA | NA | 1.00909178270324 | NA |
2 | 267366 | NA | NA | 1.00381811265289 | NA |
3 | 264777 | NA | NA | 0.9850804341603 | NA |
4 | 258863 | NA | NA | 0.980553315593723 | NA |
5 | 254844 | NA | NA | 0.960661796720184 | NA |
6 | 254868 | NA | NA | 0.94880601025182 | NA |
7 | 277267 | 280212.796606069 | 271654.375 | 1.03150481786303 | 0.98948728736964 |
8 | 285351 | 283235.217376375 | 272464.875 | 1.03952928749577 | 1.00747005490074 |
9 | 286602 | 282753.520226277 | 273298.083333333 | 1.03459752361824 | 1.0136107227618 |
10 | 283042 | 277561.719158669 | 274195.875 | 1.01227532747773 | 1.01974436841630 |
11 | 276687 | 272966.827150513 | 275178.5 | 0.991962770167411 | 1.01362866282442 |
12 | 277915 | 276697.741819751 | 276112.708333333 | 1.00211882129565 | 1.00439923424110 |
13 | 277128 | 279468.894220464 | 276950.916666667 | 1.00909178270324 | 0.99162377542233 |
14 | 277103 | 278670.322685362 | 277610.375 | 1.00381811265289 | 0.994375710085456 |
15 | 275037 | 273941.920926036 | 278090.916666667 | 0.9850804341603 | 1.00399748629294 |
16 | 270150 | 273125.935334317 | 278542.666666667 | 0.980553315593723 | 0.989104164235906 |
17 | 267140 | 267982.932551924 | 278956.583333333 | 0.960661796720184 | 0.996854528966092 |
18 | 264993 | 265052.477452801 | 279353.708333333 | 0.94880601025182 | 0.999775601219154 |
19 | 287259 | 288490.064037644 | 279678.833333333 | 1.03150481786303 | 0.995732733320469 |
20 | 291186 | 291010.116799877 | 279944.125 | 1.03952928749577 | 1.00060438861046 |
21 | 292300 | 289849.522883164 | 280156.791666667 | 1.03459752361824 | 1.00845430791971 |
22 | 288186 | 283885.360951284 | 280442.833333333 | 1.01227532747773 | 1.01514921035134 |
23 | 281477 | 278696.321447436 | 280954.416666667 | 0.991962770167411 | 1.00997744978521 |
24 | 282656 | 282114.653353314 | 281518.166666667 | 1.00211882129565 | 1.00191888879309 |
25 | 280190 | 284450.233760287 | 281887.375 | 1.00909178270324 | 0.98502292051594 |
26 | 280408 | 283050.775800206 | 281974.166666667 | 1.00381811265289 | 0.990663244809224 |
27 | 276836 | 277748.353813667 | 281955 | 0.9850804341603 | 0.996715178321887 |
28 | 275216 | 276076.420260939 | 281551.666666667 | 0.980553315593723 | 0.996883398226746 |
29 | 274352 | 269622.101770152 | 280662.875 | 0.960661796720184 | 1.01754269475238 |
30 | 271311 | 265170.050330904 | 279477.625 | 0.94880601025182 | 1.02315853416113 |
31 | 289802 | 287081.200373912 | 278313 | 1.03150481786303 | 1.00947745663089 |
32 | 290726 | 288128.238418897 | 277171.833333333 | 1.03952928749577 | 1.00901599091904 |
33 | 292300 | 285128.783707584 | 275593.916666667 | 1.03459752361824 | 1.02515079747182 |
34 | 278506 | 277142.131035429 | 273781.375 | 1.01227532747773 | 1.00492118956968 |
35 | 269826 | 269507.811639157 | 271691.458333333 | 0.991962770167411 | 1.00118062760002 |
36 | 265861 | 269585.036465801 | 269015.041666667 | 1.00211882129565 | 0.986186041648963 |
37 | 269034 | 268636.041660199 | 266215.666666667 | 1.00909178270324 | 1.00148140337887 |
38 | 264176 | 264681.615376487 | 263674.875 | 1.00381811265289 | 0.998089722341431 |
39 | 255198 | 256975.757473439 | 260867.791666667 | 0.9850804341603 | 0.993082003178364 |
40 | 253353 | 253118.684626555 | 258138.625 | 0.980553315593723 | 1.00092571346043 |
41 | 246057 | 245811.738890269 | 255877.5 | 0.960661796720184 | 1.00099775995580 |
42 | 235372 | 240992.773245586 | 253995.833333333 | 0.94880601025182 | 0.976676590049203 |
43 | 258556 | 260311.028608955 | 252360.458333333 | 1.03150481786303 | 0.993257955230198 |
44 | 260993 | 260619.564707379 | 250709.208333333 | 1.03952928749577 | 1.00143287512985 |
45 | 254663 | 257777.128975689 | 249156.916666667 | 1.03459752361824 | 0.987919296843505 |
46 | 250643 | 250765.061936649 | 247724.166666667 | 1.01227532747773 | 0.999513241853925 |
47 | 243422 | 244213.339644837 | 246192.041666667 | 0.991962770167411 | 0.996759637921548 |
48 | 247105 | 245501.281853406 | 244982.208333333 | 1.00211882129565 | 1.00653242270055 |
49 | 248541 | 246404.151958590 | 244184.083333333 | 1.00909178270324 | 1.00867212676582 |
50 | 245039 | 244142.618450761 | 243214 | 1.00381811265289 | 1.00367154884685 |
51 | 237080 | 238749.922415659 | 242365.916666667 | 0.9850804341603 | 0.993005558289766 |
52 | 237085 | 237111.805451698 | 241814.291666667 | 0.980553315593723 | 0.999886950159877 |
53 | 225554 | 232193.517342688 | 241701.625 | 0.960661796720184 | 0.971405242408689 |
54 | 226839 | 229782.630234461 | 242180.833333333 | 0.94880601025182 | 0.987189500653477 |
55 | 247934 | 250861.026158205 | 243199.083333333 | 1.03150481786303 | 0.988332080901403 |
56 | 248333 | 254505.529889252 | 244827.666666667 | 1.03952928749577 | 0.975746971423614 |
57 | 246969 | 255853.294880521 | 247297.416666667 | 1.03459752361824 | 0.965275823847922 |
58 | 245098 | 253405.497772097 | 250332.583333333 | 1.01227532747773 | 0.967216584308015 |
59 | 246263 | 251575.645993238 | 253614 | 0.991962770167411 | 0.97888251077618 |
60 | 255765 | 257785.296119799 | 257240.25 | 1.00211882129565 | 0.992162872940354 |
61 | 264319 | NA | 260987.333333333 | NA | NA |
62 | 268347 | NA | 264834.166666667 | NA | NA |
63 | 273046 | NA | 268745.75 | NA | NA |
64 | 273963 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
65 | 267430 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
66 | 271993 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
67 | 292710 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
68 | 295881 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
69 | 293299 | NA | NA | NA | NA |